5625.0 - Private New Capital Expenditure and Expected Expenditure, Australia, Dec 2016 Quality Declaration 
ARCHIVED ISSUE Released at 11:30 AM (CANBERRA TIME) 23/02/2017   
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WHAT IF...? REVISIONS TO TREND ESTIMATES


EFFECT OF NEW SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ESTIMATES ON TREND ESTIMATES


TREND REVISIONS

Recent seasonally adjusted and trend estimates are likely to be revised when original estimates for subsequent quarters become available. The approximate effects of possible scenarios on trend estimates for capital expenditure in chain volume terms are presented below by illustrating the impact if next quarter's seasonally adjusted estimate rises or falls by a specified percentage (based on the historical average of movements in seasonally adjusted estimates). For further information, see paragraphs 41 and 42 in the Explanatory Notes.

Buildings and Structures

Graph: What If - Buildings & Structures


WHAT IF NEXT QUARTER'S
SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ESTIMATE:
Trend as published
(1) rises by 2.1%
on this quarter
(2) falls by 2.1%
on this quarter
$m
%
$m
%
$m
%

2016
March
18 581
-7.0
18 581
-7.0
18 581
-7.0
June
17 099
-8.0
17 009
-8.5
17 034
-8.3
September
15 911
-7.0
15 938
-6.3
15 928
-6.5
December
15 171
-4.7
15 477
-2.9
15 357
-3.6



Equipment, Plant and Machinery

Graph: What If - Total


WHAT IF NEXT QUARTER'S
SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ESTIMATE:
Trend as published
(1) rises by 1.9%
on this quarter
(2) falls by 1.9%
on this quarter
$m
%
$m
%
$m
%

2016
March
12 200
1.5
12 200
1.5
12 200
1.5
June
12 344
1.2
12 345
1.2
12 367
1.4
September
12 340
-
12 342
-
12 334
-0.3
December
12 291
-0.4
12 331
-0.1
12 225
-0.9

- nil or rounded to zero (including null cells)


Total Capital Expenditure



WHAT IF NEXT QUARTER'S
SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ESTIMATE:
Trend as published
(1) rises by 2.0%
on this quarter
(2) falls by 2.0%
on this quarter
$m
%
$m
%
$m
%

2016
March
30 781
-3.8
30 781
-3.8
30 781
-3.8
June
29 452
-4.3
29 354
-4.6
29 401
-4.5
September
28 255
-4.1
28 295
-3.6
28 279
-3.8
December
27 393
-3.1
27 812
-1.7
27 589
-2.4