5625.0 - Private New Capital Expenditure and Expected Expenditure, Australia, Mar 2009 Quality Declaration 
ARCHIVED ISSUE Released at 11:30 AM (CANBERRA TIME) 28/05/2009   
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WHAT IF...? REVISIONS TO TREND ESTIMATES


EFFECT OF NEW SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ESTIMATES ON TREND ESTIMATES


TREND REVISIONS

Recent seasonally adjusted and trend estimates are likely to be revised when original estimates for subsequent quarters become available. The approximate effects of possible scenarios on trend estimates for capital expenditure in chain volume terms are presented below by illustrating the impact if next quarter's seasonally adjusted estimate rises or falls by a specified percentage (based on the historical average of movements in seasonally adjusted estimates). For further information, see paragraphs 44 and 45 in the EN.

Buildings and Structures

Graph: What If Buildings


What if next quarter's seasonally adjusted estimate:
Trend as published
(1) rises by 6.7%
on this quarter
(2) falls by 6.7%
on this quarter
$m
%
$m
%
$m
%

2008
June
10 151
6.0
10 151
6.0
10 151
6.0
September
10 932
7.7
10 941
7.8
11 002
8.4
December
11 704
7.1
11 699
6.9
11 675
6.1
2009
March
12 217
4.4
12 160
3.9
11 865
1.6



Equipment, Plant and Machinery

Graph: What If Equipment


What if next quarter's seasonally adjusted estimate:
Trend as published
(1) rises by 4.9%
on this quarter
(2) falls by 4.9%
on this quarter
$m
%
$m
%
$m
%

2008
June
12 764
5.0
12 764
5.0
12 764
5.0
September
12 852
0.7
12 879
0.9
12 945
1.4
December
12 460
-3.1
12 459
-3.3
12 436
-3.9
2009
March
11 799
-5.3
11 959
-4.0
11 644
-6.4



Total Capital Expenditure

Graph: What If Total


What if next quarter's seasonally adjusted estimate:
Trend as published
(1) rises by 4.4%
on this quarter
(2) falls by 4.4%
on this quarter
$m
%
$m
%
$m
%

2008
June
22 928
5.7
22 928
5.7
22 928
5.7
September
23 785
3.7
23 810
3.8
23 990
4.6
December
24 104
1.3
24 101
1.2
24 038
0.2
2009
March
23 932
-0.7
24 079
-0.1
23 209
-3.4