3401.0.30.001 - Preliminary Estimates of Overseas Arrivals and Departures, Australia, Oct to Dec 2014 Quality Declaration 
Previous ISSUE Released at 11:30 AM (CANBERRA TIME) 03/03/2015  First Issue
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The following estimates of overseas arrivals and departures have been derived from a combination of historical OAD data and information about travellers for the relevant reference months from the Department of Immigration and Border Protection's traveller processing system. The regular data source for overseas arrivals and departure statistics, passenger cards, is currently unavailable. The ABS is working closely with the Department of Immigration and Border Protection to resume the regular release of Overseas Arrivals and Departures statistics. In the meantime, the following modelled estimates are provided. ABS analysis of the modelled estimates show they perform well historically.

The modelled statistics are estimates of totals for each category of movement for each state or territory of residence/stay, and for Australia. Estimates for each state or territory of residence/stay by category of movement are available in the Time Series Spreadsheet under the Downloads tab, noting that the estimates have not been seasonally adjusted.

TOTAL OVERSEAS ARRIVALS TO AUSTRALIA

Preliminary estimates show that in December 2014 there was a total of 1,447,900 overseas arrivals to Australia. In November 2014 there were 1,338,400 overseas arrivals, and in October 2014 there was a total of 1,557,000 arrivals. When compared to the estimates (original not seasonally adjusted) in the previous year they had increased by 2.3%, 4.4% and 2.6% respectively.

SHORT-TERM VISITOR ARRIVALS

In December 2014, preliminary estimates show there were 806,700 short-term visitor arrivals to Australia. In November 2014, there were 608,800 short-term visitor arrivals, and in October 2014 there were 571,400 short-term visitor arrivals.

Total Movements, Arrivals by Category of Movement - Preliminary(a), Oct - Dec 2014

Permanent
Long-term
Long-term
Short-term
Short-term
Total
Arrivals
Resident Returns
Visitor Arrivals
Resident Returns
Visitor Arrivals
Arrivals
no.
no.
no.
'000
'000
'000

2014
October
12 600
8 800
37 000
927.2
571.4
1 557.0
November
11 900
10 000
30 400
677.3
608.8
1 338.4
December
12 500
18 900
25 100
584.6
806.7
1 447.9

(a) Care should be taken as these are modelled estimates - see Explanatory Notes 7 -13.


TOTAL OVERSEAS DEPARTURES FROM AUSTRALIA

Preliminary estimates show that in December 2014 there was a total of 1,713,700 overseas departures from Australia. In November 2014 there were 1,362,900 overseas departures, and in October 2014 there were 1,297,000 departures. When compared to the estimates (original not seasonally adjusted) in the previous year they had increased by 1.7%, 4.5% and 5.4% respectively.


SHORT-TERM RESIDENT DEPARTURES

In December 2014, preliminary estimates show there were 1,016,100 short-term resident departures from Australia. In November 2014, there were 697,000 short-term resident departures and in October 2014, there were 701,300 short-term resident departures.


Total Movements, Departures by Category of Movement - Preliminary(a), Oct - Dec 2014

Permanent
Long-term
Long-term
Short-term
Short-term
Total
Departures
Resident
Departures
Visitor
Departures
Resident
Departures
Visitor
Departures
Departures
no.
no.
no.
'000
'000
'000

2014
October
6 300
5 200
16 200
701.3
568.0
1 297.0
November
6 400
5 200
19 800
697.0
634.4
1 362.9
December
8 800
6 500
31 900
1 016.1
650.4
1 713.7

(a) Care should be taken as these are modelled estimates - see Explanatory Notes 7 -13.