3222.0 - Population Projections, Australia, 2012 (base) to 2101 Quality Declaration 
ARCHIVED ISSUE Released at 11:30 AM (CANBERRA TIME) 26/11/2013   
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Population size

Of all the main series, Series A projects the largest population for Victoria, increasing from 5.6 million at 30 June 2012 to 12.1 million in 2061. Series B projects an increase to 10.3 million people, while the smallest population (9.0 million) of the three main series is projected in Series C.

Graph Image for PROJECTED POPULATION, Victoria

From 4.2 million at 30 June 2012, Melbourne's population is projected to increase continuously to between 7.6 million (Series C) and 9.8 million (Series A) in 2061.

Population growth in the balance of Victoria will be smaller, rising from 1.4 million people at 30 June 2012 to between 1.4 million and 2.3 million in 2061.

Graph Image for PROJECTED POPULATION, Melbourne

Graph Image for PROJECTED POPULATION, Balance of Victoria

Age/sex structure

The median age of the population of Victoria is projected to increase from 37.3 years at 30 June 2012 to between 41.5 years and 44.9 years in 2061. The graph below presents the age structure for Victoria in 2012 and 2061.

Graph Image for PROJECTED POPULATION, Series B, Vic - At 30 June

Births and Deaths

In 2011-12, there were 75,000 births and 36,200 deaths in Victoria, resulting in natural increase of 38,900 people. In Series A and B, births will continue to exceed the number of deaths (natural increase), during the projection period. In Series C, deaths will first exceed the number of births in 2057-58 until the end of the projection period.