3106.0 - Demography News, Mar 2000  
ARCHIVED ISSUE Released at 11:30 AM (CANBERRA TIME) 31/03/2000   
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Likelihood to marry or divorce

ABS estimates that the proportion of people who will ever be in a registered marriage is declining. If 1995-97 first marriage rates by age for never married persons, prevail in the future, it is estimated that 72% of men and 77% of women will marry in their lifetime. These proportions were down by 7 percentage points for men and 9 percentage points for women when compared with estimates based on 1985-87 first marriage rates.

In a 1995 study ABS also measured how many registered marriages are expected to end in divorce. The results show that about 8% of marriages are likely to be dissolved within five years of marriage, 19% within ten years, 32% within twenty years and 39% within thirty years.

Further information is available in Marriages and Divorces Australia, 1998 (Cat. No. 3310.0).