Suspension of wages estimates
The end of the financial year is a period of increased seasonality in business reporting, as employee's earning information is finalised and the financial year is reset in payroll systems. Increased reporting seasonality across June and July results in a greater variation in payroll jobs and wages estimates, resulting in higher than usual revisions around this period.
As indicated in the previous release, estimates of wages are not included in this release as they are particularly affected by reporting seasonality across the change in financial year. Wages estimates, up to the week ending 13 August 2022, will be reinstated in the next release on 8 September 2022.
Monthly change periods presented in this release reflect the change between the reference date (which aligns with the Labour Force reference weeks) and the four weeks prior to it. Users should note that there are five weeks of data since the reference date of the previous release (week ending 11 June 2022).
Characteristics spotlight article
This release includes selected insights into payroll job distributions in a Characteristics spotlight article.
Factors affecting interpretation
These estimates are not seasonally adjusted. Seasonality can affect the interpretation of change in payroll jobs and wages, particularly between sub-annual periods. While annual comparisons can assist in understanding underlying change, they are less useful when events such as public holidays or pandemic lockdowns don't occur in the same week in both years.
In addition, when comparing the change in payroll jobs and wages between any two periods, interpretation can be complicated by variations in their composition. Payroll job indexes are compiled from over 11 million jobs and variations in the types of jobs reported can result in compositional change (which is not quantified). For example, each payroll job in each week:
- is counted in the same way regardless of job status (full-time, part-time or casual), hence variations in demand for casual staff can influence week-on-week change.
- represents an individual in every paid job reported via STP, hence jobholders working multiple jobs are counted more than once. While multiple jobholders account for less than 10% of all payroll jobs, they can increase the rate of change seen week-to-week (in some industries) in circumstances where they are unable to work in any of their jobs (e.g. due to illness) and are not paid when absent.
Wages can be more heavily influenced by week-to-week change in composition, as the wages index reflects movements in aggregate wages and salaries paid (unlike the ABS Wage Price Index which presents changes in the price of labour unaffected by compositional shifts in the labour force, hours worked or employee characteristics). Variability in wages indexes in this release in any given week may be due to:
- changes in hours worked,
- the inclusion of cyclical payments such as bonuses, commissions or lump sum payment of leave loading,
- payment of penalty rates for public holidays (which may not fall on the same date each year), or
- the inclusion of irregular payments such as overtime, ad hoc or one-off payments relating to employee recognition or enterprise agreement sign-on.
Compositional change can also differ at the industry or state and territory level, particularly when there are localised labour market issues.
This release sees higher than usual revisions in April 2022, as the 16 week imputation retention threshold passes through this period. These revisions mostly reflect the removal of previously imputed records, with the receipt of more complete data. Users should exercise caution when referring to estimates around this period.
This release presents percentage change between the weeks ending 16 July 2022 and:
- 2 July 2022, for fortnight
- 18 June 2022, for month
- 17 July 2021, for year
This differs for employment size estimates which are month lagged.