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3401.0 - Overseas Arrivals and Departures, Australia, Jan 2007  
Previous ISSUE Released at 11:30 AM (CANBERRA TIME) 07/03/2007   
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MAIN FEATURES


SHORT-TERM VISITOR ARRIVALS

In trend terms, short-term visitor arrivals to Australia in January 2007 (475,900 movements) were 0.8% higher than in December 2006. Short-term visitor arrivals are currently 5.1% higher than when the series last troughed in July 2006 (452,600 movements) and 3.5% higher than in January 2006 (459,600 movements).

SHORT-TERM VISITOR ARRIVALS
Graph: Short-term Visitor Arrivals



The following table presents the top ten source countries (based on original estimates) for short-term visitor arrivals during January 2007. Seasonally adjusted and trend estimates are also presented for these countries, along with the percentage change in trend compared with December 2006 and January 2006.

Short-term Visitor Arrivals, Major Source Countries - January 2007

Trend
Seasonally
Adjusted
Original
Dec 06 to
Jan 07
Jan 06 to
Jan 07
'000
'000
'000
Trend % change
Trend % change

New Zealand
96.2
99.9
72.4
2.4
6.1
United Kingdom
62.0
60.7
70.1
1.2
4.9
Japan
51.7
49.6
50.0
-1.4
-10.8
United States of America
38.1
38.6
37.5
0.4
1.5
Korea
23.8
23.3
33.2
0.4
19.6
China
26.4
25.7
28.6
-1.2
3.9
Singapore
22.6
24.3
13.5
0.6
7.2
Germany
12.2
12.2
13.0
0.4
-1.7
Canada
8.7
8.5
11.9
-1.2
-3.5
Hong Kong
12.8
13.2
9.3
-0.1
-5.5



SHORT-TERM RESIDENT DEPARTURES

In trend terms, short-term resident departures from Australia in January 2007 (424,400 movements) were 0.6% higher than in December 2006. Short-term resident departures are currently 8.4% higher than in January 2006, the last time the series troughed (391,500 movements).

SHORT-TERM RESIDENT DEPARTURES
Graph: Short-term Resident Departures



The following table presents the top ten destinations (based on original estimates) for short-term resident departures during January 2007. Seasonally adjusted and trend estimates are also presented for these countries, along with the percentage change in trend compared with December 2006 and January 2006.

Short-term Resident Departures, Major Destinations - January 2007

Trend
Seasonally
Adjusted
Original
Dec 06 to
Jan 07
Jan 06 to
Jan 07
'000
'000
'000
Trend % change
Trend % change

New Zealand
73.3
70.7
70.3
-0.8
5.0
United States of America
35.7
36.2
32.9
-1.0
-2.8
Thailand
28.0
30.0
27.0
4.2
29.2
United Kingdom
33.5
32.1
18.7
-0.2
5.7
Indonesia
22.2
22.9
18.6
8.8
36.5
China
21.1
20.5
18.3
-0.7
11.5
Viet Nam
11.0
10.8
15.9
-1.0
18.3
Hong Kong
16.3
16.1
15.9
-1.6
6.2
Singapore
16.7
15.5
15.2
-0.6
-1.6
Malaysia
14.5
14.0
14.7
1.3
1.3



PERMANENT AND LONG-TERM MOVEMENTS

There were 11,780 permanent (settler) arrivals to Australia during January 2007, an increase of 3.6% compared with January 2006 (11,370 movements). People born in New Zealand accounted for the largest proportion of settlers (26%), followed by people born in the United Kingdom (17%), India (10%) and China (7%).


There were 9,720 Australian residents departing permanently from Australia during January 2007, an increase of 4.5% compared with January 2006 (9,300 movements).


Statistics on overseas arrivals and departures relate to the number of movements of travellers rather than the number of travellers. Care should be taken when using long-term movements data as it is known that some individuals who travel multiple times in a year are counted each time they cross Australia's borders (see paragraph 5 of the Explanatory Notes). Long-term movements in this publication are not an appropriate source of migration statistics. For further information refer to Australian Demographic Statistics (cat. no. 3101.0).



SHORT-TERM TRAVEL - NEW ZEALAND

Short-term visitor arrivals

Trend estimates provide the best method to analyse the underlying direction of the short-term visitor arrivals series for New Zealand. Over the ten year period ending January 2007 trend estimates, while showing monthly fluctuations, recorded strong long-term growth. There was a dip in the series from March 2001 followed by strong growth, evident from March 2003 until March 2005. The series then declined marginally until recently when growth again became evident. The high point during this ten year period was the current month (January 2007, 96,200 movements) and the low point was in July 1997 (53,000 movements).

NEW ZEALAND, Short-term Visitor Arrivals
Graph: New Zealand, Short-term Visitor Arrivals



In original terms, in the year ended January 2007 short-term visitor arrivals from New Zealand represented 20% (1,078,500 movements) of all short-term visitor arrivals to Australia. This was the same as the percentage for the previous twelve months (1,104,800 movements) and higher than in the twelve months ended January 1997 (16%, or 678,700 movements).


In the year ended January 2007, short-term visitor arrivals from New Zealand stated holiday (44%) as their main reason for journey, followed by visiting friends and relatives (26%) and business (14%). In comparison, the main reasons for journey for all short-term visitors to Australia were holiday (52%), visiting friends and relatives (20%) and business (11%). The median age of short-term visitor arrivals from New Zealand was 42 years (39 years for all visitors) and the median duration of intended stay was 8 days (10 days for all visitors).


Queensland (41%), New South Wales (32%) and Victoria (19%) were the main states/territories of intended stay for short-term visitor arrivals from New Zealand in the year ended January 2007. The main destinations for all short-term visitor arrivals to Australia were New South Wales (39%), Queensland (28%) and Victoria (18%).


Short-term resident departures

Trend estimates provide the best method to analyse the underlying direction of the short-term resident departures series for New Zealand. Over the ten year period ending January 2007 trend estimates have shown strong long-term growth. There were fluctuations over the period and movements plateaued between late 2004 and mid 2006. The high point during this ten year period was in October 2006 (74,300 movements) and the low point was in April 1997 (33,600 movements).

NEW ZEALAND, Short-term Resident Departures
Graph: New Zealand, Short-term Resident Departures



In original terms, in the year ended January 2007 short-term resident departures to New Zealand represented 17% (862,500 movements) of all short-term resident departures from Australia. This was slightly lower than the percentage in the previous twelve months (18%, or 836,800 movements) and higher than in the twelve months ended January 1997 (15%, or 416,600 movements).


In the year ended January 2007, short-term resident departures to New Zealand stated holiday (40%) as their main reason for journey, followed by visiting friends and relatives (32%) and business (17%). In comparison, the main reasons for journey for all short-term residents departing Australia were holiday (47%), visiting friends and relatives (25%) and business (15%). The median age of short-term resident departures to New Zealand was 41 years (42 years for all short-term resident departures) and the median duration of intended stay was 10 days (15 days for all short-term resident departures).



STATISTICAL SIGNIFICANCE

The above presentation of movements in estimates does not take into account whether the change in movement is statistically significant. Care should be taken when interpreting the impact of numeric and/or percentage change. Please see the Standard Errors section of this issue for more detail.


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