5625.0 - Private New Capital Expenditure and Expected Expenditure, Australia, Mar 2017 Quality Declaration 
Previous ISSUE Released at 11:30 AM (CANBERRA TIME) 01/06/2017   
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WHAT IF...? REVISIONS TO TREND ESTIMATES


EFFECT OF NEW SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ESTIMATES ON TREND ESTIMATES


TREND REVISIONS

Recent seasonally adjusted and trend estimates are likely to be revised when original estimates for subsequent quarters become available. The approximate effects of possible scenarios on trend estimates for capital expenditure in chain volume terms are presented below by illustrating the impact if next quarter's seasonally adjusted estimate rises or falls by a specified percentage (based on the historical average of movements in seasonally adjusted estimates). For further information, see paragraphs 41 and 42 in the Explanatory Notes.

Buildings and Structures

Graph: What If - Buildings & Structures


WHAT IF NEXT QUARTER'S
SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ESTIMATE:
Trend as published
(1) rises by 2.1%
on this quarter
(2) falls by 2.1%
on this quarter
$m
%
$m
%
$m
%

2016
June
16 985
-8.5
16 985
-8.5
16 985
-8.5
September
16 038
-5.6
15 921
-6.3
15 947
-6.1
December
15 732
-1.9
15 755
-1.0
15 745
-1.3
2017
March
15 697
-0.2
15 840
0.5
15 715
-0.2



Equipment, Plant and Machinery

Graph: What If - Equipment, Plant & Machinery


WHAT IF NEXT QUARTER'S
SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ESTIMATE:
Trend as published
(1) rises by 1.9%
on this quarter
(2) falls by 1.9%
on this quarter
$m
%
$m
%
$m
%

2016
June
12 353
1.2
12 353
1.2
12 353
1.2
September
12 296
-0.5
12 289
-0.5
12 310
-0.3
December
12 187
-0.9
12 191
-0.8
12 184
-1.0
2017
March
12 069
-1.0
12 172
-0.2
12 069
-0.9



Total Capital Expenditure

Graph: What If - Total


WHAT IF NEXT QUARTER'S
SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ESTIMATE:
Trend as published
(1) rises by 2.0%
on this quarter
(2) falls by 2.0%
on this quarter
$m
%
$m
%
$m
%

2016
June
29 338
-4.6
29 338
-4.6
29 338
-4.6
September
28 340
-3.4
28 210
-3.8
28 257
-3.7
December
27 921
-1.5
27 953
-0.9
27 937
-1.1
2017
March
27 752
-0.6
28 013
0.2
27 786
-0.5