6202.0 - Labour Force, Australia, Oct 2011 Quality Declaration
Previous ISSUE Released at 11:30 AM (CANBERRA TIME) 10/11/2011
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OCTOBER KEY POINTS
TREND ESTIMATES (MONTHLY CHANGE)
SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ESTIMATES (MONTHLY CHANGE)
50 YEARS OF LABOUR FORCE STATISTICS
In celebrating 50 years of Labour Force Statistics, the ABS published an article in the October 2011 Australian Labour Market Statistics (cat. no. 6105.0), showing trends in the labour force over the last 50 years. Another article, Understanding Labour Force, was also published this month on the ABS website (cat. no. 6202.0), which addresses some of the misconceptions that occasionally surround the figures.
QUEENSLAND THIS MONTH
This month, the seasonally adjusted estimate of Queensland employment increased by 17,900. While this movement is high, it is not unprecedented, with similar movements in September 2010 and April 2011. Last month's seasonally adjusted estimate was lower than the trend, with a shortfall of around 2,700 employed people, and this month was higher, with an excess of 12,100 employed people. This variability is inherent in any sample survey and the errors associated with sampling are usually more pronounced in state estimates. The volatility in the movement for this month may also be attributable to a lower-than-usual response rate for Queensland in September, associated with the conduct of the Census Post Enumeration Survey in that month. As always, the ABS recommends that the trend estimates be regarded as the best representation of employment over time. This month, the trend for Queensland shows an increase of 3,200 employed and a stable employment-to-population ratio of 64%.
Standard errors give a measure of sampling variability (see pages 34 and 35). The interval bounded by two standard errors is the 95% confidence interval, which provides a way of looking at the variability inherent in estimates. There is a 95% chance that the true value of the estimate lies within that interval.
For further information about these and related statistics, contact the National Information and Referral Service on 1300 135 070, email firstname.lastname@example.org or Labour Force on Canberra (02) 6252 6525, email email@example.com.
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