Labour Price Index: Changing labour costs through COVID-19, Mar 2021

Growth in labour costs

In March quarter 2021 labour costs continued to grow, though at the slowest rate since June quarter 2020, at 1.5%. While labour costs have steadily increased over the past 3 quarters, they remain 4.5% lower than the pre-COVID levels.

The increase in employers labour costs over the quarter were driven by the falling number of jobs eligible for the JobKeeper subsidy, reductions in the subsidy itself and wages growth, predominantly affecting the private sector.

The private sector saw a rise in labour costs of 2.0% while the public sector recorded a rise of 0.5% in March quarter 2021. The public sector rate of growth was influenced by a combination of continuing wage freezes and lower wage increases offsetting enterprise agreement driven wages growth.

Labour Price Index
Sector	Quarterly movement				Through the year movement
	Mar-21	Dec-20	Sep-20	Jun-20	Mar-21	Dec-20	Sep-20	Jun-20
	%	%	%	%	%	%	%	%
All	1.5	4.5	2.9	-12.5	-4.5	-5.6	-9.3	-11.0
Private	2.0	6.0	3.0	-15.7	-6.1	-7.6	-12.5	-14.3
Public	0.5	0.2	2.2	-1.4	1.4	1.5	1.8	0.3

Drivers of private sector growth

Private sector labour cost increases in the March quarter 2021 were primarily driven by changes in the Wages component, with minimal contributions from the other components (see Figure 1).

A reduction in the level of fiscal support through the final stage of the JobKeeper support package, which included a lowering of the subsidy, has been a main contributor to the increase in businesses’ wage costs, as has a return to more typical March quarter wage growth.

Figure 1. Contributions to Labour Price Index
	Jun-20	Sep-20	Dec-20	Mar-21
Wages(Wages - JobKeeper subsidy)	-12.99	-0.36	4.52	1.18
Superannuation	0	0.04	0.03	0.12
Leave	0	0.05	0.05	0.14
Payroll Tax	-2.79	3.27	-0.06	0.04
Workers' Compensation	0	0.01	0.01	0.02

Figure 1. Contributions to Labour Price Index

["","Jun-20","Sep-20","Dec-20","Mar-21"]

[["Wages(Wages - JobKeeper subsidy)","Superannuation","Leave","Payroll Tax","Workers' Compensation"],[[-12.99],[0],[0],[-2.79],[0]],[[-0.36],[0.04],[0.05],[3.27],[0.01]],[[4.52],[0.03],[0.05],[-0.06],[0.01]],[[1.18],[0.12],[0.14],[0.04],[0.02]]]

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Private sector by state

Across all states and territories there continued to be an increase in the cost of labour for businesses, albeit at different rates. No state or territory reported labour costs returning to the same levels as they were at the onset of COVID19, indicating the continued use of wage subsidy support for each jurisdiction.

The two states that the recorded the largest falls in labour costs after the first wave of COVID-19 related business and community restrictions remain the slowest to return to previous levels. Queensland and Tasmania continued to be the furthest away from pre-COVID index levels, being 9.0% and 8.5% lower respectively.

Other state and territory labour costs moved closer to pre-COVID index levels (between 3.6% to 6.6% lower than March quarter 2020).

Figure 2, and Figure 3 below, display the difference in the index between each quarter listed and March quarter 2020. The smaller points changes in March indicate that the index is moving back towards pre-COVID levels (ie. March quarter 2021 - March quarter 2020).

Figure 2. Change from March quarter 2020, states and territories
	Jun-20	Sep-20	Dec-20	Mar-21
NSW	-15.5	-12.5	-7.8	-6.5
Vic	-15.4	-13.9	-8.4	-5.6
Qld	-20	-16.8	-11.3	-9.0
SA	-17.8	-16.3	-8	-6.6
WA	-14	-10.5	-5.3	-4.0
Tas	-20	-16.8	-10.6	-8.5
NT	-17.2	-13.3	-4.8	-3.6
ACT	-14	-12.4	-6.8	-4.7

Figure 2. Change from March quarter 2020, states and territories

["","Jun-20","Sep-20","Dec-20","Mar-21"]

[["NSW","Vic","Qld","SA","WA","Tas","NT","ACT"],[[-15.5],[-15.4],[-20],[-17.8],[-14],[-20],[-17.2],[-14]],[[-12.5],[-13.9],[-16.8],[-16.3],[-10.5],[-16.8],[-13.3],[-12.4]],[[-7.8],[-8.4],[-11.3],[-8],[-5.3],[-10.6],[-4.8],[-6.8]],[[-6.5],[-5.6],[-9],[-6.6],[-4],[-8.5],[-3.6],[-4.7]]]

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Footnote: index points change refers to the difference between the specified quarter and March quarter 2020.

Private sector by industry

The industries most affected by the pandemic have seen their labour costs fall the furthest and are continuing to be the slowest to return to pre-pandemic levels. While the largest increases in labour costs over March quarter 2021 were recorded in the Arts and recreation services (7.2%), Accommodation and food services (4.1%), and Other services (3.9%) these were returning from large falls in the LPI in June quarter 2020 after a high JobKeeper take-up. As shown in Figure 3 labour costs for these industries remain the furthest from their pre-COVID levels.

The two industries least impacted by COVID-19 business restrictions, Electricity, gas, water and waste services and Mining, are the only two industries to see labour costs exceed pre-COVID index levels in the March quarter by 0.1 and 0.2 index points respectively.

Figure 3. Change from March quarter 2020, Industry
	Jun-Mar	Sep-Mar	Dec-Mar	Mar-Mar
Arts and recreation services	-38	-38.7	-30.3	-25
Accommodation and food services	-36.5	-33.7	-24.8	-21.6
Other services	-33.8	-33.9	-23.1	-20
Rental, hiring and real estate services	-24.4	-22.4	-12.8	-11.2
Transport, postal and warehousing	-20.2	-16.6	-10.9	-9.6
Construction	-17.8	-17	-9.9	-7.4
Health care and social assistance	-17.2	-11.8	-8.1	-6.2
Wholesale trade	-16.2	-14.2	-5.5	-2.9
Public administration and safety	-14.8	-18	-13.3	-11.9
Retail trade	-14.6	-14.2	-9.8	-7.1
Professional, scientific and technical services	-14.2	-11	-5.1	-3.6
Administrative and support services	-14.1	-12.1	-8.1	-7.4
Manufacturing	-13.9	-10.6	-4	-2.3
Information media and telecommunications	-11.4	-7.3	-4.1	-2.1
Education and training	-7.2	-5.5	-4.4	-1.8
Financial and insurance services	-6.8	-1.6	-1.2	-0.3
Mining	-5.8	-2.1	-0.3	0.2
Electricity, gas, water and waste services	-4.4	-1.5	0	0.1

Figure 3. Change from March quarter 2020, Industry

["","Jun-Mar","Sep-Mar","Dec-Mar","Mar-Mar"]

[["Arts and recreation services","Accommodation and food services","Other services","Rental, hiring and real estate services","Transport, postal and warehousing","Construction","Health care and social assistance","Wholesale trade","Public administration and safety","Retail trade","Professional, scientific and technical services","Administrative and support services","Manufacturing","Information media and telecommunications","Education and training","Financial and insurance services","Mining","Electricity, gas, water and waste services"],[[-38],[-36.5],[-33.8],[-24.4],[-20.2],[-17.8],[-17.2],[-16.2],[-14.8],[-14.6],[-14.2],[-14.1],[-13.9],[-11.4],[-7.2],[-6.8],[-5.8],[-4.4]],[[-38.7],[-33.7],[-33.9],[-22.4],[-16.6],[-17],[-11.8],[-14.2],[-18],[-14.2],[-11],[-12.1],[-10.6],[-7.3],[-5.5],[-1.6],[-2.1],[-1.5]],[[-30.3],[-24.8],[-23.1],[-12.8],[-10.9],[-9.9],[-8.1],[-5.5],[-13.3],[-9.8],[-5.1],[-8.1],[-4],[-4.1],[-4.4],[-1.2],[-0.3],[0]],[[-25],[-21.6],[-20],[-11.2],[-9.6],[-7.4],[-6.2],[-2.9],[-11.9],[-7.1],[-3.6],[-7.4],[-2.3],[-2.1],[-1.8],[-0.3],[0.2],[0.1]]]

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Footnote: index points change refers to the difference between the specified quarter and March quarter 2020.

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Labour Price Index: Changing labour costs through COVID-19, Mar 2021

APA

Citation

Growth in labour costs

Drivers of private sector growth

Private sector by state

Private sector by industry

Why re-introduce the LPI

Labour price index quarterly movements: industry and state

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