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3238.0 - Experimental Estimates and Projections, Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander Australians, 1991 to 2021 Quality Declaration 
Latest ISSUE Released at 11:30 AM (CANBERRA TIME) 08/09/2009   
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Contents >> Main Features >> States and Territories

STATES AND TERRITORIES

At 30 June 2006, New South Wales had the largest Indigenous population of the states and territories (152,700 people), followed by Queensland (144,900), Western Australia (71,000), the Northern Territory (64,000), Victoria (33,500), South Australia (28,100), Tasmania (18,400) and the Australian Capital Territory (4,300).

The Indigenous population of Queensland is projected to be the fastest growing of the states and territories, with an average growth rate over the projection period of between 2.6% and 2.7% per year, followed by Victoria (between 2.4% and 2.5%), the Australian Capital Territory (2.4%) and Tasmania (between 2.3% and 2.4%). The Northern Territory is projected to have the lowest growth rate over the fifteen year period, of between 1.6% and 1.7% per year.

In both Series A and B, Queensland is projected to overtake New South Wales in 2016 as the state or territory with the largest Indigenous population. Queensland's share of Australia's Indigenous population is projected to increase from 28.0% in 2006 to 29.8% in 2021, while New South Wales is projected to decrease marginally, from 29.5% to 29.2%. The distribution amongst the remaining states and territories is projected to remain largely unchanged.

Estimated and Projected Indigenous Population, States and territories - 1991-2021

1991
2006
2021 (Series A)
2021 (Series B)
no.
no.
no.
Growth rate (%)(a)
no.
Growth rate (%)(a)

NSW
101 493
152 685
208 341
2.1
210 582
2.2
Vic.
22 625
33 517
47 721
2.4
48 233
2.5
Qld
95 671
144 885
212 908
2.6
215 082
2.7
SA
19 775
28 055
37 987
2.0
38 413
2.1
WA
49 632
70 966
92 587
1.8
93 612
1.9
Tas.
12 462
18 415
26 063
2.3
26 353
2.4
NT
46 431
64 005
81 298
1.6
82 339
1.7
ACT
2 727
4 282
6 101
2.4
6 148
2.4
Aust.(b)
350 985
517 043
713 306
2.2
721 064
2.2

(a) Average annual growth rate for the period 2006 to 2021.
(b) Includes Other Territories.



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