Excess mortality

Latest release

Excess mortality by State from January 2024 to December 2025 using a new methodology

Reference period

January 2024 - December 2025

Released

3/07/2026

Next release Unknown

First release

Release date and time

03/07/2026 11:30am AEST

Key statistics

There were 1.7% fewer deaths than expected in 2024 and 2.0% fewer deaths than expected in 2025.
Expected mortality now includes COVID-19 affected years in its estimation.
In 2025 all states and territories recorded lower than expected mortality.

Overview

Introduction

Excess mortality is typically defined as the difference between the observed number of deaths in a specified time period and the expected numbers of deaths in that same time period. It provides an indication of whether mortality was higher, lower or at expected levels during a given time period.

Historically, excess mortality methods have been used to assess the impacts of events such as acute respiratory diseases (e.g. influenza), heat waves or natural disasters. Most recently, excess mortality was the most common method used to measure the impact of COVID-19 on mortality trends across the world.

Excess mortality measures are most often produced at the all-cause level as they can account for differences in cause of death certification (e.g. a death due to "infectious exacerbation of emphysema would be attributed to a chronic respiratory disease if the infectious agent was not known, but attributed to influenza if this was known to cause the exacerbation) and deaths that are both directly and indirectly related to an event (e.g. patterns in access to health care may change during extreme events).

This publication presents weekly and annual excess mortality estimates for 2024 and 2025 for Australia and the states and territories.

It is the first publication produced by the ABS where excess mortality estimates are measuring expected mortality in the current health context, i.e. where COVID-19 is included alongside other diseases, conditions and external causes as a persistent contributor to deaths in Australia.

The ABS has applied a new statistical model (Generalised Additive Model) to produce expected mortality estimates to inform this updated approach. More information can be found in the methodology.

Excess mortality estimates produced in this publication cannot be compared to estimates published for 2020-2023 as they are addressing two different research questions as outlined below.

Previous ABS reporting on excess mortality and drivers for change

The ABS has produced previous publications on excess mortality to the end of 2023, and has presented excess mortality by remoteness areas and by selected causes of death.

The previous publications were designed to assess the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on mortality in Australia. Specifically, they addressed the research question: 'How does the number of deaths since the beginning of the COVID-19 pandemic (2020-2023) compare to the number of deaths expected had the pandemic not occurred?'. This analysis was in the context that COVID-19 constituted a new public health emergency of international concern with significant numbers of deaths being recorded involving the virus occurring in Australia in 2022. The results published in these releases are still important as they demonstrated Australia's mortality experience during the pandemic, including record low mortality levels in 2020 and high excess mortality driven by COVID-19 in 2022.

On 5 May 2023 the Director-General of the World Health Organization announced an end to the emergency phase of the COVID-19 pandemic and on 20 October 2023 Australia's Chief Medical Officer, supported by the Australian Health Protection Principal Committee announced that the virus was no longer a communicable disease incident of national significance (https://www.health.gov.au/news/ahppc-statement-end-of-covid-19-emergency-response?language=en).

This led the ABS to reassess what excess mortality estimates should now be measuring in the Australian context and resulted in the development of an updated research question: "How does the number of deaths that have occurred compare to the number of deaths expected in a context where COVID‑19 is a persistent contributor to mortality?".

This work does not replace previous outputs on excess mortality but instead presents analysis on more recent patterns of mortality as COVID-19 has transitioned to an endemic status in Australia. More detail on the updates to the research question and the statistical model are discussed in the methodology, but key drivers can be summarised as:

COVID-19 is a persistent, ongoing contributor to mortality and should inform our estimates of expected mortality into the future;
Deaths due to influenza increased after occurring at record low levels during the pandemic period;
The baseline period of 2013-19 which enabled comparisons to mortality "in the absence of a pandemic" is now too long ago to provide reliable estimates for 2024 and 2025; and
Mortality trends since the acute phase of the pandemic have not followed a linear trajectory, leading the ABS to consider and apply a new statistical model.

Headline results

2024

Australia recorded lower than expected mortality in 2024 (-1.7% negative excess mortality).
Tasmania was the only jurisdiction to record slightly higher than expected mortality (0.4% positive excess mortality).
The Northern Territory and the Australian Capital Territory both recorded 4.6% fewer deaths than expected in 2024.

2025

Australia recorded lower than expected mortality in 2025 (-2.0% negative excess mortality).
All states and territories recorded lower than expected mortality in 2025 with negative excess mortality ranging from -1.3% in New South Wales to -10.6% in the Northern Territory (see the section on the Northern Territory in this publication for caveats relating to this estimate).

Excess mortality as a percentage above expected by jurisdiction, 2024-2025 (a)(b)(c)
	2024		2025
	Excess deaths (no.)	Excess (%)	Excess deaths (no.)	Excess (%)
Australia	-3,208	-1.7	-3,806	-2.0
New South Wales	-1,301	-2.2	-790	-1.3
Victoria	-567	-1.2	-1,029	-2.2
Queensland	-79	-0.2	-1,873	-4.6
South Australia	-111	-0.7	-516	-3.2
Western Australia	-691	-3.7	-736	-3.9
Tasmania	21	0.4	-384	-6.8
Northern Territory	-61	-4.6	-138	-10.6
Australian Capital Territory	-129	-4.6	-65	-2.4

Data is provisional and subject to change.
Years are based on a sum of International Organization for Standardization (ISO) weeks derived from the weekly modelling. There are 52 weeks in 2024 and 2025.
Includes all deaths (both doctor and coroner certified) that occurred by 28 December 2025 and were registered and received by the ABS by 30 April 2026.

Measuring excess mortality

Excess mortality estimates require an accurate prediction of an expected number of deaths for the time period of interest. Estimating expected mortality for a specific period requires selecting an appropriate baseline period which is representative of expected mortality patterns and able to be used to model key components such as seasonality and long-term mortality trends. Expected mortality estimates represent the level of mortality that would have occurred had these underlying patterns from the baseline period continued into the period of interest. The choice of statistical method, assumptions about mortality patterns and the baseline can markedly affect estimates of expected (and therefore excess) mortality. The suitability and application of any modelling should consider factors such as country context, data quality, collection methods and the research question the data is informing.

Producing an expected number of deaths to address the research question "How does the number of deaths that have occurred compare to the number of deaths expected in a context where COVID‑19 is a persistent contributor to mortality?" was challenging. To account for COVID-19 in the expected numbers of deaths, the baseline period needed to include some years from the pandemic period (2020-2023). Mortality patterns had some periods of volatility with both very high and very low numbers of deaths, a change in seasonality (some higher than usual mortality in the summer period driven by COVID-19 deaths) and record low numbers of deaths due to influenza. To account for these the Generalised Additive Model was used and the following methodological decisions applied:

The baseline consists of a rolling 7 year baseline to project the following year, with the exception of 2022. When 2022 was included in the baseline period, the model produced an unrealistically elevated estimate of expected mortality. This indicates that 2022 behaves as a structural outlier, rather than reflecting typical underlying mortality patterns. Therefore, 2022 was excluded from the baseline used to project mortality for both 2024, and 2025. The baseline years for 2024 consisted of 2016-2023 (excluding 2022) and for 2025 consisted of 2017-2024 (excluding 2022).
Weeks with significantly high or low numbers of deaths were removed from the baseline to control for outliers. This was applied by age group and for each state and territory. Age‑specific outlier weeks were identified by comparing observed weekly deaths with the 95% credible interval of expected mortality.
The number of deaths in certain age groups for each jurisdiction for each week were modelled separately and then age group estimates were aggregated to obtain jurisdiction level estimates for the expected number of deaths. Estimates for Australia were obtained by modelling Australia separately from modelling each of the states, so the result for Australia will differ from the sum of the states.
The model acknowledges that Australia has an increasing number of deaths due to an ageing population but a decreasing mortality rate (with reductions in deaths seen particularly in younger and middle-aged people) due to ongoing improvements in health care and health outcomes.

For more detailed discussion of the approach, as well as a description of the Generalised Additive Model used to estimate expected mortality please refer to the methodology.

Interpreting results

Outputs from excess mortality estimates will differ depending on the calculation applied and the scope of the input data. In addition to the context provided in the opening sections of this publication and the methodology, the following factors must be taken into consideration:

This report highlights weeks where excess deaths are notably above or below expected levels. In any given period, even if no temporary health hazards influence the number of deaths (such as community transmission of influenza or COVID-19), there is some natural variation in patterns of mortality. While the actual number of deaths may be different from the expected number of deaths, it should fall within an expected range (i.e. there is a 95% probability that the expected number of deaths lies between the upper and lower bounds of the credible intervals). When actual observations (counts of death) exceed the upper threshold or drop below the lower threshold, particularly for prolonged periods, this indicates a meaningful change in the pattern of mortality. This information should be used in conjunction with the percentage of excess mortality.
A single week above the threshold does not necessarily indicate excess mortality. Prolonged periods (2 or more weeks) where counts are outside thresholds suggest a higher likelihood that the numbers of deaths are above or below normal.
The Northern Territory has longer delays between date of death and date of registration compared with the other jurisdictions. Reasons for this include a higher number of deaths referred to the coroner and geographical challenges including a high number of remote locations which can delay funeral times and access to services (and therefore delay the reporting of deaths).
Data is reported on the basis of occurrence, and is subject to revision as late registrations are received by the ABS. Only deaths that occurred by 28 December 2025 and were registered and received by the ABS by 30 April 2026 have been included in this publication. Please refer to the Timeliness and completeness of the data section of Provisional Mortality Statistics for further information.

Weekly all-cause mortality: Australia

Australia recorded fewer deaths than expected across both 2024 and 2025. The annual excess mortality estimates were -1.7% in 2024 and -2.0% in 2025.
Weekly numbers of deaths were consistently lower than expected between:
- late March 2024 and mid-May 2024,
- late August 2024 and early June 2025,
- mid-September 2025 and the end of the year.
Weekly numbers of deaths were higher than expected between:
- late May and late July 2024,
- mid-June and early August 2025.
- These weeks corresponded with weeks where higher numbers of deaths associated with COVID-19, influenza and respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) occurred. See Deaths due to acute respiratory infections in Australia publication for more data.
From late August to mid-October 2024 there were several weeks where the number of deaths were below the lower thresholds (credible intervals) for expected mortality.

Excess mortality by year, Australia, 2024 and 2025 (a)(b)(c)
	Observed	Expected	Excess	% Excess
2024	186,096	189,304	-3,208	-1.7
2025	187,703	191,509	-3,806	-2.0

Data is provisional and subject to change.
Years are based on a sum of International Organization for Standardization (ISO) weeks derived from the weekly modelling. There are 52 weeks in 2024 and 2025.
Includes all deaths (both doctor and coroner certified) that occurred by 28 December 2025 and were registered and received by the ABS by 30 April 2026.

Actual and expected deaths, Australia, January 2024 - December 2025 (a)(b)
Week ending	95% bounds	Expected	Actual
07-Jan-24	3178\|3586	3,381	3,456
14-Jan-24	3174\|3574	3,368	3,399
21-Jan-24	3173\|3579	3,374	3,355
28-Jan-24	3174\|3569	3,370	3,463
04-Feb-24	3170\|3576	3,370	3,282
11-Feb-24	3173\|3580	3,372	3,345
18-Feb-24	3185\|3576	3,373	3,393
25-Feb-24	3181\|3584	3,376	3,378
03-Mar-24	3193\|3579	3,388	3,303
10-Mar-24	3187\|3607	3,395	3,478
17-Mar-24	3216\|3614	3,403	3,399
24-Mar-24	3226\|3634	3,423	3,273
31-Mar-24	3241\|3663	3,448	3,419
07-Apr-24	3281\|3701	3,487	3,461
14-Apr-24	3319\|3720	3,520	3,485
21-Apr-24	3339\|3766	3,546	3,397
28-Apr-24	3373\|3801	3,580	3,420
05-May-24	3408\|3839	3,623	3,543
12-May-24	3434\|3867	3,656	3,491
19-May-24	3479\|3913	3,693	3,617
26-May-24	3505\|3956	3,728	3,833
02-Jun-24	3542\|3995	3,769	3,824
09-Jun-24	3575\|4029	3,801	3,953
16-Jun-24	3616\|4060	3,827	4,036
23-Jun-24	3645\|4079	3,860	3,973
30-Jun-24	3670\|4108	3,886	4,212
07-Jul-24	3714\|4175	3,936	4,019
14-Jul-24	3720\|4183	3,955	3,909
21-Jul-24	3743\|4209	3,971	4,081
28-Jul-24	3749\|4212	3,976	4,008
04-Aug-24	3750\|4214	3,981	3,925
11-Aug-24	3753\|4214	3,977	3,921
18-Aug-24	3732\|4202	3,964	3,963
25-Aug-24	3722\|4179	3,954	3,700
01-Sep-24	3695\|4166	3,931	3,727
08-Sep-24	3678\|4129	3,901	3,591
15-Sep-24	3631\|4084	3,859	3,500
22-Sep-24	3580\|4031	3,803	3,510
29-Sep-24	3535\|3990	3,755	3,625
06-Oct-24	3520\|3966	3,742	3,423
13-Oct-24	3459\|3912	3,693	3,426
20-Oct-24	3437\|3872	3,653	3,570
27-Oct-24	3401\|3840	3,617	3,474
03-Nov-24	3366\|3792	3,577	3,372
10-Nov-24	3351\|3773	3,558	3,419
17-Nov-24	3319\|3754	3,526	3,344
24-Nov-24	3294\|3721	3,518	3,452
01-Dec-24	3297\|3703	3,497	3,390
08-Dec-24	3279\|3690	3,483	3,399
15-Dec-24	3272\|3672	3,465	3,485
22-Dec-24	3257\|3673	3,461	3,365
29-Dec-24	3254\|3671	3,450	3,310
05-Jan-25	3245\|3645	3,436	3,406
12-Jan-25	3225\|3635	3,421	3,446
19-Jan-25	3213\|3633	3,417	3,378
26-Jan-25	3218\|3631	3,420	3,305
02-Feb-25	3219\|3624	3,411	3,236
09-Feb-25	3213\|3624	3,416	3,308
16-Feb-25	3218\|3631	3,427	3,316
23-Feb-25	3221\|3630	3,427	3,286
02-Mar-25	3230\|3651	3,437	3,297
09-Mar-25	3225\|3645	3,435	3,276
16-Mar-25	3248\|3658	3,453	3,302
23-Mar-25	3269\|3677	3,463	3,286
30-Mar-25	3271\|3697	3,491	3,382
06-Apr-25	3336\|3748	3,542	3,301
13-Apr-25	3358\|3787	3,565	3,469
20-Apr-25	3385\|3822	3,601	3,405
27-Apr-25	3420\|3860	3,641	3,401
04-May-25	3454\|3900	3,668	3,409
11-May-25	3492\|3942	3,716	3,574
18-May-25	3549\|3991	3,753	3,456
25-May-25	3577\|4017	3,792	3,757
01-Jun-25	3611\|4073	3,838	3,789
08-Jun-25	3653\|4114	3,878	3,800
15-Jun-25	3685\|4136	3,906	3,979
22-Jun-25	3710\|4180	3,942	4,032
29-Jun-25	3739\|4193	3,959	4,023
06-Jul-25	3770\|4238	4,006	4,270
13-Jul-25	3793\|4269	4,022	4,139
20-Jul-25	3800\|4279	4,030	4,123
27-Jul-25	3794\|4280	4,032	4,115
03-Aug-25	3790\|4275	4,027	4,126
10-Aug-25	3791\|4267	4,019	3,903
17-Aug-25	3774\|4237	4,003	3,852
24-Aug-25	3749\|4215	3,979	3,992
31-Aug-25	3720\|4187	3,952	3,915
07-Sep-25	3678\|4128	3,903	3,929
14-Sep-25	3651\|4084	3,863	3,769
21-Sep-25	3578\|4043	3,812	3,668
28-Sep-25	3545\|3980	3,763	3,712
05-Oct-25	3542\|3972	3,750	3,636
12-Oct-25	3489\|3926	3,700	3,572
19-Oct-25	3452\|3884	3,661	3,564
26-Oct-25	3415\|3842	3,624	3,505
02-Nov-25	3396\|3818	3,602	3,555
09-Nov-25	3364\|3796	3,579	3,478
16-Nov-25	3365\|3788	3,555	3,597
23-Nov-25	3339\|3763	3,540	3,437
30-Nov-25	3331\|3747	3,525	3,439
07-Dec-25	3321\|3733	3,524	3,473
14-Dec-25	3307\|3739	3,512	3,539
21-Dec-25	3301\|3713	3,505	3,412
28-Dec-25	3293\|3717	3,501	3,364

Actual and expected deaths, Australia, January 2024 - December 2025 (a)(b)

["Week ending","95% bounds","Expected","Actual"]

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Data is provisional and will change as additional death registrations are received.
Includes all deaths (both doctor and coroner certified) that occurred by 28 December 2025 and were registered and received by the ABS by 30 April 2026.

Weekly all-cause mortality: New South Wales

In New South Wales, annual mortality was estimated at 2.2% below expected in 2024 and 1.3% below expected in 2025.
Weekly numbers of deaths were lower than expected between:
- late July 2024 and the end of December 2024,
- the end of January 2025 and mid-May 2025.
Weekly numbers of deaths were higher than expected between:
- late May 2024 and mid-July 2024,
- mid-June 2025 and early August 2025.

Excess mortality by year, New South Wales, 2024 and 2025 (a)(b)(c)
	Observed	Expected	Excess	% Excess
2024	59,090	60,391	-1,301	-2.2
2025	59,673	60,463	-790	-1.3

Data is provisional and subject to change.
Years are based on a sum of International Organization for Standardization (ISO) weeks derived from the weekly modelling. There are 52 weeks in 2024 and 2025.
Includes all deaths (both doctor and coroner certified) that occurred by 28 December 2025 and were registered and received by the ABS by 30 April 2026.

Actual and expected deaths, New South Wales, January 2024 - December 2025 (a)(b)
Week ending	95% bounds	Expected	Actual
07-Jan-24	974\|1155	1,064	1,091
14-Jan-24	974\|1160	1,064	1,102
21-Jan-24	972\|1162	1,063	1,056
28-Jan-24	971\|1163	1,064	1,105
04-Feb-24	971\|1159	1,063	1,050
11-Feb-24	975\|1158	1,066	1,033
18-Feb-24	977\|1161	1,065	1,063
25-Feb-24	977\|1163	1,068	1,034
03-Mar-24	975\|1171	1,071	1,029
10-Mar-24	981\|1168	1,072	1,099
17-Mar-24	988\|1175	1,077	1,044
24-Mar-24	992\|1188	1,083	1,090
31-Mar-24	998\|1187	1,089	1,077
07-Apr-24	1010\|1203	1,106	1,071
14-Apr-24	1016\|1217	1,115	1,117
21-Apr-24	1037\|1231	1,131	1,067
28-Apr-24	1047\|1239	1,144	1,046
05-May-24	1058\|1259	1,158	1,116
12-May-24	1068\|1273	1,172	1,083
19-May-24	1088\|1298	1,185	1,135
26-May-24	1100\|1306	1,204	1,224
02-Jun-24	1108\|1322	1,215	1,318
09-Jun-24	1128\|1337	1,231	1,278
16-Jun-24	1135\|1354	1,244	1,310
23-Jun-24	1146\|1363	1,257	1,282
30-Jun-24	1155\|1379	1,266	1,402
07-Jul-24	1180\|1389	1,280	1,371
14-Jul-24	1184\|1407	1,288	1,312
21-Jul-24	1190\|1407	1,294	1,352
28-Jul-24	1198\|1416	1,298	1,287
04-Aug-24	1200\|1422	1,300	1,286
11-Aug-24	1192\|1414	1,302	1,284
18-Aug-24	1191\|1412	1,296	1,253
25-Aug-24	1181\|1404	1,290	1,179
01-Sep-24	1165\|1393	1,276	1,089
08-Sep-24	1160\|1379	1,261	1,207
15-Sep-24	1139\|1347	1,242	1,094
22-Sep-24	1115\|1332	1,217	1,135
29-Sep-24	1093\|1305	1,194	1,123
06-Oct-24	1079\|1289	1,180	1,094
13-Oct-24	1061\|1268	1,161	1,059
20-Oct-24	1042\|1248	1,143	1,116
27-Oct-24	1028\|1227	1,129	1,125
03-Nov-24	1024\|1211	1,117	1,046
10-Nov-24	1017\|1209	1,106	1,047
17-Nov-24	1005\|1198	1,098	994
24-Nov-24	997\|1192	1,094	1,057
01-Dec-24	995\|1191	1,089	1,066
08-Dec-24	997\|1185	1,086	1,079
15-Dec-24	994\|1180	1,084	1,055
22-Dec-24	990\|1183	1,087	1,014
29-Dec-24	987\|1180	1,083	1,044
05-Jan-25	984\|1172	1,074	1,097
12-Jan-25	972\|1171	1,066	1,105
19-Jan-25	976\|1163	1,066	1,090
26-Jan-25	971\|1168	1,067	1,040
02-Feb-25	974\|1168	1,067	1,031
09-Feb-25	976\|1165	1,068	1,048
16-Feb-25	971\|1169	1,069	1,045
23-Feb-25	975\|1168	1,071	970
02-Mar-25	977\|1173	1,071	1,005
09-Mar-25	983\|1170	1,077	1,004
16-Mar-25	986\|1176	1,080	1,060
23-Mar-25	989\|1186	1,086	1,075
30-Mar-25	1000\|1195	1,093	1,065
06-Apr-25	1013\|1204	1,110	1,037
13-Apr-25	1023\|1222	1,120	1,062
20-Apr-25	1033\|1240	1,133	1,026
27-Apr-25	1046\|1258	1,147	1,072
04-May-25	1061\|1271	1,164	1,122
11-May-25	1080\|1293	1,180	1,117
18-May-25	1092\|1302	1,195	1,087
25-May-25	1112\|1334	1,214	1,244
01-Jun-25	1131\|1344	1,232	1,196
08-Jun-25	1140\|1350	1,246	1,217
15-Jun-25	1153\|1374	1,260	1,323
22-Jun-25	1167\|1388	1,273	1,332
29-Jun-25	1168\|1395	1,281	1,298
06-Jul-25	1189\|1414	1,297	1,374
13-Jul-25	1195\|1414	1,304	1,302
20-Jul-25	1199\|1419	1,307	1,358
27-Jul-25	1194\|1418	1,305	1,367
03-Aug-25	1197\|1412	1,304	1,398
10-Aug-25	1187\|1405	1,298	1,258
17-Aug-25	1177\|1410	1,293	1,203
24-Aug-25	1173\|1394	1,282	1,314
31-Aug-25	1158\|1379	1,267	1,235
07-Sep-25	1141\|1361	1,249	1,227
14-Sep-25	1127\|1331	1,228	1,194
21-Sep-25	1106\|1311	1,203	1,172
28-Sep-25	1084\|1288	1,183	1,178
05-Oct-25	1074\|1272	1,172	1,123
12-Oct-25	1055\|1256	1,153	1,087
19-Oct-25	1038\|1239	1,135	1,143
26-Oct-25	1027\|1225	1,123	1,049
02-Nov-25	1016\|1211	1,112	1,100
09-Nov-25	1008\|1205	1,103	1,128
16-Nov-25	1000\|1201	1,095	1,087
23-Nov-25	999\|1197	1,090	1,113
30-Nov-25	991\|1187	1,089	1,078
07-Dec-25	991\|1190	1,085	1,120
14-Dec-25	992\|1185	1,087	1,147
21-Dec-25	992\|1186	1,087	1,063
28-Dec-25	994\|1188	1,088	1,087

Actual and expected deaths, New South Wales, January 2024 - December 2025 (a)(b)

["Week ending","95% bounds","Expected","Actual"]

[["07-Jan-24","14-Jan-24","21-Jan-24","28-Jan-24","04-Feb-24","11-Feb-24","18-Feb-24","25-Feb-24","03-Mar-24","10-Mar-24","17-Mar-24","24-Mar-24","31-Mar-24","07-Apr-24","14-Apr-24","21-Apr-24","28-Apr-24","05-May-24","12-May-24","19-May-24","26-May-24","02-Jun-24","09-Jun-24","16-Jun-24","23-Jun-24","30-Jun-24","07-Jul-24","14-Jul-24","21-Jul-24","28-Jul-24","04-Aug-24","11-Aug-24","18-Aug-24","25-Aug-24","01-Sep-24","08-Sep-24","15-Sep-24","22-Sep-24","29-Sep-24","06-Oct-24","13-Oct-24","20-Oct-24","27-Oct-24","03-Nov-24","10-Nov-24","17-Nov-24","24-Nov-24","01-Dec-24","08-Dec-24","15-Dec-24","22-Dec-24","29-Dec-24","05-Jan-25","12-Jan-25","19-Jan-25","26-Jan-25","02-Feb-25","09-Feb-25","16-Feb-25","23-Feb-25","02-Mar-25","09-Mar-25","16-Mar-25","23-Mar-25","30-Mar-25","06-Apr-25","13-Apr-25","20-Apr-25","27-Apr-25","04-May-25","11-May-25","18-May-25","25-May-25","01-Jun-25","08-Jun-25","15-Jun-25","22-Jun-25","29-Jun-25","06-Jul-25","13-Jul-25","20-Jul-25","27-Jul-25","03-Aug-25","10-Aug-25","17-Aug-25","24-Aug-25","31-Aug-25","07-Sep-25","14-Sep-25","21-Sep-25","28-Sep-25","05-Oct-25","12-Oct-25","19-Oct-25","26-Oct-25","02-Nov-25","09-Nov-25","16-Nov-25","23-Nov-25","30-Nov-25","07-Dec-25","14-Dec-25","21-Dec-25","28-Dec-25"],[[974,1155],[974,1160],[972,1162],[971,1163],[971,1159],[975,1158],[977,1161],[977,1163],[975,1171],[981,1168],[988,1175],[992,1188],[998,1187],[1010,1203],[1016,1217],[1037,1231],[1047,1239],[1058,1259],[1068,1273],[1088,1298],[1100,1306],[1108,1322],[1128,1337],[1135,1354],[1146,1363],[1155,1379],[1180,1389],[1184,1407],[1190,1407],[1198,1416],[1200,1422],[1192,1414],[1191,1412],[1181,1404],[1165,1393],[1160,1379],[1139,1347],[1115,1332],[1093,1305],[1079,1289],[1061,1268],[1042,1248],[1028,1227],[1024,1211],[1017,1209],[1005,1198],[997,1192],[995,1191],[997,1185],[994,1180],[990,1183],[987,1180],[984,1172],[972,1171],[976,1163],[971,1168],[974,1168],[976,1165],[971,1169],[975,1168],[977,1173],[983,1170],[986,1176],[989,1186],[1000,1195],[1013,1204],[1023,1222],[1033,1240],[1046,1258],[1061,1271],[1080,1293],[1092,1302],[1112,1334],[1131,1344],[1140,1350],[1153,1374],[1167,1388],[1168,1395],[1189,1414],[1195,1414],[1199,1419],[1194,1418],[1197,1412],[1187,1405],[1177,1410],[1173,1394],[1158,1379],[1141,1361],[1127,1331],[1106,1311],[1084,1288],[1074,1272],[1055,1256],[1038,1239],[1027,1225],[1016,1211],[1008,1205],[1000,1201],[999,1197],[991,1187],[991,1190],[992,1185],[992,1186],[994,1188]],[[1064],[1064],[1063],[1064],[1063],[1066],[1065],[1068],[1071],[1072],[1077],[1083],[1089],[1106],[1115],[1131],[1144],[1158],[1172],[1185],[1204],[1215],[1231],[1244],[1257],[1266],[1280],[1288],[1294],[1298],[1300],[1302],[1296],[1290],[1276],[1261],[1242],[1217],[1194],[1180],[1161],[1143],[1129],[1117],[1106],[1098],[1094],[1089],[1086],[1084],[1087],[1083],[1074],[1066],[1066],[1067],[1067],[1068],[1069],[1071],[1071],[1077],[1080],[1086],[1093],[1110],[1120],[1133],[1147],[1164],[1180],[1195],[1214],[1232],[1246],[1260],[1273],[1281],[1297],[1304],[1307],[1305],[1304],[1298],[1293],[1282],[1267],[1249],[1228],[1203],[1183],[1172],[1153],[1135],[1123],[1112],[1103],[1095],[1090],[1089],[1085],[1087],[1087],[1088]],[[1091],[1102],[1056],[1105],[1050],[1033],[1063],[1034],[1029],[1099],[1044],[1090],[1077],[1071],[1117],[1067],[1046],[1116],[1083],[1135],[1224],[1318],[1278],[1310],[1282],[1402],[1371],[1312],[1352],[1287],[1286],[1284],[1253],[1179],[1089],[1207],[1094],[1135],[1123],[1094],[1059],[1116],[1125],[1046],[1047],[994],[1057],[1066],[1079],[1055],[1014],[1044],[1097],[1105],[1090],[1040],[1031],[1048],[1045],[970],[1005],[1004],[1060],[1075],[1065],[1037],[1062],[1026],[1072],[1122],[1117],[1087],[1244],[1196],[1217],[1323],[1332],[1298],[1374],[1302],[1358],[1367],[1398],[1258],[1203],[1314],[1235],[1227],[1194],[1172],[1178],[1123],[1087],[1143],[1049],[1100],[1128],[1087],[1113],[1078],[1120],[1147],[1063],[1087]]]

[]

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[{"axis_id":"0","tick_interval":"","axis_min":"","axis_max":"","axis_title":"","precision":"","table_units":"","tooltip_units":"","axis_units":"","data_unit_prefix":"","data_unit_suffix":"","reverse_axis":false}]

Data is provisional and will change as additional death registrations are received.
Includes all deaths (both doctor and coroner certified) that occurred by 28 December 2025 and were registered and received by the ABS by 30 April 2026.

Weekly all-cause mortality: Victoria

In Victoria, annual mortality was estimated at 1.2% below expected in 2024 and 2.2% below expected in 2025.
Weekly numbers of deaths were consistently lower than expected between:
- early September 2024 and early November 2024,
- mid-February 2025 and early May 2025,
- mid-September 2025 and early November 2025.
Weekly numbers of deaths were higher than expected between:
- June 2024 and late July 2024,
- late June 2025 and early August 2025.

Excess mortality by year, Victoria, 2024 and 2025 (a)(b)(c)
	Observed	Expected	Excess	% Excess
2024	45,696	46,263	-567	-1.2
2025	46,311	47,340	-1,029	-2.2

Data is provisional and subject to change.
Years are based on a sum of International Organization for Standardization (ISO) weeks derived from the weekly modelling. There are 52 weeks in 2024 and 2025.
Includes all deaths (both doctor and coroner certified) that occurred by 28 December 2025 and were registered and received by the ABS by 30 April 2026.

Actual and expected deaths, Victoria, January 2024 - December 2025 (a)(b)
Week ending	95% bounds	Expected	Actual
07-Jan-24	746\|911	826	824
14-Jan-24	747\|908	823	803
21-Jan-24	741\|901	822	793
28-Jan-24	745\|905	820	813
04-Feb-24	741\|897	821	781
11-Feb-24	746\|898	820	790
18-Feb-24	740\|902	821	814
25-Feb-24	747\|901	823	866
03-Mar-24	750\|907	827	825
10-Mar-24	749\|910	827	880
17-Mar-24	755\|917	833	838
24-Mar-24	761\|917	838	765
31-Mar-24	766\|926	845	816
07-Apr-24	777\|940	855	881
14-Apr-24	781\|952	865	864
21-Apr-24	790\|958	872	806
28-Apr-24	797\|962	882	883
05-May-24	812\|975	890	834
12-May-24	815\|980	894	903
19-May-24	821\|985	902	878
26-May-24	826\|994	909	966
02-Jun-24	830\|1004	914	901
09-Jun-24	837\|1007	922	1,012
16-Jun-24	843\|1019	926	998
23-Jun-24	851\|1023	934	969
30-Jun-24	855\|1034	938	1,025
07-Jul-24	868\|1038	952	964
14-Jul-24	864\|1047	952	1,012
21-Jul-24	874\|1048	958	965
28-Jul-24	878\|1055	964	951
04-Aug-24	875\|1053	962	921
11-Aug-24	877\|1054	962	954
18-Aug-24	876\|1058	964	975
25-Aug-24	872\|1050	958	922
01-Sep-24	866\|1041	954	963
08-Sep-24	858\|1039	947	835
15-Sep-24	854\|1031	939	848
22-Sep-24	848\|1022	930	876
29-Sep-24	841\|1006	922	913
06-Oct-24	840\|1011	922	815
13-Oct-24	832\|999	913	879
20-Oct-24	822\|988	904	876
27-Oct-24	815\|982	897	816
03-Nov-24	805\|975	890	884
10-Nov-24	802\|964	885	858
17-Nov-24	796\|959	874	877
24-Nov-24	787\|954	871	895
01-Dec-24	784\|949	863	846
08-Dec-24	778\|940	860	852
15-Dec-24	779\|939	854	839
22-Dec-24	772\|932	853	804
29-Dec-24	773\|932	850	828
05-Jan-25	767\|923	844	795
12-Jan-25	762\|924	841	871
19-Jan-25	761\|919	839	805
26-Jan-25	759\|920	838	790
02-Feb-25	760\|921	839	850
09-Feb-25	766\|924	840	815
16-Feb-25	760\|923	840	797
23-Feb-25	764\|921	842	817
02-Mar-25	766\|926	846	843
09-Mar-25	770\|932	849	810
16-Mar-25	774\|938	854	788
23-Mar-25	782\|943	858	761
30-Mar-25	783\|950	865	804
06-Apr-25	795\|963	877	788
13-Apr-25	804\|972	888	882
20-Apr-25	812\|979	895	873
27-Apr-25	817\|988	904	860
04-May-25	832\|1000	914	820
11-May-25	836\|1005	918	925
18-May-25	851\|1017	928	843
25-May-25	845\|1025	934	915
01-Jun-25	855\|1033	943	962
08-Jun-25	867\|1043	951	948
15-Jun-25	870\|1046	957	972
22-Jun-25	873\|1050	964	943
29-Jun-25	886\|1061	969	1,022
06-Jul-25	895\|1072	980	1,043
13-Jul-25	897\|1077	983	1,054
20-Jul-25	899\|1076	985	985
27-Jul-25	899\|1082	990	1,004
03-Aug-25	896\|1081	989	1,002
10-Aug-25	897\|1079	986	982
17-Aug-25	897\|1073	982	970
24-Aug-25	892\|1069	978	965
31-Aug-25	886\|1067	970	985
07-Sep-25	875\|1050	962	966
14-Sep-25	863\|1051	958	926
21-Sep-25	862\|1036	947	917
28-Sep-25	851\|1030	939	912
05-Oct-25	852\|1025	937	925
12-Oct-25	843\|1009	927	881
19-Oct-25	834\|1008	919	843
26-Oct-25	828\|1001	911	879
02-Nov-25	825\|990	903	879
09-Nov-25	814\|987	899	841
16-Nov-25	811\|981	893	925
23-Nov-25	807\|972	886	842
30-Nov-25	800\|964	883	873
07-Dec-25	798\|966	878	864
14-Dec-25	794\|961	874	853
21-Dec-25	792\|958	869	815
28-Dec-25	793\|952	865	881

Actual and expected deaths, Victoria, January 2024 - December 2025 (a)(b)

["Week ending","95% bounds","Expected","Actual"]

[["07-Jan-24","14-Jan-24","21-Jan-24","28-Jan-24","04-Feb-24","11-Feb-24","18-Feb-24","25-Feb-24","03-Mar-24","10-Mar-24","17-Mar-24","24-Mar-24","31-Mar-24","07-Apr-24","14-Apr-24","21-Apr-24","28-Apr-24","05-May-24","12-May-24","19-May-24","26-May-24","02-Jun-24","09-Jun-24","16-Jun-24","23-Jun-24","30-Jun-24","07-Jul-24","14-Jul-24","21-Jul-24","28-Jul-24","04-Aug-24","11-Aug-24","18-Aug-24","25-Aug-24","01-Sep-24","08-Sep-24","15-Sep-24","22-Sep-24","29-Sep-24","06-Oct-24","13-Oct-24","20-Oct-24","27-Oct-24","03-Nov-24","10-Nov-24","17-Nov-24","24-Nov-24","01-Dec-24","08-Dec-24","15-Dec-24","22-Dec-24","29-Dec-24","05-Jan-25","12-Jan-25","19-Jan-25","26-Jan-25","02-Feb-25","09-Feb-25","16-Feb-25","23-Feb-25","02-Mar-25","09-Mar-25","16-Mar-25","23-Mar-25","30-Mar-25","06-Apr-25","13-Apr-25","20-Apr-25","27-Apr-25","04-May-25","11-May-25","18-May-25","25-May-25","01-Jun-25","08-Jun-25","15-Jun-25","22-Jun-25","29-Jun-25","06-Jul-25","13-Jul-25","20-Jul-25","27-Jul-25","03-Aug-25","10-Aug-25","17-Aug-25","24-Aug-25","31-Aug-25","07-Sep-25","14-Sep-25","21-Sep-25","28-Sep-25","05-Oct-25","12-Oct-25","19-Oct-25","26-Oct-25","02-Nov-25","09-Nov-25","16-Nov-25","23-Nov-25","30-Nov-25","07-Dec-25","14-Dec-25","21-Dec-25","28-Dec-25"],[[746,911],[747,908],[741,901],[745,905],[741,897],[746,898],[740,902],[747,901],[750,907],[749,910],[755,917],[761,917],[766,926],[777,940],[781,952],[790,958],[797,962],[812,975],[815,980],[821,985],[826,994],[830,1004],[837,1007],[843,1019],[851,1023],[855,1034],[868,1038],[864,1047],[874,1048],[878,1055],[875,1053],[877,1054],[876,1058],[872,1050],[866,1041],[858,1039],[854,1031],[848,1022],[841,1006],[840,1011],[832,999],[822,988],[815,982],[805,975],[802,964],[796,959],[787,954],[784,949],[778,940],[779,939],[772,932],[773,932],[767,923],[762,924],[761,919],[759,920],[760,921],[766,924],[760,923],[764,921],[766,926],[770,932],[774,938],[782,943],[783,950],[795,963],[804,972],[812,979],[817,988],[832,1000],[836,1005],[851,1017],[845,1025],[855,1033],[867,1043],[870,1046],[873,1050],[886,1061],[895,1072],[897,1077],[899,1076],[899,1082],[896,1081],[897,1079],[897,1073],[892,1069],[886,1067],[875,1050],[863,1051],[862,1036],[851,1030],[852,1025],[843,1009],[834,1008],[828,1001],[825,990],[814,987],[811,981],[807,972],[800,964],[798,966],[794,961],[792,958],[793,952]],[[826],[823],[822],[820],[821],[820],[821],[823],[827],[827],[833],[838],[845],[855],[865],[872],[882],[890],[894],[902],[909],[914],[922],[926],[934],[938],[952],[952],[958],[964],[962],[962],[964],[958],[954],[947],[939],[930],[922],[922],[913],[904],[897],[890],[885],[874],[871],[863],[860],[854],[853],[850],[844],[841],[839],[838],[839],[840],[840],[842],[846],[849],[854],[858],[865],[877],[888],[895],[904],[914],[918],[928],[934],[943],[951],[957],[964],[969],[980],[983],[985],[990],[989],[986],[982],[978],[970],[962],[958],[947],[939],[937],[927],[919],[911],[903],[899],[893],[886],[883],[878],[874],[869],[865]],[[824],[803],[793],[813],[781],[790],[814],[866],[825],[880],[838],[765],[816],[881],[864],[806],[883],[834],[903],[878],[966],[901],[1012],[998],[969],[1025],[964],[1012],[965],[951],[921],[954],[975],[922],[963],[835],[848],[876],[913],[815],[879],[876],[816],[884],[858],[877],[895],[846],[852],[839],[804],[828],[795],[871],[805],[790],[850],[815],[797],[817],[843],[810],[788],[761],[804],[788],[882],[873],[860],[820],[925],[843],[915],[962],[948],[972],[943],[1022],[1043],[1054],[985],[1004],[1002],[982],[970],[965],[985],[966],[926],[917],[912],[925],[881],[843],[879],[879],[841],[925],[842],[873],[864],[853],[815],[881]]]

[]

[{"value":"0","axis_id":"0","axis_title":"","axis_units":"","tooltip_units":"","table_units":"","axis_min":null,"axis_max":null,"tick_interval":null,"precision":"-1","data_unit_prefix":"","data_unit_suffix":"","reverse_axis":false}]

[{"axis_id":"0","tick_interval":"","axis_min":"","axis_max":"","axis_title":"","precision":"","table_units":"","tooltip_units":"","axis_units":"","data_unit_prefix":"","data_unit_suffix":"","reverse_axis":false}]

Data is provisional and will change as additional death registrations are received.
Includes all deaths (both doctor and coroner certified) that occurred by 28 December 2025 and were registered and received by the ABS by 30 April 2026.

Weekly all-cause mortality: Queensland

In Queensland, annual excess mortality was estimated at close to expected for 2024 (0.2% below expected) and 4.6% below expected in 2025.
Weekly numbers of deaths were lower than expected between:
- late August 2024 and late November 2024,
- late January 2025 and mid-June 2025. There were several weeks during this period that were below the lower threshold.
Weekly numbers of deaths were higher than expected between:
- mid-May 2024 and end of June 2024,
- mid-July 2024 and mid-August 2024,
- mid-June 2025 and mid-July 2025.

Excess mortality by year, Queensland, 2024 and 2025 (a)(b)(c)
	Observed	Expected	Excess	% Excess
2024	38,530	38,609	-79	-0.2
2025	38,697	40,570	-1,873	-4.6

Data is provisional and subject to change.
Years are based on a sum of International Organization for Standardization (ISO) weeks derived from the weekly modelling. There are 52 weeks in 2024 and 2025.
Includes all deaths (both doctor and coroner certified) that occurred by 28 December 2025 and were registered and received by the ABS by 30 April 2026.

Actual and expected deaths, Queensland, January 2024 - December 2025 (a)(b)
Week ending	95% bounds	Expected	Actual
07-Jan-24	630\|769	699	738
14-Jan-24	629\|777	699	703
21-Jan-24	625\|771	698	755
28-Jan-24	631\|775	700	818
04-Feb-24	631\|772	701	715
11-Feb-24	632\|775	703	740
18-Feb-24	634\|777	704	743
25-Feb-24	635\|785	705	693
03-Mar-24	639\|780	706	721
10-Mar-24	636\|786	710	715
17-Mar-24	645\|787	712	746
24-Mar-24	647\|792	714	655
31-Mar-24	644\|791	717	745
07-Apr-24	650\|798	726	717
14-Apr-24	651\|807	727	709
21-Apr-24	658\|808	731	679
28-Apr-24	662\|810	734	720
05-May-24	667\|814	738	762
12-May-24	671\|819	744	670
19-May-24	681\|827	752	782
26-May-24	682\|837	757	764
02-Jun-24	688\|840	760	768
09-Jun-24	695\|849	768	794
16-Jun-24	698\|857	775	812
23-Jun-24	706\|860	780	826
30-Jun-24	706\|866	786	876
07-Jul-24	716\|870	792	768
14-Jul-24	721\|877	794	732
21-Jul-24	716\|877	796	864
28-Jul-24	718\|875	797	893
04-Aug-24	720\|879	795	827
11-Aug-24	716\|873	795	803
18-Aug-24	715\|874	791	802
25-Aug-24	708\|871	789	749
01-Sep-24	708\|861	784	770
08-Sep-24	700\|855	776	732
15-Sep-24	695\|852	769	707
22-Sep-24	692\|838	760	645
29-Sep-24	681\|834	752	728
06-Oct-24	680\|836	755	703
13-Oct-24	676\|825	748	686
20-Oct-24	667\|816	737	739
27-Oct-24	662\|809	733	705
03-Nov-24	657\|805	729	714
10-Nov-24	653\|800	724	681
17-Nov-24	651\|801	723	669
24-Nov-24	649\|790	720	680
01-Dec-24	650\|788	717	726
08-Dec-24	648\|787	715	686
15-Dec-24	644\|791	716	752
22-Dec-24	643\|792	715	751
29-Dec-24	642\|786	712	652
05-Jan-25	660\|799	727	765
12-Jan-25	665\|815	737	697
19-Jan-25	665\|814	738	754
26-Jan-25	667\|814	739	722
02-Feb-25	670\|816	739	610
09-Feb-25	668\|816	743	670
16-Feb-25	671\|818	745	716
23-Feb-25	676\|820	746	707
02-Mar-25	674\|822	748	676
09-Mar-25	670\|823	749	675
16-Mar-25	679\|824	749	701
23-Mar-25	680\|827	751	667
30-Mar-25	682\|831	755	724
06-Apr-25	689\|838	760	704
13-Apr-25	690\|843	764	702
20-Apr-25	697\|843	769	696
27-Apr-25	698\|855	772	704
04-May-25	703\|859	778	704
11-May-25	702\|861	782	715
18-May-25	715\|873	789	719
25-May-25	721\|878	797	734
01-Jun-25	730\|890	804	739
08-Jun-25	735\|891	813	761
15-Jun-25	739\|902	818	795
22-Jun-25	745\|907	825	865
29-Jun-25	753\|907	827	848
06-Jul-25	760\|925	835	884
13-Jul-25	760\|924	838	838
20-Jul-25	756\|924	841	866
27-Jul-25	758\|927	838	796
03-Aug-25	760\|920	838	838
10-Aug-25	754\|915	836	822
17-Aug-25	751\|920	831	783
24-Aug-25	747\|913	827	824
31-Aug-25	743\|903	821	832
07-Sep-25	739\|898	812	791
14-Sep-25	729\|883	803	775
21-Sep-25	719\|878	796	698
28-Sep-25	709\|868	786	754
05-Oct-25	714\|864	788	741
12-Oct-25	705\|857	778	764
19-Oct-25	697\|847	772	735
26-Oct-25	690\|843	764	749
02-Nov-25	689\|837	760	734
09-Nov-25	685\|833	756	690
16-Nov-25	678\|828	752	755
23-Nov-25	683\|829	751	717
30-Nov-25	680\|828	752	733
07-Dec-25	681\|830	751	709
14-Dec-25	680\|830	753	724
21-Dec-25	678\|829	752	709
28-Dec-25	681\|831	753	666

Actual and expected deaths, Queensland, January 2024 - December 2025 (a)(b)

["Week ending","95% bounds","Expected","Actual"]

[["07-Jan-24","14-Jan-24","21-Jan-24","28-Jan-24","04-Feb-24","11-Feb-24","18-Feb-24","25-Feb-24","03-Mar-24","10-Mar-24","17-Mar-24","24-Mar-24","31-Mar-24","07-Apr-24","14-Apr-24","21-Apr-24","28-Apr-24","05-May-24","12-May-24","19-May-24","26-May-24","02-Jun-24","09-Jun-24","16-Jun-24","23-Jun-24","30-Jun-24","07-Jul-24","14-Jul-24","21-Jul-24","28-Jul-24","04-Aug-24","11-Aug-24","18-Aug-24","25-Aug-24","01-Sep-24","08-Sep-24","15-Sep-24","22-Sep-24","29-Sep-24","06-Oct-24","13-Oct-24","20-Oct-24","27-Oct-24","03-Nov-24","10-Nov-24","17-Nov-24","24-Nov-24","01-Dec-24","08-Dec-24","15-Dec-24","22-Dec-24","29-Dec-24","05-Jan-25","12-Jan-25","19-Jan-25","26-Jan-25","02-Feb-25","09-Feb-25","16-Feb-25","23-Feb-25","02-Mar-25","09-Mar-25","16-Mar-25","23-Mar-25","30-Mar-25","06-Apr-25","13-Apr-25","20-Apr-25","27-Apr-25","04-May-25","11-May-25","18-May-25","25-May-25","01-Jun-25","08-Jun-25","15-Jun-25","22-Jun-25","29-Jun-25","06-Jul-25","13-Jul-25","20-Jul-25","27-Jul-25","03-Aug-25","10-Aug-25","17-Aug-25","24-Aug-25","31-Aug-25","07-Sep-25","14-Sep-25","21-Sep-25","28-Sep-25","05-Oct-25","12-Oct-25","19-Oct-25","26-Oct-25","02-Nov-25","09-Nov-25","16-Nov-25","23-Nov-25","30-Nov-25","07-Dec-25","14-Dec-25","21-Dec-25","28-Dec-25"],[[630,769],[629,777],[625,771],[631,775],[631,772],[632,775],[634,777],[635,785],[639,780],[636,786],[645,787],[647,792],[644,791],[650,798],[651,807],[658,808],[662,810],[667,814],[671,819],[681,827],[682,837],[688,840],[695,849],[698,857],[706,860],[706,866],[716,870],[721,877],[716,877],[718,875],[720,879],[716,873],[715,874],[708,871],[708,861],[700,855],[695,852],[692,838],[681,834],[680,836],[676,825],[667,816],[662,809],[657,805],[653,800],[651,801],[649,790],[650,788],[648,787],[644,791],[643,792],[642,786],[660,799],[665,815],[665,814],[667,814],[670,816],[668,816],[671,818],[676,820],[674,822],[670,823],[679,824],[680,827],[682,831],[689,838],[690,843],[697,843],[698,855],[703,859],[702,861],[715,873],[721,878],[730,890],[735,891],[739,902],[745,907],[753,907],[760,925],[760,924],[756,924],[758,927],[760,920],[754,915],[751,920],[747,913],[743,903],[739,898],[729,883],[719,878],[709,868],[714,864],[705,857],[697,847],[690,843],[689,837],[685,833],[678,828],[683,829],[680,828],[681,830],[680,830],[678,829],[681,831]],[[699],[699],[698],[700],[701],[703],[704],[705],[706],[710],[712],[714],[717],[726],[727],[731],[734],[738],[744],[752],[757],[760],[768],[775],[780],[786],[792],[794],[796],[797],[795],[795],[791],[789],[784],[776],[769],[760],[752],[755],[748],[737],[733],[729],[724],[723],[720],[717],[715],[716],[715],[712],[727],[737],[738],[739],[739],[743],[745],[746],[748],[749],[749],[751],[755],[760],[764],[769],[772],[778],[782],[789],[797],[804],[813],[818],[825],[827],[835],[838],[841],[838],[838],[836],[831],[827],[821],[812],[803],[796],[786],[788],[778],[772],[764],[760],[756],[752],[751],[752],[751],[753],[752],[753]],[[738],[703],[755],[818],[715],[740],[743],[693],[721],[715],[746],[655],[745],[717],[709],[679],[720],[762],[670],[782],[764],[768],[794],[812],[826],[876],[768],[732],[864],[893],[827],[803],[802],[749],[770],[732],[707],[645],[728],[703],[686],[739],[705],[714],[681],[669],[680],[726],[686],[752],[751],[652],[765],[697],[754],[722],[610],[670],[716],[707],[676],[675],[701],[667],[724],[704],[702],[696],[704],[704],[715],[719],[734],[739],[761],[795],[865],[848],[884],[838],[866],[796],[838],[822],[783],[824],[832],[791],[775],[698],[754],[741],[764],[735],[749],[734],[690],[755],[717],[733],[709],[724],[709],[666]]]

[]

[{"value":"0","axis_id":"0","axis_title":"","axis_units":"","tooltip_units":"","table_units":"","axis_min":null,"axis_max":null,"tick_interval":null,"precision":"-1","data_unit_prefix":"","data_unit_suffix":"","reverse_axis":false}]

[{"axis_id":"0","tick_interval":"","axis_min":"","axis_max":"","axis_title":"","precision":"","table_units":"","tooltip_units":"","axis_units":"","data_unit_prefix":"","data_unit_suffix":"","reverse_axis":false}]

Data is provisional and will change as additional death registrations are received.
Includes all deaths (both doctor and coroner certified) that occurred by 28 December 2025 and were registered and received by the ABS by 30 April 2026.

Weekly all-cause mortality: South Australia

In South Australia, annual mortality was estimated at 0.7% below expected in 2024 and 3.2% below expected in 2025.
Weekly numbers of deaths were lower than expected between:
- late October 2024 and early December 2024,
- mid-March 2025 and mid-May 2025.
Weekly numbers of deaths were higher than expected between:
- late May 2024 and early-July 2024,
- late May 2025 and late June 2025.

Excess mortality by year, South Australia, 2024 and 2025 (a)(b)(c)
	Observed	Expected	Excess	% Excess
2024	15,599	15,710	-111	-0.7
2025	15,687	16,203	-516	-3.2

Data is provisional and subject to change.
Years are based on a sum of International Organization for Standardization (ISO) weeks derived from the weekly modelling. There are 52 weeks in 2024 and 2025.
Includes all deaths (both doctor and coroner certified) that occurred by 28 December 2025 and were registered and received by the ABS by 30 April 2026.

Actual and expected deaths, South Australia, January 2024 - December 2025 (a)(b)
Week ending	95% bounds	Expected	Actual
07-Jan-24	241\|327	280	297
14-Jan-24	240\|322	280	269
21-Jan-24	235\|322	279	255
28-Jan-24	239\|321	279	255
04-Feb-24	237\|323	279	298
11-Feb-24	237\|324	279	273
18-Feb-24	238\|322	279	279
25-Feb-24	238\|326	280	281
03-Mar-24	239\|323	279	282
10-Mar-24	242\|327	281	287
17-Mar-24	239\|326	281	288
24-Mar-24	243\|327	283	294
31-Mar-24	242\|329	284	291
07-Apr-24	248\|329	289	276
14-Apr-24	247\|337	289	283
21-Apr-24	251\|339	294	301
28-Apr-24	252\|340	295	268
05-May-24	256\|348	298	299
12-May-24	256\|347	302	296
19-May-24	261\|351	303	297
26-May-24	265\|356	308	328
02-Jun-24	263\|358	311	319
09-Jun-24	266\|360	313	329
16-Jun-24	269\|363	315	348
23-Jun-24	271\|366	317	336
30-Jun-24	275\|367	320	337
07-Jul-24	277\|367	323	359
14-Jul-24	279\|372	323	302
21-Jul-24	277\|375	324	335
28-Jul-24	280\|376	325	325
04-Aug-24	279\|376	324	332
11-Aug-24	278\|376	325	311
18-Aug-24	278\|374	325	367
25-Aug-24	279\|370	323	324
01-Sep-24	277\|368	321	346
08-Sep-24	276\|368	320	302
15-Sep-24	275\|367	318	317
22-Sep-24	271\|363	315	299
29-Sep-24	270\|360	313	343
06-Oct-24	270\|362	315	312
13-Oct-24	267\|360	311	293
20-Oct-24	263\|358	308	313
27-Oct-24	265\|354	307	297
03-Nov-24	260\|351	304	251
10-Nov-24	259\|350	302	299
17-Nov-24	257\|346	299	267
24-Nov-24	253\|343	296	271
01-Dec-24	254\|341	295	254
08-Dec-24	249\|338	292	248
15-Dec-24	247\|337	289	290
22-Dec-24	245\|335	287	287
29-Dec-24	245\|332	286	289
05-Jan-25	243\|329	286	262
12-Jan-25	245\|332	287	257
19-Jan-25	245\|331	289	271
26-Jan-25	246\|332	288	297
02-Feb-25	246\|333	289	270
09-Feb-25	248\|332	288	283
16-Feb-25	245\|332	289	258
23-Feb-25	244\|336	288	284
02-Mar-25	248\|335	289	275
09-Mar-25	249\|336	290	293
16-Mar-25	249\|336	292	261
23-Mar-25	252\|336	293	292
30-Mar-25	253\|339	294	275
06-Apr-25	256\|343	297	285
13-Apr-25	259\|347	300	292
20-Apr-25	259\|350	302	300
27-Apr-25	263\|354	307	258
04-May-25	266\|358	311	290
11-May-25	270\|360	313	310
18-May-25	274\|364	317	307
25-May-25	276\|367	320	329
01-Jun-25	276\|371	322	330
08-Jun-25	280\|373	325	352
15-Jun-25	281\|378	329	336
22-Jun-25	284\|381	332	344
29-Jun-25	287\|387	333	307
06-Jul-25	289\|384	336	346
13-Jul-25	290\|389	337	346
20-Jul-25	290\|387	338	336
27-Jul-25	290\|392	338	329
03-Aug-25	289\|385	337	336
10-Aug-25	291\|386	338	302
17-Aug-25	289\|383	336	328
24-Aug-25	288\|386	335	315
31-Aug-25	287\|380	334	319
07-Sep-25	284\|379	331	368
14-Sep-25	282\|377	328	310
21-Sep-25	281\|372	325	322
28-Sep-25	278\|369	322	316
05-Oct-25	275\|367	322	305
12-Oct-25	275\|368	320	289
19-Oct-25	271\|365	316	286
26-Oct-25	268\|360	313	321
02-Nov-25	268\|357	310	277
09-Nov-25	265\|357	309	298
16-Nov-25	262\|352	306	313
23-Nov-25	260\|351	305	275
30-Nov-25	259\|347	302	262
07-Dec-25	256\|345	299	273
14-Dec-25	254\|341	298	290
21-Dec-25	253\|341	296	330
28-Dec-25	253\|339	295	277

Actual and expected deaths, South Australia, January 2024 - December 2025 (a)(b)

["Week ending","95% bounds","Expected","Actual"]

[["07-Jan-24","14-Jan-24","21-Jan-24","28-Jan-24","04-Feb-24","11-Feb-24","18-Feb-24","25-Feb-24","03-Mar-24","10-Mar-24","17-Mar-24","24-Mar-24","31-Mar-24","07-Apr-24","14-Apr-24","21-Apr-24","28-Apr-24","05-May-24","12-May-24","19-May-24","26-May-24","02-Jun-24","09-Jun-24","16-Jun-24","23-Jun-24","30-Jun-24","07-Jul-24","14-Jul-24","21-Jul-24","28-Jul-24","04-Aug-24","11-Aug-24","18-Aug-24","25-Aug-24","01-Sep-24","08-Sep-24","15-Sep-24","22-Sep-24","29-Sep-24","06-Oct-24","13-Oct-24","20-Oct-24","27-Oct-24","03-Nov-24","10-Nov-24","17-Nov-24","24-Nov-24","01-Dec-24","08-Dec-24","15-Dec-24","22-Dec-24","29-Dec-24","05-Jan-25","12-Jan-25","19-Jan-25","26-Jan-25","02-Feb-25","09-Feb-25","16-Feb-25","23-Feb-25","02-Mar-25","09-Mar-25","16-Mar-25","23-Mar-25","30-Mar-25","06-Apr-25","13-Apr-25","20-Apr-25","27-Apr-25","04-May-25","11-May-25","18-May-25","25-May-25","01-Jun-25","08-Jun-25","15-Jun-25","22-Jun-25","29-Jun-25","06-Jul-25","13-Jul-25","20-Jul-25","27-Jul-25","03-Aug-25","10-Aug-25","17-Aug-25","24-Aug-25","31-Aug-25","07-Sep-25","14-Sep-25","21-Sep-25","28-Sep-25","05-Oct-25","12-Oct-25","19-Oct-25","26-Oct-25","02-Nov-25","09-Nov-25","16-Nov-25","23-Nov-25","30-Nov-25","07-Dec-25","14-Dec-25","21-Dec-25","28-Dec-25"],[[241,327],[240,322],[235,322],[239,321],[237,323],[237,324],[238,322],[238,326],[239,323],[242,327],[239,326],[243,327],[242,329],[248,329],[247,337],[251,339],[252,340],[256,348],[256,347],[261,351],[265,356],[263,358],[266,360],[269,363],[271,366],[275,367],[277,367],[279,372],[277,375],[280,376],[279,376],[278,376],[278,374],[279,370],[277,368],[276,368],[275,367],[271,363],[270,360],[270,362],[267,360],[263,358],[265,354],[260,351],[259,350],[257,346],[253,343],[254,341],[249,338],[247,337],[245,335],[245,332],[243,329],[245,332],[245,331],[246,332],[246,333],[248,332],[245,332],[244,336],[248,335],[249,336],[249,336],[252,336],[253,339],[256,343],[259,347],[259,350],[263,354],[266,358],[270,360],[274,364],[276,367],[276,371],[280,373],[281,378],[284,381],[287,387],[289,384],[290,389],[290,387],[290,392],[289,385],[291,386],[289,383],[288,386],[287,380],[284,379],[282,377],[281,372],[278,369],[275,367],[275,368],[271,365],[268,360],[268,357],[265,357],[262,352],[260,351],[259,347],[256,345],[254,341],[253,341],[253,339]],[[280],[280],[279],[279],[279],[279],[279],[280],[279],[281],[281],[283],[284],[289],[289],[294],[295],[298],[302],[303],[308],[311],[313],[315],[317],[320],[323],[323],[324],[325],[324],[325],[325],[323],[321],[320],[318],[315],[313],[315],[311],[308],[307],[304],[302],[299],[296],[295],[292],[289],[287],[286],[286],[287],[289],[288],[289],[288],[289],[288],[289],[290],[292],[293],[294],[297],[300],[302],[307],[311],[313],[317],[320],[322],[325],[329],[332],[333],[336],[337],[338],[338],[337],[338],[336],[335],[334],[331],[328],[325],[322],[322],[320],[316],[313],[310],[309],[306],[305],[302],[299],[298],[296],[295]],[[297],[269],[255],[255],[298],[273],[279],[281],[282],[287],[288],[294],[291],[276],[283],[301],[268],[299],[296],[297],[328],[319],[329],[348],[336],[337],[359],[302],[335],[325],[332],[311],[367],[324],[346],[302],[317],[299],[343],[312],[293],[313],[297],[251],[299],[267],[271],[254],[248],[290],[287],[289],[262],[257],[271],[297],[270],[283],[258],[284],[275],[293],[261],[292],[275],[285],[292],[300],[258],[290],[310],[307],[329],[330],[352],[336],[344],[307],[346],[346],[336],[329],[336],[302],[328],[315],[319],[368],[310],[322],[316],[305],[289],[286],[321],[277],[298],[313],[275],[262],[273],[290],[330],[277]]]

[]

[{"value":"0","axis_id":"0","axis_title":"","axis_units":"","tooltip_units":"","table_units":"","axis_min":null,"axis_max":null,"tick_interval":null,"precision":"-1","data_unit_prefix":"","data_unit_suffix":"","reverse_axis":false}]

[{"axis_id":"0","tick_interval":"","axis_min":"","axis_max":"","axis_title":"","precision":"","table_units":"","tooltip_units":"","axis_units":"","data_unit_prefix":"","data_unit_suffix":"","reverse_axis":false}]

Data is provisional and will change as additional death registrations are received.
Includes all deaths (both doctor and coroner certified) that occurred by 28 December 2025 and were registered and received by the ABS by 30 April 2026.

Weekly all-cause mortality: Western Australia

In Western Australia, annual mortality was estimated at 3.7% below expected in 2024 and 3.9% below expected in 2025.
Weekly numbers of deaths were lower than expected between:
- late June 2024 and mid-September 2024,
- late December 2024 and mid-March 2025,
- late April 2025 and late June 2025,
- early November 2025 and end of December 2025.
Across 2024 and 2025 there were few periods where mortality was higher than expected for 2 consecutive weeks. Overall mortality was higher than expected in July 2025.

Excess mortality by year, Western Australia, 2024 and 2025 (a)(b)(c)
	Observed	Expected	Excess	% Excess
2024	17,920	18,611	-691	-3.7
2025	18,158	18,894	-736	-3.9

Data is provisional and subject to change.
Years are based on a sum of International Organization for Standardization (ISO) weeks derived from the weekly modelling. There are 52 weeks in 2024 and 2025.
Includes all deaths (both doctor and coroner certified) that occurred by 28 December 2025 and were registered and received by the ABS by 30 April 2026.

Actual and expected deaths, Western Australia, January 2024 - December 2025 (a)(b)
Week ending	95% bounds	Expected	Actual
07-Jan-24	292\|385	338	325
14-Jan-24	290\|386	336	352
21-Jan-24	291\|383	335	339
28-Jan-24	289\|385	336	337
04-Feb-24	288\|384	334	278
11-Feb-24	289\|382	334	337
18-Feb-24	285\|381	334	332
25-Feb-24	290\|382	334	335
03-Mar-24	287\|383	334	301
10-Mar-24	289\|384	335	326
17-Mar-24	292\|385	335	323
24-Mar-24	293\|384	338	310
31-Mar-24	295\|388	338	317
07-Apr-24	299\|393	343	325
14-Apr-24	300\|398	346	330
21-Apr-24	303\|400	348	366
28-Apr-24	304\|401	352	323
05-May-24	307\|404	354	324
12-May-24	309\|406	357	360
19-May-24	314\|410	360	329
26-May-24	319\|414	364	358
02-Jun-24	318\|417	367	329
09-Jun-24	322\|422	368	352
16-Jun-24	325\|423	372	385
23-Jun-24	326\|426	374	369
30-Jun-24	325\|427	375	366
07-Jul-24	332\|435	380	353
14-Jul-24	333\|436	381	373
21-Jul-24	334\|435	382	361
28-Jul-24	333\|436	383	362
04-Aug-24	335\|435	383	373
11-Aug-24	334\|436	383	358
18-Aug-24	332\|437	382	369
25-Aug-24	334\|434	381	350
01-Sep-24	330\|434	381	372
08-Sep-24	327\|433	379	354
15-Sep-24	330\|432	378	336
22-Sep-24	326\|427	376	377
29-Sep-24	323\|423	371	336
06-Oct-24	324\|423	371	327
13-Oct-24	321\|419	368	342
20-Oct-24	317\|416	365	347
27-Oct-24	316\|414	362	350
03-Nov-24	311\|410	360	326
10-Nov-24	310\|405	356	365
17-Nov-24	308\|404	353	362
24-Nov-24	308\|400	352	353
01-Dec-24	303\|402	351	323
08-Dec-24	300\|396	349	380
15-Dec-24	301\|397	347	358
22-Dec-24	299\|396	347	346
29-Dec-24	299\|396	346	339
05-Jan-25	298\|390	343	324
12-Jan-25	298\|395	345	343
19-Jan-25	297\|390	344	299
26-Jan-25	296\|392	342	299
02-Feb-25	295\|388	342	325
09-Feb-25	295\|389	340	334
16-Feb-25	296\|389	340	329
23-Feb-25	296\|391	341	328
02-Mar-25	297\|390	341	324
09-Mar-25	297\|390	340	328
16-Mar-25	298\|391	342	329
23-Mar-25	298\|392	344	345
30-Mar-25	301\|394	346	353
06-Apr-25	304\|399	349	304
13-Apr-25	304\|405	352	359
20-Apr-25	311\|406	354	352
27-Apr-25	310\|405	358	334
04-May-25	315\|412	359	324
11-May-25	317\|415	364	337
18-May-25	318\|417	366	346
25-May-25	320\|422	369	347
01-Jun-25	327\|424	372	373
08-Jun-25	327\|429	376	336
15-Jun-25	329\|430	378	367
22-Jun-25	332\|431	379	352
29-Jun-25	331\|432	381	377
06-Jul-25	335\|436	384	415
13-Jul-25	334\|438	384	386
20-Jul-25	333\|437	384	364
27-Jul-25	335\|438	383	412
03-Aug-25	333\|437	384	347
10-Aug-25	334\|440	383	366
17-Aug-25	334\|436	383	384
24-Aug-25	332\|434	382	388
31-Aug-25	332\|432	380	361
07-Sep-25	330\|431	379	389
14-Sep-25	327\|429	377	365
21-Sep-25	324\|426	376	368
28-Sep-25	322\|427	373	364
05-Oct-25	327\|427	375	379
12-Oct-25	320\|427	371	377
19-Oct-25	319\|423	369	366
26-Oct-25	318\|419	366	341
02-Nov-25	315\|414	364	373
09-Nov-25	313\|414	362	319
16-Nov-25	311\|411	360	360
23-Nov-25	312\|407	358	330
30-Nov-25	309\|407	357	311
07-Dec-25	309\|406	356	327
14-Dec-25	308\|406	356	351
21-Dec-25	309\|405	355	336
28-Dec-25	308\|404	355	311

Actual and expected deaths, Western Australia, January 2024 - December 2025 (a)(b)

["Week ending","95% bounds","Expected","Actual"]

[["07-Jan-24","14-Jan-24","21-Jan-24","28-Jan-24","04-Feb-24","11-Feb-24","18-Feb-24","25-Feb-24","03-Mar-24","10-Mar-24","17-Mar-24","24-Mar-24","31-Mar-24","07-Apr-24","14-Apr-24","21-Apr-24","28-Apr-24","05-May-24","12-May-24","19-May-24","26-May-24","02-Jun-24","09-Jun-24","16-Jun-24","23-Jun-24","30-Jun-24","07-Jul-24","14-Jul-24","21-Jul-24","28-Jul-24","04-Aug-24","11-Aug-24","18-Aug-24","25-Aug-24","01-Sep-24","08-Sep-24","15-Sep-24","22-Sep-24","29-Sep-24","06-Oct-24","13-Oct-24","20-Oct-24","27-Oct-24","03-Nov-24","10-Nov-24","17-Nov-24","24-Nov-24","01-Dec-24","08-Dec-24","15-Dec-24","22-Dec-24","29-Dec-24","05-Jan-25","12-Jan-25","19-Jan-25","26-Jan-25","02-Feb-25","09-Feb-25","16-Feb-25","23-Feb-25","02-Mar-25","09-Mar-25","16-Mar-25","23-Mar-25","30-Mar-25","06-Apr-25","13-Apr-25","20-Apr-25","27-Apr-25","04-May-25","11-May-25","18-May-25","25-May-25","01-Jun-25","08-Jun-25","15-Jun-25","22-Jun-25","29-Jun-25","06-Jul-25","13-Jul-25","20-Jul-25","27-Jul-25","03-Aug-25","10-Aug-25","17-Aug-25","24-Aug-25","31-Aug-25","07-Sep-25","14-Sep-25","21-Sep-25","28-Sep-25","05-Oct-25","12-Oct-25","19-Oct-25","26-Oct-25","02-Nov-25","09-Nov-25","16-Nov-25","23-Nov-25","30-Nov-25","07-Dec-25","14-Dec-25","21-Dec-25","28-Dec-25"],[[292,385],[290,386],[291,383],[289,385],[288,384],[289,382],[285,381],[290,382],[287,383],[289,384],[292,385],[293,384],[295,388],[299,393],[300,398],[303,400],[304,401],[307,404],[309,406],[314,410],[319,414],[318,417],[322,422],[325,423],[326,426],[325,427],[332,435],[333,436],[334,435],[333,436],[335,435],[334,436],[332,437],[334,434],[330,434],[327,433],[330,432],[326,427],[323,423],[324,423],[321,419],[317,416],[316,414],[311,410],[310,405],[308,404],[308,400],[303,402],[300,396],[301,397],[299,396],[299,396],[298,390],[298,395],[297,390],[296,392],[295,388],[295,389],[296,389],[296,391],[297,390],[297,390],[298,391],[298,392],[301,394],[304,399],[304,405],[311,406],[310,405],[315,412],[317,415],[318,417],[320,422],[327,424],[327,429],[329,430],[332,431],[331,432],[335,436],[334,438],[333,437],[335,438],[333,437],[334,440],[334,436],[332,434],[332,432],[330,431],[327,429],[324,426],[322,427],[327,427],[320,427],[319,423],[318,419],[315,414],[313,414],[311,411],[312,407],[309,407],[309,406],[308,406],[309,405],[308,404]],[[338],[336],[335],[336],[334],[334],[334],[334],[334],[335],[335],[338],[338],[343],[346],[348],[352],[354],[357],[360],[364],[367],[368],[372],[374],[375],[380],[381],[382],[383],[383],[383],[382],[381],[381],[379],[378],[376],[371],[371],[368],[365],[362],[360],[356],[353],[352],[351],[349],[347],[347],[346],[343],[345],[344],[342],[342],[340],[340],[341],[341],[340],[342],[344],[346],[349],[352],[354],[358],[359],[364],[366],[369],[372],[376],[378],[379],[381],[384],[384],[384],[383],[384],[383],[383],[382],[380],[379],[377],[376],[373],[375],[371],[369],[366],[364],[362],[360],[358],[357],[356],[356],[355],[355]],[[325],[352],[339],[337],[278],[337],[332],[335],[301],[326],[323],[310],[317],[325],[330],[366],[323],[324],[360],[329],[358],[329],[352],[385],[369],[366],[353],[373],[361],[362],[373],[358],[369],[350],[372],[354],[336],[377],[336],[327],[342],[347],[350],[326],[365],[362],[353],[323],[380],[358],[346],[339],[324],[343],[299],[299],[325],[334],[329],[328],[324],[328],[329],[345],[353],[304],[359],[352],[334],[324],[337],[346],[347],[373],[336],[367],[352],[377],[415],[386],[364],[412],[347],[366],[384],[388],[361],[389],[365],[368],[364],[379],[377],[366],[341],[373],[319],[360],[330],[311],[327],[351],[336],[311]]]

[]

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[{"axis_id":"0","tick_interval":"","axis_min":"","axis_max":"","axis_title":"","precision":"","table_units":"","tooltip_units":"","axis_units":"","data_unit_prefix":"","data_unit_suffix":"","reverse_axis":false}]

Data is provisional and will change as additional death registrations are received.
Includes all deaths (both doctor and coroner certified) that occurred by 28 December 2025 and were registered and received by the ABS by 30 April 2026.

Weekly all-cause mortality: Tasmania

In Tasmania, annual mortality was estimated at close to expected for 2024 (0.4% above expected) and 6.8% below expected in 2025.
Weekly numbers of deaths were lower than expected between:
- early September 2024 and early October 2024,
- early January 2025 and late March 2025,
- early May 2025 and the end of June 2025.
Weekly numbers of deaths were higher than expected between:
- mid-March 2024 and late May 2024,
- mid-June and August 2024,
- the end of November 2025 and mid-December 2025.

Excess mortality by year, Tasmania, 2024 and 2025 (a)(b)(c)
	Observed	Expected	Excess	% Excess
2024	5,308	5,287	21	0.4
2025	5,300	5,684	-384	-6.8

Data is provisional and subject to change.
Years are based on a sum of International Organization for Standardization (ISO) weeks derived from the weekly modelling. There are 52 weeks in 2024 and 2025.
Includes all deaths (both doctor and coroner certified) that occurred by 28 December 2025 and were registered and received by the ABS by 30 April 2026.

Actual and expected deaths, Tasmania, January 2024 - December 2025 (a)(b)
Week ending	95% bounds	Expected	Actual
07-Jan-24	71\|118	94	113
14-Jan-24	72\|118	94	101
21-Jan-24	71\|117	93	94
28-Jan-24	71\|117	94	69
04-Feb-24	72\|118	93	92
11-Feb-24	73\|119	93	97
18-Feb-24	73\|118	93	92
25-Feb-24	72\|118	93	105
03-Mar-24	72\|119	94	79
10-Mar-24	73\|117	95	100
17-Mar-24	73\|119	94	105
24-Mar-24	72\|120	94	98
31-Mar-24	73\|120	95	103
07-Apr-24	74\|122	97	115
14-Apr-24	74\|123	97	101
21-Apr-24	75\|124	98	104
28-Apr-24	77\|125	99	101
05-May-24	77\|125	100	112
12-May-24	78\|125	100	101
19-May-24	79\|128	102	108
26-May-24	78\|128	103	105
02-Jun-24	79\|130	103	99
09-Jun-24	81\|130	104	86
16-Jun-24	81\|131	106	107
23-Jun-24	81\|132	106	113
30-Jun-24	82\|134	106	123
07-Jul-24	85\|134	108	129
14-Jul-24	86\|135	108	105
21-Jul-24	85\|135	109	122
28-Jul-24	86\|134	109	100
04-Aug-24	85\|137	110	101
11-Aug-24	85\|136	110	132
18-Aug-24	85\|137	110	110
25-Aug-24	85\|138	110	110
01-Sep-24	86\|136	110	101
08-Sep-24	86\|136	110	94
15-Sep-24	84\|136	108	106
22-Sep-24	84\|135	108	104
29-Sep-24	84\|135	107	99
06-Oct-24	83\|133	107	90
13-Oct-24	81\|133	106	109
20-Oct-24	80\|130	104	106
27-Oct-24	80\|129	103	97
03-Nov-24	78\|127	102	90
10-Nov-24	76\|127	101	101
17-Nov-24	77\|125	100	85
24-Nov-24	77\|122	99	118
01-Dec-24	76\|124	98	102
08-Dec-24	75\|122	98	86
15-Dec-24	75\|121	97	98
22-Dec-24	74\|121	96	94
29-Dec-24	75\|120	96	96
05-Jan-25	76\|123	98	89
12-Jan-25	78\|127	101	92
19-Jan-25	78\|128	101	88
26-Jan-25	79\|128	102	97
02-Feb-25	79\|126	102	91
09-Feb-25	78\|129	102	84
16-Feb-25	78\|128	102	89
23-Feb-25	79\|130	102	99
02-Mar-25	79\|128	102	93
09-Mar-25	79\|129	103	88
16-Mar-25	80\|128	103	97
23-Mar-25	80\|129	103	76
30-Mar-25	80\|130	104	94
06-Apr-25	82\|132	106	115
13-Apr-25	82\|132	105	96
20-Apr-25	83\|135	106	92
27-Apr-25	83\|134	107	110
04-May-25	84\|135	108	77
11-May-25	85\|135	109	101
18-May-25	85\|137	110	94
25-May-25	86\|140	111	105
01-Jun-25	87\|139	112	98
08-Jun-25	88\|141	113	110
15-Jun-25	88\|142	113	98
22-Jun-25	89\|144	115	111
29-Jun-25	89\|142	114	94
06-Jul-25	91\|144	116	116
13-Jul-25	89\|144	117	135
20-Jul-25	92\|145	117	124
27-Jul-25	92\|146	117	114
03-Aug-25	91\|145	117	114
10-Aug-25	90\|146	117	93
17-Aug-25	91\|146	118	107
24-Aug-25	91\|144	117	108
31-Aug-25	92\|145	116	119
07-Sep-25	90\|144	116	116
14-Sep-25	89\|143	116	113
21-Sep-25	90\|142	115	128
28-Sep-25	89\|141	113	107
05-Oct-25	89\|142	114	99
12-Oct-25	87\|140	113	96
19-Oct-25	87\|138	111	114
26-Oct-25	86\|138	110	89
02-Nov-25	85\|137	109	114
09-Nov-25	84\|134	109	128
16-Nov-25	84\|133	108	93
23-Nov-25	83\|134	107	87
30-Nov-25	82\|134	105	114
07-Dec-25	81\|131	106	111
14-Dec-25	81\|132	104	110
21-Dec-25	80\|129	104	90
28-Dec-25	80\|130	104	83

Actual and expected deaths, Tasmania, January 2024 - December 2025 (a)(b)

["Week ending","95% bounds","Expected","Actual"]

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[]

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[{"axis_id":"0","tick_interval":"","axis_min":"","axis_max":"","axis_title":"","precision":"","table_units":"","tooltip_units":"","axis_units":"","data_unit_prefix":"","data_unit_suffix":"","reverse_axis":false}]

Data is provisional and will change as additional death registrations are received.
Includes all deaths (both doctor and coroner certified) that occurred by 28 December 2025 and were registered and received by the ABS by 30 April 2026.

Weekly all-cause mortality: Northern Territory

There is a longer time between the date of death and date of registration in the NT compared with other jurisdictions, meaning that the observed number of deaths may not be as complete. This is due to the dispersed geography, with the wet season and remote communities sometimes leading to a delay in burial and funerals (and therefore death registrations). Additionally, a higher proportion of deaths are referred to a coroner in the NT. The number of deaths that occurred in 2025, and to a lesser extent 2024, are likely to increase as more registrations are received by the ABS. This will change the excess mortality estimates in future publications.
Excess mortality estimates for the Northern Territory should be treated with caution. There are a small number of deaths occurring in the NT each year, and often there are less than 20 deaths per week. The small number of deaths in the NT is due to a combination of factors, including the Territory's smaller population size and younger population.
In the Northern Territory, annual mortality was estimated at 4.6% below expected in 2024 and 10.6% below expected in 2025.
Weekly numbers of deaths were lower than expected between:
- mid-February 2024 and mid-March 2024,
- mid-September 2024 and mid-October 2024,
- mid-March 2025 and mid-May 2025,
- mid-August 2025 and mid-September 2025,
- early October 2025 and end of December 2025.
Weekly numbers of deaths were higher than expected between:
- most of early April and early August 2024,
- most of late May 2025 and early August 2025.

Excess mortality by year, Northern Territory, 2024 and 2025 (a)(b)(c)(d)
	Observed	Expected	Excess	% Excess
2024	1,267	1,328	-61	-4.6
2025	1,163	1,301	-138	-10.6

Data is provisional and subject to change.
Years are based on a sum of International Organization for Standardization (ISO) weeks derived from the weekly modelling. There are 52 weeks in 2024 and 2025.
Includes all deaths (both doctor and coroner certified) that occurred by 28 December 2025 and were registered and received by the ABS by 30 April 2026.
Administrative factors as outlined in the commentary should be considered when interpreting results for the Northern Territory.

Actual and expected deaths, Northern Territory, January 2024 - December 2025 (a)(b)(c)
Week ending	95% bounds	Expected	Actual
07-Jan-24	13\|39	25	26
14-Jan-24	13\|39	25	26
21-Jan-24	13\|41	25	24
28-Jan-24	13\|39	25	23
04-Feb-24	13\|39	25	26
11-Feb-24	12\|39	24	27
18-Feb-24	13\|40	24	23
25-Feb-24	13\|39	24	21
03-Mar-24	13\|38	24	20
10-Mar-24	13\|39	24	21
17-Mar-24	13\|40	24	19
24-Mar-24	13\|39	24	26
31-Mar-24	12\|40	24	23
07-Apr-24	14\|39	24	24
14-Apr-24	13\|40	24	31
21-Apr-24	12\|39	24	25
28-Apr-24	12\|38	24	24
05-May-24	13\|40	25	36
12-May-24	13\|39	25	33
19-May-24	13\|39	24	22
26-May-24	13\|40	24	26
02-Jun-24	13\|40	24	25
09-Jun-24	13\|39	24	31
16-Jun-24	13\|39	24	27
23-Jun-24	13\|39	24	23
30-Jun-24	13\|39	24	27
07-Jul-24	13\|40	25	26
14-Jul-24	13\|40	25	21
21-Jul-24	13\|40	25	28
28-Jul-24	14\|40	25	32
04-Aug-24	13\|40	25	22
11-Aug-24	14\|40	25	21
18-Aug-24	13\|42	25	20
25-Aug-24	15\|41	26	19
01-Sep-24	14\|41	26	29
08-Sep-24	14\|42	26	19
15-Sep-24	14\|42	26	28
22-Sep-24	14\|42	25	27
29-Sep-24	14\|43	26	15
06-Oct-24	14\|42	26	25
13-Oct-24	14\|42	27	14
20-Oct-24	14\|42	26	20
27-Oct-24	14\|41	26	30
03-Nov-24	14\|42	26	19
10-Nov-24	15\|41	26	27
17-Nov-24	14\|42	26	29
24-Nov-24	14\|42	26	23
01-Dec-24	14\|41	26	27
08-Dec-24	13\|42	26	22
15-Dec-24	14\|41	25	26
22-Dec-24	14\|41	26	22
29-Dec-24	13\|40	25	17
05-Jan-25	13\|39	25	29
12-Jan-25	13\|40	24	34
19-Jan-25	13\|41	24	20
26-Jan-25	13\|39	24	20
02-Feb-25	12\|38	24	28
09-Feb-25	13\|38	24	19
16-Feb-25	13\|40	24	20
23-Feb-25	13\|39	24	25
02-Mar-25	13\|40	24	38
09-Mar-25	13\|39	24	26
16-Mar-25	13\|39	24	23
23-Mar-25	13\|39	24	16
30-Mar-25	12\|38	24	24
06-Apr-25	13\|39	24	21
13-Apr-25	13\|39	24	16
20-Apr-25	12\|39	24	19
27-Apr-25	13\|39	24	20
04-May-25	13\|38	24	21
11-May-25	13\|39	24	18
18-May-25	13\|40	24	21
25-May-25	13\|38	24	30
01-Jun-25	13\|40	24	28
08-Jun-25	13\|39	24	23
15-Jun-25	13\|39	24	29
22-Jun-25	12\|39	24	24
29-Jun-25	12\|39	24	20
06-Jul-25	13\|40	24	21
13-Jul-25	13\|40	24	20
20-Jul-25	13\|40	25	38
27-Jul-25	13\|39	25	28
03-Aug-25	13\|39	25	27
10-Aug-25	13\|39	25	21
17-Aug-25	14\|39	25	22
24-Aug-25	13\|39	25	24
31-Aug-25	13\|39	25	12
07-Sep-25	13\|40	25	17
14-Sep-25	13\|41	25	28
21-Sep-25	14\|40	25	19
28-Sep-25	14\|40	25	29
05-Oct-25	13\|41	25	10
12-Oct-25	13\|40	25	21
19-Oct-25	13\|39	25	20
26-Oct-25	14\|40	25	20
02-Nov-25	14\|40	25	20
09-Nov-25	13\|41	25	24
16-Nov-25	13\|40	25	20
23-Nov-25	13\|40	25	23
30-Nov-25	13\|40	25	10
07-Dec-25	14\|40	25	21
14-Dec-25	13\|39	25	24
21-Dec-25	13\|39	25	20
28-Dec-25	13\|40	25	12

Actual and expected deaths, Northern Territory, January 2024 - December 2025 (a)(b)(c)

["Week ending","95% bounds","Expected","Actual"]

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[]

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Data is provisional and will change as additional death registrations are received.
Includes all deaths (both doctor and coroner certified) that occurred by 28 December 2025 and were registered and received by the ABS by 30 April 2026.
Administrative factors as outlined in the commentary should be considered when interpreting results for the Northern Territory.

Weekly all-cause mortality: Australian Capital Territory

In the Australian Capital Territory, annual mortality was estimated at 4.6% below expected in 2024 and 2.4% below expected in 2025.
Weekly numbers of deaths were lower than expected between:
- early January 2024 and late April 2024,
- mid-April and late May 2025.
Weekly numbers of deaths were higher than expected between:
- mid-May 2024 and mid-June 2024.
Mortality generally fluctuated around expected levels in the Australian Capital Territory, especially between August 2024 and October 2024, and between February 2025 and April 2025.

Excess mortality by year, Australian Capital Territory, 2024 and 2025 (a)(b)(c)
	Observed	Expected	Excess	% Excess
2024	2,665	2,794	-129	-4.6
2025	2,693	2,758	-65	-2.4

Data is provisional and subject to change.
Years are based on a sum of International Organization for Standardization (ISO) weeks derived from the weekly modelling. There are 52 weeks in 2024 and 2025.
Includes all deaths (both doctor and coroner certified) that occurred by 28 December 2025 and were registered and received by the ABS by 30 April 2026.

Actual and expected deaths, Australian Capital Territory, January 2024 - December 2025 (a)(b)
Week ending	95% bounds	Expected	Actual
07-Jan-24	30\|71	49	41
14-Jan-24	31\|72	49	43
21-Jan-24	32\|72	49	39
28-Jan-24	31\|71	50	43
04-Feb-24	31\|72	49	42
11-Feb-24	31\|73	50	48
18-Feb-24	31\|73	50	47
25-Feb-24	33\|72	50	42
03-Mar-24	32\|73	50	46
10-Mar-24	31\|74	50	50
17-Mar-24	32\|73	50	36
24-Mar-24	32\|75	51	35
31-Mar-24	33\|75	51	45
07-Apr-24	32\|75	52	52
14-Apr-24	33\|76	52	50
21-Apr-24	33\|78	53	48
28-Apr-24	33\|77	53	55
05-May-24	35\|78	54	60
12-May-24	35\|79	54	45
19-May-24	36\|80	55	66
26-May-24	35\|80	56	62
02-Jun-24	36\|80	56	65
09-Jun-24	35\|80	56	71
16-Jun-24	36\|83	57	49
23-Jun-24	36\|82	57	54
30-Jun-24	36\|81	56	54
07-Jul-24	36\|84	57	49
14-Jul-24	37\|82	56	51
21-Jul-24	36\|82	57	54
28-Jul-24	37\|83	57	58
04-Aug-24	37\|82	57	62
11-Aug-24	36\|84	57	58
18-Aug-24	36\|82	57	67
25-Aug-24	36\|81	56	47
01-Sep-24	35\|82	56	57
08-Sep-24	36\|81	56	46
15-Sep-24	35\|80	55	64
22-Sep-24	36\|79	55	47
29-Sep-24	35\|80	55	67
06-Oct-24	35\|78	55	57
13-Oct-24	34\|79	53	43
20-Oct-24	33\|78	54	52
27-Oct-24	33\|77	53	53
03-Nov-24	33\|76	52	42
10-Nov-24	32\|76	51	40
17-Nov-24	33\|75	52	60
24-Nov-24	32\|75	51	53
01-Dec-24	32\|74	51	46
08-Dec-24	32\|72	50	46
15-Dec-24	31\|74	50	67
22-Dec-24	31\|73	50	46
29-Dec-24	31\|72	50	45
05-Jan-25	30\|70	48	45
12-Jan-25	30\|71	49	47
19-Jan-25	31\|71	49	49
26-Jan-25	30\|71	49	38
02-Feb-25	31\|71	49	31
09-Feb-25	31\|72	48	55
16-Feb-25	31\|71	49	62
23-Feb-25	31\|72	49	56
02-Mar-25	31\|72	49	42
09-Mar-25	31\|71	49	52
16-Mar-25	31\|72	50	43
23-Mar-25	32\|74	49	54
30-Mar-25	32\|73	50	42
06-Apr-25	32\|75	51	47
13-Apr-25	33\|74	52	59
20-Apr-25	34\|76	52	47
27-Apr-25	34\|77	53	43
04-May-25	34\|77	54	49
11-May-25	34\|78	54	51
18-May-25	35\|79	55	38
25-May-25	34\|80	55	53
01-Jun-25	35\|81	55	63
08-Jun-25	36\|81	56	53
15-Jun-25	35\|79	55	58
22-Jun-25	36\|80	56	61
29-Jun-25	37\|83	56	57
06-Jul-25	36\|82	57	71
13-Jul-25	36\|80	56	57
20-Jul-25	37\|80	56	52
27-Jul-25	36\|81	56	65
03-Aug-25	36\|80	56	64
10-Aug-25	35\|80	56	58
17-Aug-25	35\|81	56	55
24-Aug-25	36\|80	56	54
31-Aug-25	35\|80	56	50
07-Sep-25	34\|80	55	55
14-Sep-25	35\|79	54	58
21-Sep-25	34\|79	55	43
28-Sep-25	35\|78	54	52
05-Oct-25	35\|79	54	54
12-Oct-25	34\|76	53	56
19-Oct-25	34\|78	53	57
26-Oct-25	32\|76	52	57
02-Nov-25	33\|76	51	58
09-Nov-25	33\|75	52	49
16-Nov-25	33\|75	51	43
23-Nov-25	33\|74	50	50
30-Nov-25	32\|72	50	57
07-Dec-25	32\|72	50	48
14-Dec-25	31\|72	50	40
21-Dec-25	31\|73	50	49
28-Dec-25	31\|72	49	46

Actual and expected deaths, Australian Capital Territory, January 2024 - December 2025 (a)(b)

["Week ending","95% bounds","Expected","Actual"]

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[]

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Data is provisional and will change as additional death registrations are received.
Includes all deaths (both doctor and coroner certified) that occurred by 28 December 2025 and were registered and received by the ABS by 30 April 2026.

Data downloads

Excess mortality January 2024 - December 2025

Data files

Download xlsx [136.22 KB]

Methodology

Scope

Deaths:

occurring and registered in Australia
within Australian Territorial waters, Australian Antarctic and other external territories
in transit if registered in Australian state or territory of 'next port of call'
of Australian diplomats overseas

Geography

Data available for:

Australia
States and territories

Source

Registered deaths provided by the state and territory Registrars of Births, Deaths and Marriages. Certification by coroner provided by the National Coronial Information System.

Collection method

Administrative data

Concepts, sources and methods

Excess mortality is estimated by comparing the number of observed deaths with the number of deaths expected based on historical patterns.
The underlying concepts and methods used are available in the methodology.

History of changes

This release introduces a new method for estimating excess mortality. Users should exercise caution when comparing estimates produced using the new and previous methods.

View full methodology

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