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9314.0 - Sales of New Motor Vehicles, Australia, Mar 2007  
Previous ISSUE Released at 11:30 AM (CANBERRA TIME) 20/04/2007   
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The Publication

This publication presents monthly information on sales of new motor vehicles in each state/territory in original, seasonally adjusted and trend estimated terms. The original data are sourced from the Federal Chamber of Automotive Industries. Sales data are available for passenger vehicles, sports utility vehicles (SUVs), other vehicles and total vehicles at the state/territory and national levels.

MARCH 2007 KEY POINTS

Trend

The March 2007 trend estimate for new motor vehicle sales (87 134) increased by 1.1% when compared with the February 2007 estimate. This was the tenth consecutive positive trend estimate. From March 2006, the trend estimate increased by 9.1%.

All of the vehicle types recorded increases for at least seven consecutive months of trend estimates. From February 2007 to March 2007, other vehicle types increased by 1.6%, passenger vehicles by 1.2% and sports utility vehicles by 0.4%.

In March 2007, all states and territories recorded increases in the trend estimate of total sales of new motor vehicles from the previous month. The Australian Capital Territory, Victoria and Queensland recorded the largest increases for the third consecutive month, increasing 2.0%, 1.5% and 1.3% respectively.

Seasonally adjusted

The March 2007 seasonally adjusted estimate for total sales of new motor vehicles (87 464) increased 1.0% from February 2007. Over the same period, all vehicle types recorded increases, with other vehicles recording the largest increase (1.7%). Passenger vehicles and sports utility vehicles increased 0.8% and 0.7% respectively.

From February 2007 to March 2007, four states or territories recorded increases while four states or territories recorded decreases. The largest increases were recorded in New South Wales and Queensland (both 2.9%). The largest decrease was recorded in Tasmania, dropping 4.4%.

New motor vehicles sales March 2007
NSW
Vic.
Qld
SA
WA
Tas.(a)
NT(a)
ACT(a)
Aust.

Vehicle sales
Seasonally adjusted
26 814
22 062
19 699
5 288
9 757
1 622
833
1 389
87 464
Trend
26 582
22 031
19 493
5 285
9 923
1 601
834
1 385
87 134


Percentage change from previous month
Seasonally adjusted
2.9
-0.6
2.9
1.0
-2.8
-4.4
0.5
-0.6
1.0
Trend
1.0
1.5
1.3
1.2
0.2
0.2
1.1
2.0
1.1

Percentage change from previous year
Seasonally adjusted
10.5
11.4
13.2
8.2
11.3
2.5
7.6
16.1
11.2
Trend
8.6
8.1
11.4
2.3
12.8
1.3
8.7
15.9
9.1

(a) Seasonally adjusted numbers of new motor vehicle sales in Tasmania, Northern Territory and Australian Capital Territory should be used with caution. For further information, see paragraph 7 of the Explanatory Notes.

NOTES

FORTHCOMING ISSUES

ISSUERELEASE DATE
April 200722 May 2007
May 2007
June 2007
July 2007
20 June 2007
20 July 2007
22 August 2007
August 200721 September 2007
September 200719 October 2007


WHAT IF...? REVISIONS TO TREND ESTIMATES

The "what-if" analysis is presented to give an indicative view of the possible revision of the current trend estimate based on the different scenarios of the future seasonally adjusted estimates. These estimates should not be used as a prediction of future trend estimates. For further information, see Explanatory Notes, paragraphs 11 and 12.


The graph below presents the effect of two possible scenarios on the published trend estimates.

1The April 2007 seasonally adjusted estimate of total vehicle sales is higher than the March 2007 seasonally adjusted estimate by 3.4%.
2The April 2007 seasonally adjusted estimate of total vehicle sales is lower than the March 2007 seasonally adjusted estimate by 3.4%.

The percentage change of 3.4% was chosen because the average absolute percentage change over the last 10 years has been 3.4%.
Graph: Trend revisions


SUMMARY - TREND AND SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ESTIMATES.
Graph: New Motor Vehicle Sales(a), Total Vehicles-LongTerm

Graph: New Motor vehicle Sales, Total Vehicles-Short Term


Table 1: New motor vehicle sales by type of vehicle

Passenger vehicles (No.)
Sports utility vehicles (No.)
Other vehicles (No.)
Total vehicles (No.)
Change passenger vehicles (%)
Change sports utility vehicles (%)
Change other vehicles (%)
Change total vehicles (%)

Original

2006January
43 761
13 251
12 991
70 003
-8.7
-11.9
-20.2
-11.7
February
48 483
13 506
15 457
77 446
10.8
1.9
19.0
10.6
March
53 188
15 896
18 072
87 156
9.7
17.7
16.9
12.5
April
42 307
11 901
14 442
68 650
-20.5
-25.1
-20.1
-21.2
May
50 683
14 816
17 958
83 457
19.8
24.5
24.3
21.6
June
57 026
18 079
21 343
96 448
12.5
22.0
18.8
15.6
July
48 798
13 279
15 485
77 562
-14.4
-26.6
-27.4
-19.6
August
52 030
13 539
16 092
81 661
6.6
2.0
3.9
5.3
September
51 388
13 208
15 397
79 993
-1.2
-2.4
-4.3
-2.0
October
50 532
13 921
15 477
79 930
-1.7
5.4
0.5
-0.1
November
51 850
15 193
16 254
83 297
2.6
9.1
5.0
4.2
December
48 348
14 258
14 457
77 063
-6.8
-6.2
-11.1
-7.5
2007January
49 189
14 303
13 444
76 936
1.7
0.3
-7.0
-0.2
February
52 628
14 912
16 200
83 740
7.0
4.3
20.5
8.8
March
57 757
17 589
19 046
94 392
9.7
18.0
17.6
12.7

Seasonally adjusted

2006January
50 597
14 512
16 830
81 939
1.2
-3.4
-0.9
-0.1
February
49 717
14 033
16 540
80 290
-1.7
-3.3
-1.7
-2.0
March
48 396
13 868
16 423
78 687
-2.7
-1.2
-0.7
-2.0
April
49 326
13 904
16 286
79 516
1.9
0.3
-0.8
1.1
May
49 473
13 931
16 306
79 710
0.3
0.2
0.1
0.2
June
48 852
14 379
15 578
78 809
-1.3
3.2
-4.5
-1.1
July
50 722
14 170
16 138
81 030
3.8
-1.5
3.6
2.8
August
50 293
13 123
15 935
79 351
-0.8
-7.4
-1.3
-2.1
September
51 079
14 560
15 979
81 618
1.6
11.0
0.3
2.9
October
50 387
15 060
16 347
81 794
-1.4
3.4
2.3
0.2
November
50 275
14 860
16 102
81 237
-0.2
-1.3
-1.5
-0.7
December
51 663
14 862
15 694
82 219
2.8
0.0
-2.5
1.2
2007January
54 366
15 320
17 002
86 688
5.2
3.1
8.3
5.4
February
53 867
15 449
17 287
86 603
-0.9
0.8
1.7
-0.1
March
54 324
15 561
17 579
87 464
0.8
0.7
1.7
1.0

Trend

2006January
49 788
14 294
16 689
80 771
-0.5
-1.2
-0.4
-0.6
February
49 523
14 182
16 590
80 295
-0.5
-0.8
-0.6
-0.6
March
49 308
14 095
16 455
79 858
-0.4
-0.6
-0.8
-0.5
April
49 219
13 999
16 274
79 492
-0.2
-0.7
-1.1
-0.5
May
49 330
13 916
16 104
79 350
0.2
-0.6
-1.0
-0.2
June
49 620
13 922
16 013
79 555
0.6
0.0
-0.6
0.3
July
49 917
14 010
15 970
79 897
0.6
0.6
-0.3
0.4
August
50 182
14 149
15 950
80 281
0.5
1.0
-0.1
0.5
September
50 444
14 340
15 960
80 744
0.5
1.3
0.1
0.6
October
50 832
14 583
16 041
81 456
0.8
1.7
0.5
0.9
November
51 413
14 842
16 209
82 464
1.1
1.8
1.0
1.2
December
52 136
15 080
16 439
83 655
1.4
1.6
1.4
1.4
2007January
52 939
15 268
16 726
84 933
1.5
1.2
1.7
1.5
February
53 703
15 431
17 031
86 165
1.4
1.1
1.8
1.5
March
54 332
15 492
17 310
87 134
1.2
0.4
1.6
1.1

Table 2: New motor vehicle sales by state/territory of registration

NSW
Vic.
Qld
SA
WA
Tas.(a)
NT(a)
ACT(a)
Aust.
(No.)
(No.)
(No.)
(No.)
(No.)
(No.)
(No.)
(No.)
(No.)

Original

2006January
21 995
17 876
15 107
4 380
7 604
1 295
616
1 130
70 003
February
24 495
19 979
16 452
5 085
8 165
1 373
731
1 166
77 446
March
27 165
21 461
19 833
5 195
9 750
1 540
913
1 299
87 156
April
21 171
17 636
14 820
4 619
7 507
1 129
764
1 004
68 650
May
25 124
20 776
18 774
5 601
9 472
1 623
863
1 224
83 457
June
28 560
23 015
23 091
6 164
11 170
1 936
1 058
1 454
96 448
July
23 688
19 322
17 910
4 794
8 720
1 334
679
1 115
77 562
August
24 223
21 043
18 124
5 107
9 736
1 436
768
1 224
81 661
September
24 267
20 449
17 061
4 903
9 716
1 688
682
1 227
79 993
October
24 379
20 785
16 625
4 781
9 591
1 797
762
1 210
79 930
November
25 418
20 739
18 076
5 116
9 972
1 973
733
1 270
83 297
December
22 927
19 790
16 551
4 700
9 471
1 748
688
1 188
77 063
2007January
24 429
19 000
16 769
4 620
8 929
1 285
651
1 253
76 936
February
25 636
21 510
18 221
5 138
9 625
1 463
771
1 376
83 740
March
29 107
23 408
21 772
5 588
10 530
1 533
978
1 476
94 392

Seasonally adjusted

2006January
25 246
21 027
17 933
5 293
8 789
1 601
797
1 253
81 939
February
25 055
20 671
17 295
5 188
8 506
1 596
789
1 190
80 290
March
24 277
19 798
17 401
4 889
8 769
1 583
774
1 196
78 687
April
24 061
20 472
17 356
5 299
8 885
1 499
750
1 194
79 516
May
23 907
20 096
17 756
5 222
9 245
1 595
739
1 150
79 710
June
24 025
19 433
17 505
5 044
9 089
1 719
759
1 235
78 809
July
24 241
20 442
18 285
5 124
9 500
1 524
744
1 170
81 030
August
23 936
20 300
17 278
4 916
9 507
1 420
797
1 197
79 351
September
24 816
20 843
17 558
5 047
9 663
1 676
766
1 249
81 618
October
25 130
20 520
17 878
4 908
9 647
1 671
834
1 206
81 794
November
24 781
19 882
18 380
4 935
9 594
1 636
762
1 267
81 237
December
25 121
20 412
18 546
4 852
9 817
1 413
800
1 258
82 219
2007January
26 726
21 837
19 039
5 402
9 955
1 558
836
1 335
86 688
February
26 064
22 194
19 152
5 236
10 034
1 697
829
1 397
86 603
March
26 814
22 062
19 699
5 288
9 757
1 622
833
1 389
87 464

Trend

2006January
24 794
21 026
17 490
5 225
8 701
1 563
770
1 202
80 771
February
24 674
20 707
17 461
5 193
8 723
1 568
770
1 199
80 295
March
24 487
20 376
17 492
5 166
8 795
1 580
767
1 195
79 858
April
24 245
20 110
17 542
5 145
8 916
1 583
761
1 190
79 492
May
24 050
20 004
17 578
5 125
9 074
1 576
756
1 187
79 350
June
24 013
20 063
17 610
5 102
9 246
1 576
756
1 189
79 555
July
24 096
20 167
17 642
5 059
9 393
1 583
762
1 195
79 897
August
24 282
20 237
17 690
5 004
9 504
1 587
773
1 204
80 281
September
24 530
20 304
17 779
4 957
9 591
1 585
783
1 215
80 744
October
24 836
20 429
17 964
4 952
9 668
1 581
792
1 234
81 456
November
25 192
20 648
18 248
4 996
9 739
1 580
801
1 260
82 464
December
25 574
20 945
18 587
5 063
9 801
1 584
808
1 293
83 655
2007January
25 955
21 315
18 930
5 143
9 856
1 589
818
1 327
84 933
February
26 312
21 701
19 248
5 223
9 900
1 598
825
1 358
86 165
March
26 582
22 031
19 493
5 285
9 923
1 601
834
1 385
87 134

(a) Seasonally adjusted numbers of new motor vehicle sales in Tasmania, Northern Territory and Australian Capital Territory should be used with caution. For further information, see paragraph 7 of the Explanatory Notes.


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