5625.0 - Private New Capital Expenditure and Expected Expenditure, Australia, Sep 2009 Quality Declaration 
ARCHIVED ISSUE Released at 11:30 AM (CANBERRA TIME) 26/11/2009   
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WHAT IF...? REVISIONS TO TREND ESTIMATES


EFFECT OF NEW SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ESTIMATES ON TREND ESTIMATES


TREND REVISIONS

Recent seasonally adjusted and trend estimates are likely to be revised when original estimates for subsequent quarters become available. The approximate effects of possible scenarios on trend estimates for capital expenditure in chain volume terms are presented below by illustrating the impact if next quarter's seasonally adjusted estimate rises or falls by a specified percentage (based on the historical average of movements in seasonally adjusted estimates). For further information, see paragraphs 41 and 42 in the Explanatory Notes.

Buildings and Structures

Graph: Graph What if Buildings and structures

WHAT IF NEXT QUARTER'S
SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ESTIMATE:
Trend as published
(1) rises by 6.8%
on this quarter
(2) falls by 6.8%
on this quarter
$m
%
$m
%
$m
%

2008
December
13 657
7.3
13 657
7.3
13 657
7.3
2009
March
13 982
2.4
13 996
2.5
14 102
3.3
June
13 810
-1.2
13 817
-1.3
13 776
-2.3
September
13 453
-2.6
13 722
-0.7
13 209
-4.1



Equipment, Plant and Machinery

Graph: Graph What if Equipment, Plant and Machinery

WHAT IF NEXT QUARTER'S
SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ESTIMATE:
Trend as published
(1) rises by 4.1%
on this quarter
(2) falls by 4.1%
on this quarter
$m
%
$m
%
$m
%

2008
December
14 084
-1.4
14 084
-1.4
14 084
-1.4
2009
March
13 676
-2.9
13 632
-3.2
13 696
-2.8
June
13 434
-1.8
13 451
-1.3
13 429
-1.9
September
13 283
-1.1
13 493
0.3
13 186
-1.8



Total Capital Expenditure

Graph: Graph What if Total asset

WHAT IF NEXT QUARTER'S
SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ESTIMATE:
Trend as published
(1) rises by 4.0%
on this quarter
(2) falls by 4.0%
on this quarter
$m
%
$m
%
$m
%

2008
December
27 726
2.7
27 726
2.7
27 726
2.7
2009
March
27 659
-0.2
27 655
-0.3
27 780
0.2
June
27 243
-1.5
27 258
-1.4
27 215
-2.0
September
26 717
-1.9
27 107
-0.6
26 506
-2.6