3236.0 - Household and Family Projections, Australia, 2016 to 2041 Quality Declaration 
Latest ISSUE Released at 11:30 AM (CANBERRA TIME) 14/03/2019   
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Capital city and rest of state/territory households

In 2041, 69% of all Australian households are projected to be in capital cities (up from 65% in 2016). All capital cities are projected to experience higher growth in households than the rest of the state/territory, due to higher population growth projected in capital cities.

Fastest growth: Melbourne is projected to have the fastest growth in households – between 59% and 64% by 2041.

Slowest growth: The rest of Tasmania (outside Hobart) is projected to have the slowest growth in households – between 4% and 5% by 2041.

Largest increase: Melbourne is projected to have the largest increase in households – an extra 1.0 to 1.1 million households by 2041, reaching between 2.8 and 2.9 million households.

Smallest increase: The rest of the Northern Territory (outside Darwin) is projected to have the smallest increase in households – an extra 2,200 to 4,000 households by 2041, reaching between 30,000 and 31,800 households.


State/territory highlights

New South Wales:

  • The most common living arrangement in 2016 was to be a partner in a couple family (25%).
  • Households and families are projected to increase more slowly in New South Wales than for Australia as a whole.

Victoria:
  • Households are projected to top 3 million in 2029 (series I and II) or 2030 (series III).
  • Households and families are projected to increase faster in Victoria than any other state/territory.

Queensland:
  • Couple-only families are projected to overtake couple families with children as the most common family type in Queensland in 2036 (series I). Couple families with children are projected to remain the most common family type for series II and III.
  • Queensland and Tasmania were the only states where there were fewer families living in the capital city than in the rest of the state in 2016. This is projected to change for Queensland in 2032 (series I) or 2033 (series II and III).

South Australia:
  • Couple-only families are projected to overtake couple families with children as the most common family type in South Australia in 2019 (series I) or 2021 (series II and III).
  • Households and families are projected to increase slower in South Australia than all states and territories other than Tasmania.

Western Australia:
  • Households are projected to top 1 million in 2019 (series I) or 2020 (series II and III).
  • In 2041 families are projected to reach 1 million (series I and II) or 972,200 (series III). This is up from 712,800 families in 2016.

Tasmania:
  • Tasmania was the only state or territory where couple-only families were the most common family type in 2016.
  • The number of couple families with children in Tasmania is projected to decline up until 2041. This is the only state or territory where a family type or household type is projected to decline.
  • Tasmania has the lowest proportion of family households and the highest proportion of lone-person households.

Northern Territory:
  • There is a lower proportion of lone-person households in the Northern Territory than any other state or territory and a higher proportion of family households.
  • The Northern Territory has the lowest proportion of couple families without children.

Australian Capital Territory:
  • One-parent families are less common in the Australian Capital Territory than any other state or territory, while couple families with children are more common.
  • Households are projected to top 200,000 in 2029 (series I), 2030 (series II) or 2031 (series III).


Projected households

2016
2041
Increase, 2016–2041
Series I
Series II
Series III
Series I
Series II
Series III
Region
'000
'000
'000
'000
%
%
%

Greater Sydney
1 795.5
2 740.2
2 677.1
2 566.4
52.6
49.1
42.9
Rest of New South Wales
1 100.0
1 342.1
1 328.9
1 301.6
22.0
20.8
18.3
Total New South Wales
2 895.5
4 082.3
4 006.0
3 868.0
41.0
38.4
33.6
Greater Melbourne
1 739.9
2 859.1
2 829.0
2 768.4
64.3
62.6
59.1
Rest of Victoria
602.2
759.4
758.2
755.2
26.1
25.9
25.4
Total Victoria
2 342.1
3 618.4
3 587.2
3 523.6
54.5
53.2
50.4
Greater Brisbane
862.9
1 338.6
1 308.3
1 253.0
55.1
51.6
45.2
Rest of Queensland
973.7
1 330.0
1 314.0
1 280.8
36.6
34.9
31.5
Total Queensland
1 836.6
2 668.5
2 622.2
2 533.9
45.3
42.8
38.0
Greater Adelaide
534.7
664.4
654.3
637.1
24.3
22.4
19.2
Rest of South Australia
164.6
177.6
177.3
175.8
7.9
7.8
6.8
Total South Australia
699.3
842.0
831.7
812.9
20.4
18.9
16.3
Greater Perth
769.3
1 158.7
1 127.0
1 072.7
50.6
46.5
39.4
Rest of Western Australia
204.9
261.9
252.3
227.8
27.9
23.2
11.2
Total Western Australia
974.2
1 420.6
1 379.3
1 300.4
45.8
41.6
33.5
Greater Hobart
93.9
121.5
120.4
118.2
29.4
28.2
25.8
Rest of Tasmania
125.7
132.4
131.8
130.4
5.3
4.9
3.8
Total Tasmania
219.6
253.9
252.2
248.7
15.6
14.9
13.2
Greater Darwin
50.3
77.2
72.6
64.1
53.3
44.3
27.5
Rest of Northern Territory
27.9
31.8
31.5
30.0
14.2
12.8
7.8
Total Northern Territory
78.2
109.0
104.1
94.2
39.4
33.1
20.4
Total Australian Capital Territory
157.7
237.9
234.4
227.4
50.8
48.6
44.2
Total capital cities(a)
6 004.3
9 197.4
9 023.1
8 707.3
53.2
50.3
45.0
Total rest of state/territory(b)
3 200.4
4 037.0
3 995.5
3 903.0
26.1
24.8
22.0
Total Australia(b)
9 204.6
13 234.4
13 018.7
12 610.3
43.8
41.4
37.0

(a) Includes Australian Capital Territory.
(b) Includes Other Territories.