5625.0 - Private New Capital Expenditure and Expected Expenditure, Australia, Sep 2011 Quality Declaration 
ARCHIVED ISSUE Released at 11:30 AM (CANBERRA TIME) 30/11/2011   
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WHAT IF...? REVISIONS TO TREND ESTIMATES


EFFECT OF NEW SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ESTIMATES ON TREND ESTIMATES


TREND REVISIONS

Recent seasonally adjusted and trend estimates are likely to be revised when original estimates for subsequent quarters become available. The approximate effects of possible scenarios on trend estimates for capital expenditure in chain volume terms are presented below by illustrating the impact if next quarter's seasonally adjusted estimate rises or falls by a specified percentage (based on the historical average of movements in seasonally adjusted estimates). For further information, see paragraphs 41 and 42 in the Explanatory Notes.

Buildings and Structures

Graph: What if Buildings and structures


WHAT IF NEXT QUARTER'S
SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ESTIMATE:
Trend as published
(1) rises by 2.1%
on this quarter
(2) falls by 2.1%
on this quarter
$m
%
$m
%
$m
%

2010
December
15 406
4.9
15 406
4.9
15 406
4.9
2011
March
16 739
8.7
16 708
8.5
16 761
8.8
June
18 639
11.4
18 661
11.7
18 641
11.2
September
20 754
11.3
20 690
10.9
20 437
9.6



Equipment, Plant and Machinery

Graph: What if Equipment, Plant and Machinery


WHAT IF NEXT QUARTER'S
SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ESTIMATE:
Trend as published
(1) rises by 2.1%
on this quarter
(2) falls by 2.1%
on this quarter
$m
%
$m
%
$m
%

2010
December
13 859
4.2
13 859
4.2
13 859
4.2
2011
March
14 523
4.8
14 523
4.8
14 562
5.1
June
15 113
4.1
15 110
4.0
15 097
3.7
September
15 626
3.4
15 637
3.5
15 452
2.4



Total Capital Expenditure

Graph: What if Total asset


WHAT IF NEXT QUARTER'S
SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ESTIMATE:
Trend as published
(1) rises by 2.1%
on this quarter
(2) falls by 2.1%
on this quarter
$m
%
$m
%
$m
%

2010
December
29 266
4.5
29 266
4.5
29 266
4.5
2011
March
31 252
6.8
31 231
6.7
31 323
7.0
June
33 748
8.0
33 747
8.1
33 716
7.6
September
36 513
8.2
36 315
7.6
35 876
6.4