3222.0 - Population Projections, Australia, 2002 to 2101  
ARCHIVED ISSUE Released at 11:30 AM (CANBERRA TIME) 02/09/2003   
   Page tools: Print Print Page Print all pages in this productPrint All

About this dataset

This dataset contains population projections at the Capital City/Balance of State level by single year of age (up to 85+ years) and sex, for the period 2002-2051. These projections were produced by the ABS and published on 2 September 2003 in Population Projections, Australia 2002-2101 (cat. no. 3222.0).

Three alternative projections series (Series A, B and C in the table below) are presented in this dataset, with different combinations of assumptions on fertility, mortality, overseas migration and interstate migration. Assumptions used for all available series are detailed below:


PROJECTION SERIES, Assumptions used
HIGH LIFE EXPECTANCY AT BIRTH
MEDIUM LIFE EXPECTANCY AT BIRTH
Net
interstate migration(a)
(high)
Net
interstate
migration
(medium)
Net
interstate migration(a)
(low)
Net
interstate migration(a)
(high)
Net
interstate
migration
(medium)
Net
interstate migration(a)
(low)
HIGH FERTILITY (TFR = 1.8)
Net overseas migration (per year)
125,000
1(A)
2
3
4
5
6
100,000
19
20
21
22
23
24
70,000
37
38
39
40
41
42
0
55
56
57
58
59
60
MEDIUM FERTILITY (TFR = 1.6)
Net overseas migration (per year)
125,000
7
8
9
10
11
12
100,000
25
26
27
28
29(B)
30
70,000
43
44
45
46
47
48
0
61
62
63
64
65
66
LOW FERTILITY (TFR = 1.4)
Net overseas migration (per year)
125,000
13
14
15
16
17
18
100,000
31
32
33
34
35
36
70,000
49
50
51
52
53
54(C)
0
67
68
69
70
71
72
(a) High and low interstate migration refer to high/low flow scenarios, and will thus reflect high/low losses rather than high/low gains in some jurisdictions.


Data for the remaining series are available on request by contacting Katrina Phelan on 02 6252 6573 or by emailing katrina.phelan@abs.gov.au.

Capital City/Balance of State projections were not generated for the Australian Capital Territory.


Using this dataset with SuperTABLE

When creating your own table from this SuperTABLE you must select at least one value from each of the following fields:
  • Part of state,
  • At 30 June, and
  • Projection series.
Failure to do this will result in incorrect data in your table.