1367.2 - State and Regional Indicators, Victoria, Sep 2010  
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Contents >> Population >> Estimated resident population


Victoria's estimated resident population (ERP) at the end of any given period is the estimated population at the beginning of the period plus the sum of three components: natural increase, net overseas migration and net interstate migration.

At the end of March quarter 2010, Victoria's ERP was 5,529,400 people, an increase of 28,100 (0.5%) since the end of December quarter 2009. Over the same period, Australia's ERP grew by 106,400 (0.5%).

Over the 12 months since the end of March quarter 2009, Victoria's ERP increased by 106,800 (2.0%).

The largest component of Victoria's population growth in March quarter 2010 was net overseas migration (a gain of 17,800 people). Natural increase (births minus deaths) accounted for a further increase of 9,300 people.

Net interstate migration has historically meant loss of population from Victoria to other state and territories. However, following eleven consecutive quarters of loss, net interstate migration made a positive contribution to the state's population during the latest five quarters. Among these five quarters, the largest contribution of net interstate migration (900 people) was in March quarter 2010.

View underlying table as an Excel spreadsheet: Download Estimated resident population and Components of population change, Victoria from the Downloads Page.

Quarterly population growth
Graph: Quarterly population growth

Components of population growth, Victoria
Graph: Components of population growth, Victoria

Summary commentary on population growth and distribution in Victoria and its regions can be found in Regional Population Growth, Australia (cat. no. 3218.0). This product contains estimates as at 30 June 2009 of the resident population at a sub-state level.

The most current estimates of the resident population of Victoria by single year of age and sex at 30 June 2009 can be found in Australian Demographic Statistics (cat. no. 3101.0). Further details on Victorian population by age and sex for 30 June 2009 by various Geographic classifications are available in Population by Age and Sex, Regions of Australia (cat. no. 3235.0).

Accessible via the Summary page of Population by Age and Sex, Australian States and Territories (cat. no. 3201.0) are the ABS animated population pyramids, which show the change in the age and sex distribution of the population of Australia and each state and territory over time and projected into the future. More detailed animated populations pyramids are available for Victoria in Population Pyramids for Victorian Local Government Areas. These pyramids show the change each year from 1986 to 2009 in the age and sex distribution of the population of each Victorian local government area (LGA) in five year age groups.

A feature article explaining how the ABS derives ERP, and the role of the Victorian regional office in producing these estimates, was published in the March quarter 2009 issue of State and Regional Indicators, Victoria.

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