3236.0 - Household and Family Projections, Australia, 2016 to 2041 Quality Declaration 
Latest ISSUE Released at 11:30 AM (CANBERRA TIME) 14/03/2019   
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About this data

The household estimates and projections in this publication cover the period 2016 to 2041 for Australia, the states and territories, capital cities and rest of state regions. The projections of households, families and persons by living arrangement are based on the series B population projections from Population Projections, Australia, 2017 (base) - 2066.

Three series are presented in this publication. These are based on three different assumptions for living arrangement propensities:

  • series I assumes no change in 2016 living arrangement propensity,
  • series II assumes historical rate of change in propensities from 2001 to 2016 but gradually plateauing,
  • series III assumes historical rate of change in propensities from 2001 to 2016 continuing.


Household projections

In 2041, there are projected to be between 12.6 million and 13.2 million households in Australia (up from 9.2 million in 2016).
  • Family households are projected to remain the most common household type in Australia, at 69% to 71% of all household in 2041.
  • Lone-person households are projected to make up 24% to 27% of all Australian households in 2041.
  • Group households are projected to make up 4% to 5% of all households in 2041.

Projected households, Australia

2016
2041
Series I
Series II
Series III
'000
'000
'000
'000

Family households
6 480.3
9 163.4
9 073.6
8 903.7
Group households
423.9
547.2
589.0
661.0
Lone-person households
2 300.4
3 523.8
3 356.0
3 045.7
Total households
9 204.6
13 234.4
13 018.7
12 610.3



Family projections

In 2041, there are projected to be between 9.2 million and 9.4 million families in Australia (up from 6.7 million in 2016).
  • Couples with children are projected to make up 43% of all families in 2041; down slightly from 44% in 2016.
  • Couples without children are projected to be the second most common family type, at 38% to 39% in 2041 (38% in 2016).
  • Single-female-parent families are projected to make up 13% to 14% of all families in 2041 (compared to 13% in 2016).
  • Single-male-parent families are projected to increase the fastest of any family type, increasing by between 44% to 65% by 2041.

Projected families, Australia

2016
2041
Series I
Series II
Series III
'000
'000
'000
'000

Couple family with children
2 956.7
4 086.9
4 046.5
3 912.9
Couple family without children
2 512.7
3 636.9
3 569.0
3 472.3
One-parent families
1 072.0
1 536.4
1 562.3
1 633.9
Male parent
193.9
279.1
294.0
320.9
Female parent
878.2
1 257.3
1 268.3
1 313.0
Other family
117.6
161.9
152.0
135.9
Total families
6 659.0
9 422.1
9 329.8
9 155.0



Types of living arrangements

In 2041, there are projected to be 34 million people in Australia (up from 24 million in 2016).
  • Living with a partner is projected to be the most common living arrangement in 2041, at 43% to 45% of all persons (45% in 2016).
  • Nearly one-third (30% to 31%) of Australia's population are projected to live as children in a family household in 2041.
  • Between 3.0 and 3.5 million Australians are projected to be living alone in 2041.

Projected persons, by living arrangements, Australia

2016
2041
Series I
Series II
Series III
'000
'000
'000
'000

Couple family with children
Husband, wife or partner
5 913.5
8 173.8
8 093.0
7 825.8
Child
5 817.0
7 769.8
7 808.0
7 828.8
Other related individual
155.5
233.3
245.4
272.8
Couple family without children
Husband, wife or partner
5 025.4
7 273.8
7 138.0
6 944.6
Other related individual
93.8
142.7
150.2
174.2
One-parent families
Male parent
193.9
279.1
294.0
320.9
Female parent
878.2
1 257.3
1 268.3
1 313.0
Child
1 690.1
2 267.7
2 373.0
2 572.4
Other related individual
93.9
138.8
149.8
169.1
Other families
Related person living in an other family
249.4
343.6
322.6
288.5
Unrelated individual living in a family household
334.7
446.1
548.6
787.4
Lone-person households
Male lone person
1 045.8
1 531.0
1 502.2
1 444.3
Female lone person
1 254.6
1 992.9
1 853.8
1 601.4
Group household member
954.4
1 277.8
1 376.2
1 544.5
Usual resident of a non-private dwelling
490.8
828.3
832.9
868.3
Total
24 190.9
33 955.9
33 955.9
33 955.9