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3401.0.55.001 - Short-term Visitor Arrivals to Australia, Preliminary, Jul 2003  
Previous ISSUE Released at 11:30 AM (CANBERRA TIME) 14/08/2003   
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SHORT-TERM VISITOR ARRIVALS TO AUSTRALIA, JULY 2003 PRELIMINARY

Trend estimate

The preliminary trend estimate for July 2003 (361,600) indicates a slight increase in the series and a turn around from the decline experienced in recent months. However, caution must be exercised when interpreting trend estimates for recent months and trend estimates are revised as new monthly data become available (refer to paragraphs 14 to 16 of Explanatory Notes). Several additional estimates will be required before a recovery point in the series can be confirmed.

Seasonally adjusted

The preliminary seasonally adjusted estimate of short-term visitor arrivals to Australia for July 2003 (400,700) represents an increase of 11% compared to the previous month. This is the largest monthly increase in the seasonally adjusted series since December 2001 when a monthly increase of 12% was experienced.

Original

The preliminary estimate for short-term visitor arrivals to Australia for July 2003 was 416,700. This represents a decrease of less than 1% compared to July 2002 (418,200). Compared to July 2002, preliminary estimates indicate an increase in the number of visitors from Malaysia (up 30%), Korea (up 23%), Singapore (up 17%), New Zealand (up 15%), Germany (up 9%) and the United Kingdom (up 8%). There was a decline in the number of short-term visitors from China (down 38%), Japan (down 27%), Taiwan (down 6%) and the United Stated (down 2%).

TABLE 1: SHORT-TERM MOVEMENT: VISITOR ARRIVALS - JULY 2003 PRELIMINARY

Change
between
Jun 2003 and
Jul 2003
Jul 2003


'000
%

Short-term Visitor Arrivals —
    Trend
361.6
1.0
    Seasonally Adjusted
400.7
11.4
    Original
416.7
. .



TABLE 2: SHORT-TERM MOVEMENT: VISITOR ARRIVALS — COUNTRY OF RESIDENCE



Calendar year

Financial year

Quarter ended June

July
2001
2002
2001-02
2002-03
2002
2003
2002
2003p
'000
'000
'000
'000
'000
'000
'000
'000

OCEANIA & ANTARTICA —
New Zealand
814.9
790.1
787.7
793.1
191.2
203.4
70.1
80.4
Total
940.3
905.0
907.5
904.7
217.5
227.7
79.2
89.3
EUROPE & THE FORMER USSR —
Germany
147.6
134.8
136.8
134.0
21.8
20.4
10.8
11.8
Italy
43.3
43.3
41.1
42.5
6.9
4.5
4.9
4.3
Netherlands
56.5
53.0
54.6
52.1
7.7
7.1
4.7
4.6
Sweden
31.7
30.9
30.2
31.8
3.9
4.1
2.0
1.9
Switzerland
46.2
41.5
43.4
41.2
6.2
5.4
2.6
2.6
United Kingdom
617.2
642.7
627.1
644.2
95.6
107.5
41.1
44.2
Total
1,179.0
1,180.5
1,172.2
1,170.4
185.0
185.0
87.9
90.8
MIDDLE EAST & NORTH AFRICA —
Total
56.2
51.5
56.3
50.2
9.4
8.4
7.5
6.5
SOUTHEAST ASIA —
Indonesia
97.9
89.4
94.7
86.9
19.7
19.2
10.2
9.8
Malaysia
149.4
159.0
154.3
142.4
41.7
27.1
10.9
14.2
Philippines
30.4
28.5
29.9
25.4
8.2
7.2
2.1
2.2
Singapore
296.0
286.9
295.8
261.6
76.2
57.0
18.5
21.7
Thailand
79.9
82.7
80.0
75.5
24.3
17.2
6.5
9.2
Total
679.0
673.8
682.7
617.7
176.5
133.9
50.8
60.2
NORTHEAST ASIA —
China
158.0
190.0
172.3
177.1
38.2
17.1
19.4
12.0
Japan
673.6
715.5
659.2
658.6
158.3
102.6
61.9
45.5
Korea
175.6
189.7
181.1
195.8
38.9
36.2
16.8
20.6
Taiwan
110.1
97.4
99.1
80.8
24.1
9.8
11.3
10.6
Total
1,274.3
1,345.5
1,262.4
1,254.8
289.2
194.5
129.1
104.3
THE AMERICAS —
Canada
93.1
90.9
93.0
86.5
14.6
13.7
6.3
6.2
USA
446.4
434.5
424.4
423.5
97.0
94.2
45.2
44.3
Total
577.5
556.2
551.1
537.1
118.8
112.9
54.4
53.4
AFRICA (excluding North Africa) —
South Africa
54.9
51.0
55.7
47.5
11.8
10.7
3.8
3.4
Total
71.5
67.3
72.7
62.7
15.0
13.7
5.4
5.1
Total(a)
4,855.7
4,841.2
4,768.3
4,655.8
1,029.6
890.7
418.2
416.7

(a) Includes Southern Asia and not stated/inadequately described.

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