5625.0 - Private New Capital Expenditure and Expected Expenditure, Australia, Sep 2019 Quality Declaration 
ARCHIVED ISSUE Released at 11:30 AM (CANBERRA TIME) 28/11/2019   
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What If...? Revisions to trend estimates


Effect of new seasonally adjusted estimates on trend estimates


Trend revisions

Recent seasonally adjusted and trend estimates are likely to be revised when original estimates for subsequent quarters become available. The approximate effects of possible scenarios on trend estimates for capital expenditure in chain volume terms are presented below by illustrating the impact if next quarter's seasonally adjusted estimate rises or falls by a specified percentage (based on the historical average of movements in seasonally adjusted estimates). For further information, see paragraphs 41 and 42 in the Explanatory Notes.

Buildings and Structures

Graph: What If - Buildings & Structures
WHAT IF NEXT QUARTER'S
SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ESTIMATE:
Trend as published
(1) rises by 2.1%
on this quarter
(2) falls by 2.1%
on this quarter
$m
%
$m
%
$m
%
2018
December
16 114
0.2
16 114
0.2
16 114
0.2
2019
March
15 861
-1.6
15 820
-1.8
15 843
-1.7
June
15 703
-1.0
15 714
-0.7
15 705
-0.9
September
15 620
-0.5
15 769
0.4
15 658
-0.3

Equipment, Plant and Machinery

Graph: What If - Equipment, Plant & Machinery
WHAT IF NEXT QUARTER'S
SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ESTIMATE:
Trend as published
(1) rises by 1.9%
on this quarter
(2) falls by 1.9%
on this quarter
$m
%
$m
%
$m
%
2018
December
13 857
1.1
13 857
1.1
13 857
1.1
2019
March
13 888
0.2
13 897
0.3
13 920
0.5
June
13 822
-0.5
13 823
-0.5
13 815
-0.8
September
13 736
-0.6
13 759
-0.5
13 647
-1.2

Total Capital Expenditure

Graph: What If - Total
WHAT IF NEXT QUARTER'S
SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ESTIMATE:
Trend as published
(1) rises by 2.0%
on this quarter
(2) falls by 2.0%
on this quarter
$m
%
$m
%
$m
%
2018
December
29 973
0.6
29 973
0.6
29 973
0.6
2019
March
29 750
-0.7
29 717
-0.9
29 763
-0.7
June
29 525
-0.8
29 538
-0.6
29 522
-0.8
September
29 346
-0.6
29 527
0.0
29 308
-0.7