ANALYSIS - TOTAL RETAIL


TOTAL RETAIL - MONTHLY

The chart below shows the trend series and seasonally adjusted series to September 2013.

In current prices, the trend estimate for Australian turnover rose 0.3% in September 2013 following a rise of 0.3% in August 2013 and a rise of 0.2% in July 2013.

The seasonally adjusted estimate for Australian turnover rose 0.8% in September 2013 following a rise of 0.5% August 2013 and a rise of 0.1% in July 2013.

The original estimate for Australian turnover fell 2.2% in September 2013. The original estimate for chains and other larger retailers fell 2.7% in September 2013. The original estimate for smaller retailers fell 1.1% in September 2013.

TOTAL RETAIL - QUARTERLY

In volume terms, the seasonally adjusted estimate for the September quarter 2013 rose 0.7% following a fall of 0.1% in the June quarter 2013 and a rise of 1.8% in the March quarter 2013.

In the September quarter 2013, the seasonally adjusted estimate rose in volume terms for Food retailing (1.0%), Clothing, footwear and personal accessory retailing (3.4%), Household goods retailing (0.8%) and Cafes, restaurants and takeaway food retailing (0.7%). Department stores (-2.5%) and Other retailing (-0.9%) fell in seasonally adjusted terms in the September quarter 2013.

The Implicit Price Deflator for Australian turnover rose 0.2% in seasonally adjusted terms in the September quarter 2013.


TOTAL RETAIL - BY STATE

The following states and territories rose in trend terms in September 2013: Victoria (0.5%), New South Wales (0.2%), Queensland (0.3%), South Australia (0.6%), Tasmania (0.7%), the Northern Territory (1.0%) and the Australian Capital Territory (0.1%). Western Australia was relatively unchanged (0.0%) in trend terms in September 2013.

The following states and territories rose in seasonally adjusted terms in September 2013: New South Wales (1.0%), Victoria (1.0%), Queensland (0.8%), South Australia (0.7%), Tasmania (0.7%), the Australian Capital Territory (0.7%) and the Northern Territory (0.7%). Western Australia (-0.2%) fell in seasonally adjusted terms in September 2013.

In the September quarter 2013, the seasonally adjusted estimate rose in volume terms in the following states: Victoria (1.2%), South Australia (2.0%), Queensland (0.4%), New South Wales (0.3%), Tasmania (2.5%), the Northern Territory (4.3%) and the Australian Capital Territory (0.2%). Western Australia (-0.3%) fell in volume terms in the September quarter 2013.