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3401.0.55.001 - Short-term Visitor Arrival Estimates, Australia, Apr 2004  
Previous ISSUE Released at 11:30 AM (CANBERRA TIME) 14/05/2004   
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This electronic release contains modelled estimates of short-term visitor arrivals to Australia based on passport transactions for the current month and passenger card disaggregations from earlier months. There is no printed publication available for this release, however, it is closely related to the monthly publication, Overseas Arrivals and Departures, Australia (cat. no. 3401.0).

NOTES

DATA NOTES

The estimates presented in this publication provide an early indication of short-term visitor arrival movements prior to final data becoming available for the reference month. Monthly data prior to the reference month are final estimates. The ABS encourages users of these data to refer to the ABS monthly publication, Overseas Arrivals and Departures, Australia (cat. no. 3401.0) for final ABS estimates of short-term visitor arrivals for the reference period. Final estimates for April 2004 will be released on 11 June 2004.

This publication contains movement data. Care should be taken when interpreting this movement data as 'people'. See paragraph 6 of the Explanatory Notes for more detail.

Calculations of percentage and numeric change as shown in the Main Features of this publication are based on unrounded data. See paragraph 10 of the Explanatory Notes for more detail.


INQUIRIES

For further information about these and related statistics, contact the National Information and Referral Service on 1300 135 070 or Chrissy Beruldsen at c.beruldsen@abs.gov.au or telephone (02) 6252 5640.


MAIN FEATURES


TREND ESTIMATES

Trend estimates have been revised to take into account the impact of recent world events. See paragraph 18 of the Explanatory Notes for more detail.

The trend estimate of short-term visitor arrivals to Australia for April 2004 (416,500 movements) decreased by 0.8% compared with March 2004 (419,700 movements) and followed decreases of 0.9% for February and March 2004.

SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ESTIMATES

According to seasonally adjusted estimates, there were 419,400 short-term visitor arrivals to Australia during April 2004, representing a decrease of 0.3% compared with the previous month (420,900 movements) and follows a decrease of 1.2% for February and an increase of 0.5% for March 2004.

ORIGINAL ESTIMATES

There were an estimated 399,500 short-term visitor arrivals to Australia during April 2004. This represents an increase of 24.3% compared with April 2003 (321,500 movements). However, the original time series is affected by such events as the outbreak of Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome (SARS) and the anticipation and commencement of military action in Iraq, which resulted in fewer than usual visitor arrivals for the first half of 2003.

In April 2004, large numbers of short-term visitor arrivals came from New Zealand (85,200 movements), Japan (53,900 movements), the United Kingdom (51,700 movements) and the United States of America (31,400 movements). Compared with April 2003, there were large increases in the number of short-term visitor arrivals from Southeast and Northeast Asia (up 53% and 38% respectively), reflecting the significant impact that world events had on travel to Australia from those destinations during 2003.

TABLE 1: SHORT-TERM MOVEMENT: VISITOR ARRIVALS - APRIL 2004

Mar 04
Apr 03
Apr
to Apr
to Apr
04
04
04
%
%
'000
change
change
Short-term visitor arrivals

Trend(a)
416.5
-0.8
..
Seasonally adjusted(a)
419.4
-0.3
..
Original
399.5
..
24.3

(a) Trend and seasonally adjusted estimates may be revised each month. See paragraphs 14 and 17 of the Explanatory Notes.

TABLE 2: SHORT-TERM MOVEMENT: VISITOR ARRIVALS(a) - COUNTRY OF RESIDENCE

Calendar year

Financial year

Quarter ended Mar

April

2002
2003
2001-02
2002-03
2003
2004
2003
2004(a)
'000
'000
'000
'000
'000
'000
'000
'000

OCEANIA & ANTARCTICA -
New Zealand
790.1
839.1
787.7
793.1
150.7
188.9
68.5
85.2
Total
905.0
956.5
907.5
904.7
181.2
220.8
76.6
94.0
EUROPE & THE FORMER USSR -
Germany
134.8
137.9
136.8
134.0
38.8
41.0
8.9
8.6
Italy
43.3
41.3
41.1
42.5
10.1
10.2
1.3
2.0
Netherlands
53.0
51.0
54.6
52.1
14.9
13.7
2.8
2.8
Sweden
30.9
31.8
30.2
31.8
10.2
10.8
1.8
1.9
Switzerland
41.5
40.9
43.4
41.2
12.5
12.3
2.2
2.2
United Kingdom
642.7
672.8
627.1
644.2
196.3
205.4
50.7
51.7
Total
1180.5
1212.0
1172.2
1170.4
344.2
362.6
81.0
84.0
MIDDLE EAST & NORTH AFRICA -
Total
51.5
52.7
56.3
50.2
12.1
13.0
2.8
3.2
SOUTHEAST ASIA -
Indonesia
89.4
90.3
94.7
86.9
19.9
21.3
5.4
6.4
Malaysia
159.0
155.6
154.3
142.4
33.2
39.3
8.5
13.9
Philippines
28.5
27.0
29.9
25.4
5.5
7.2
2.8
3.7
Singapore
286.9
253.4
295.8
261.6
58.3
51.7
12.9
19.4
Thailand
82.7
73.2
80.0
75.5
18.7
18.9
7.7
13.4
Total
673.8
625.3
682.7
617.7
141.9
144.5
39.1
59.7
NORTHEAST ASIA -
China
190.0
176.1
172.3
177.1
62.1
72.1
9.5
16.9
Japan
715.5
627.7
659.2
658.6
176.1
185.2
43.6
53.9
Korea
189.7
207.3
181.1
195.8
60.2
60.4
11.4
14.5
Taiwan
97.4
87.7
99.1
80.8
25.8
25.5
3.8
7.1
Total
1345.5
1230.0
1262.4
1254.8
358.3
378.7
77.9
107.3
THE AMERICAS -
Canada
90.9
87.9
93.0
86.5
29.0
31.1
5.3
6.4
USA
434.5
422.1
424.4
423.5
112.9
114.0
27.4
31.4
Total
556.2
537.5
551.1
537.1
149.3
153.2
34.4
40.0
AFRICA (excluding North Africa) -
South Africa
51.0
52.7
55.7
47.5
10.7
12.5
4.1
3.7
Total
67.3
69.2
72.7
62.7
14.6
17.1
5.2
5.0
Total(b)
4841.2
4745.9
4768.3
4655.8
1216.6
1307.3
321.5
399.5

(a) April 2004 data are statistically modelled on passport movements and past arrival trends from passenger cards. Monthly data prior to April 2004 are final estimates based on passenger card data.
(b) Includes Southern Asia and not stated/inadequately described.

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