5625.0 - Private New Capital Expenditure and Expected Expenditure, Australia, Jun 2018 Quality Declaration 
ARCHIVED ISSUE Released at 11:30 AM (CANBERRA TIME) 30/08/2018   
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WHAT IF...? REVISIONS TO TREND ESTIMATES


EFFECT OF NEW SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ESTIMATES ON TREND ESTIMATES


TREND REVISIONS

Recent seasonally adjusted and trend estimates are likely to be revised when original estimates for subsequent quarters become available. The approximate effects of possible scenarios on trend estimates for capital expenditure in chain volume terms are presented below by illustrating the impact if next quarter's seasonally adjusted estimate rises or falls by a specified percentage (based on the historical average of movements in seasonally adjusted estimates). For further information, see paragraphs 41 and 42 in the Explanatory Notes.

Buildings and Structures

Graph: What If - Buildings & Structures
WHAT IF NEXT QUARTER'S
SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ESTIMATE:
Trend as published
(1) rises by 2.1%
on this quarter
(2) falls by 2.1%
on this quarter
$m
%
$m
%
$m
%
2017
September
16 346
0.6
16 346
0.6
16 346
0.6
December
16 206
-0.9
16 209
-0.8
16 232
-0.7
2018
March
15 929
-1.7
15 929
-1.7
15 920
-1.9
June
15 592
-2.1
15 661
-1.7
15 547
-2.3

Equipment, Plant and Machinery

Graph: What If - Equipment, Plant & Machinery
WHAT IF NEXT QUARTER'S
SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ESTIMATE:
Trend as published
(1) rises by 1.9%
on this quarter
(2) falls by 1.9%
on this quarter
$m
%
$m
%
$m
%
2017
September
13 072
2.5
13 072
2.5
13 072
2.5
December
13 387
2.4
13 399
2.5
13 423
2.7
2018
March
13 626
1.8
13 623
1.7
13 614
1.4
June
13 804
1.3
13 776
1.1
13 660
0.3

Total Capital Expenditure

Graph: What If - Total
WHAT IF NEXT QUARTER'S
SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ESTIMATE:
Trend as published
(1) rises by 2.0%
on this quarter
(2) falls by 2.0%
on this quarter
$m
%
$m
%
$m
%
2017
September
29 419
1.4
29 419
1.4
29 419
1.4
December
29 594
0.6
29 608
0.6
29 655
0.8
2018
March
29 555
-0.1
29 554
-0.2
29 538
-0.4
June
29 377
-0.6
29 437
-0.4
29 211
-1.1