5625.0 - Private New Capital Expenditure and Expected Expenditure, Australia, Jun 2016 Quality Declaration 
ARCHIVED ISSUE Released at 11:30 AM (CANBERRA TIME) 01/09/2016   
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WHAT IF...? REVISIONS TO TREND ESTIMATES


EFFECT OF NEW SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ESTIMATES ON TREND ESTIMATES


TREND REVISIONS

Recent seasonally adjusted and trend estimates are likely to be revised when original estimates for subsequent quarters become available. The approximate effects of possible scenarios on trend estimates for capital expenditure in chain volume terms are presented below by illustrating the impact if next quarter's seasonally adjusted estimate rises or falls by a specified percentage (based on the historical average of movements in seasonally adjusted estimates). For further information, see paragraphs 41 and 42 in the Explanatory Notes.

Buildings and Structures

Graph: What If - Buildings and Structures

WHAT IF NEXT QUARTER'S
SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ESTIMATE:
Trend as published
(1) rises by 2.1%
on this quarter
(2) falls by 2.1%
on this quarter
$m
%
$m
%
$m
%
2015
September
20 803
-5.1
20 803
-5.1
20 803
-5.1
December
19 673
-5.4
19 625
-5.7
19 654
-5.5
2016
March
18 365
-6.6
18 371
-6.4
18 360
-6.6
June
17 078
-7.0
17 217
-6.3
17 078
-7.0


Equipment, Plant and Machinery

Graph: What If - Equipment, Plant and Machinery

WHAT IF NEXT QUARTER'S
SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ESTIMATE:
Trend as published
(1) rises by 1.9%
on this quarter
(2) falls by 1.9%
on this quarter
$m
%
$m
%
$m
%
2015
September
11 934
-3.8
11 934
-3.8
11 934
-3.8
December
11 792
-1.2
11 746
-1.6
11 769
-1.4
2016
March
11 903
0.9
11 914
1.4
11 906
1.2
June
12 132
1.9
12 161
2.1
12 052
1.2


Total Capital Expenditure

Graph: What If - Total Capex

WHAT IF NEXT QUARTER'S
SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ESTIMATE:
Trend as published
(1) rises by 2.0%
on this quarter
(2) falls by 2.0%
on this quarter
$m
%
$m
%
$m
%
2015
September
32 737
-4.7
32 737
-4.7
32 737
-4.7
December
31 473
-3.9
31 371
-4.2
31 422
-4.0
2016
March
30 272
-3.8
30 303
-3.4
30 285
-3.6
June
29 130
-3.8
29 385
-3.0
29 139
-3.8