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9314.0 - Sales of New Motor Vehicles, Australia, May 2004  
Previous ISSUE Released at 11:30 AM (CANBERRA TIME) 22/06/2004   
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This publication presents monthly information on sales of new motor vehicles in each state/territory in original, seasonally adjusted and trend estimated terms. The original data are sourced from the Federal Chamber of Automotive Industries. Sales data are available for passenger vehicles, other vehicles and total vehicles at the state/territory and national levels.

MAY 2004 KEY POINTS

Trend

The trend estimate for sales of total new motor vehicles increased 0.5% to 79,327 in May 2004 compared with April 2004. The trend estimate for total new motor vehicle sales has recorded an increase for each month since the beginning of 2004.

An increase of 3.9% was recorded in the trend estimate for total new motor vehicle sales in May 2004 compared with May 2003.

Sales of new passenger vehicles recorded an increase in the trend estimate of 0.1% in May 2004 compared with April 2004. The trend estimate for sales of other vehicles increased by 1.2% in May 2004 compared with April 2004.

Most states and territories recorded an increase in the trend estimate for sales of total new motor vehicles in May 2004 compared with April 2004. The exceptions were South Australia and the Australian Capital Territory, both recording a fall of 0.1% in May 2004 compared with April 2004.

Seasonally adjusted

The seasonally adjusted estimate for sales of total new motor vehicles increased by 2.1% to 79,209 in May 2004 compared with April 2004.

The seasonally adjusted estimate for sales of total new motor vehicles increased by 3.1% in May 2004 compared with May 2003. Passenger vehicle sales decreased by 4.3% and other vehicle sales increased by 17.2% over the twelve month period to May 2004.


NOTES

TREND REVISIONS

Trend estimates are likely to be revised when new seasonally adjusted estimates become available. For further information see Explanatory Notes 9 and 10.

The graph below presents the effect of two possible scenarios on the previous trend estimates.

1The June 2004 seasonally adjusted estimate of total vehicle sales is higher than the May 2004 seasonally adjusted estimate by 4.0%.
2The June 2004 seasonally adjusted estimate of total vehicle sales is lower than the May 2004 seasonally adjusted estimate by 4.0%.

The percentage change of 4.0% was chosen because the average absolute percentage change over the last 9 years has been 4.0%.
Graph - New Motor Vehicle Sales - Sensitivity Graph




SUMMARY - TREND AND SEASONAL ANALYSIS


Graph - New Motor Vehicle Sales - Long Term




Graph - New Motor Vehicle Sales - Short term


Table 1: New Motor Vehicle Sales

Passenger vehicles (No.)
Other vehicles (No.)
Total vehicles (No.)
Change Passenger vehicles (%)
Change Other vehicles (%)
Change Total vehicles (%)

Original

2003March
49,921
26,192
76,113
14.3
13.6
14.1
April
44,602
24,263
68,865
-10.7
-7.4
-9.5
May
49,646
28,616
78,262
11.3
17.9
13.6
June
57,086
34,972
92,058
15.0
22.2
17.6
July
51,450
28,071
79,521
-9.9
-19.7
-13.6
August
49,869
26,304
76,173
-3.1
-6.3
-4.2
September
51,749
26,042
77,791
3.8
-1.0
2.1
October
52,180
27,045
79,225
0.8
3.9
1.8
November
48,482
27,630
76,112
-7.1
2.2
-3.9
December
49,834
27,952
77,786
2.8
1.2
2.2
2004January
40,715
24,082
64,797
-18.3
-13.8
-16.7
February
47,876
28,001
75,877
17.6
16.3
17.1
March
53,728
32,318
86,046
12.2
15.4
13.4
April
44,079
27,226
71,305
-18.0
-15.8
-17.1
May
46,168
32,111
78,279
4.7
17.9
9.8

Seasonally Adjusted

2003March
48,361
25,661
74,022
3.4
3.0
3.2
April
49,128
26,512
75,640
1.6
3.3
2.2
May
50,220
26,573
76,793
2.2
0.2
1.5
June
50,332
27,212
77,544
0.2
2.4
1.0
July
49,798
27,740
77,538
-1.1
1.9
0.0
August
51,170
27,204
78,374
2.8
-1.9
1.1
September
53,097
27,643
80,740
3.8
1.6
3.0
October
49,164
27,704
76,868
-7.4
0.2
-4.8
November
48,299
28,211
76,510
-1.8
1.8
-0.5
December
46,050
27,123
73,173
-4.7
-3.9
-4.4
2004January
49,394
29,814
79,208
7.3
9.9
8.2
February
50,113
29,528
79,641
1.5
-1.0
0.5
March
49,369
29,984
79,353
-1.5
1.5
-0.4
April
48,205
29,393
77,598
-2.4
-2.0
-2.2
May
48,066
31,143
79,209
-0.3
6.0
2.1

Trend

2003March
48,242
25,848
74,090
1.5
1.6
1.5
April
48,944
26,271
75,215
1.5
1.6
1.5
May
49,700
26,676
76,376
1.5
1.5
1.5
June
50,498
27,086
77,584
1.6
1.5
1.6
July
51,075
27,414
78,489
1.1
1.2
1.2
August
51,205
27,627
78,832
0.3
0.8
0.4
September
50,875
27,766
78,641
-0.6
0.5
-0.2
October
50,270
27,948
78,218
-1.2
0.7
-0.5
November
49,602
28,191
77,793
-1.3
0.9
-0.5
December
49,055
28,516
77,571
-1.1
1.2
-0.3
2004January
48,750
28,920
77,670
-0.6
1.4
0.1
February
48,704
29,353
78,057
-0.1
1.5
0.5
March
48,747
29,781
78,528
0.1
1.5
0.6
April
48,739
30,167
78,906
0.0
1.3
0.5
May
48,789
30,538
79,327
0.1
1.2
0.5

Table 2: New Motor Vehicle Sales by State/Territory of Registration

NSW (No.)
Vic. (No.)
Qld (No.)
SA (No.)
WA (No.)
Tas. (No.)
NT (No.)
ACT (No.)
Aust. (No.)

Original

2003March
25,541
20,408
14,843
5,147
6,917
1,218
769
1,270
76,113
April
23,588
18,368
13,386
4,507
5,948
1,177
728
1,163
68,865
May
26,259
21,053
14,967
5,273
7,127
1,454
789
1,340
78,262
June
31,168
24,132
18,084
6,089
8,662
1,549
866
1,508
92,058
July
26,983
21,248
15,716
5,298
6,973
1,407
635
1,261
79,521
August
25,391
19,799
15,248
5,263
7,048
1,589
555
1,280
76,173
September
25,738
21,200
15,293
5,222
6,894
1,639
593
1,212
77,791
October
25,533
21,337
15,521
5,430
7,487
2,008
607
1,302
79,225
November
25,099
20,254
15,058
5,214
6,925
1,717
630
1,215
76,112
December
25,113
21,071
15,265
5,404
7,161
1,860
593
1,319
77,786
2004January
21,216
16,857
13,403
4,334
6,249
1,193
498
1,047
64,797
February
24,955
19,727
15,901
5,059
7,113
1,297
686
1,139
75,877
March
28,118
22,137
18,611
5,561
8,086
1,343
912
1,278
86,046
April
23,033
19,083
14,831
4,670
6,529
1,229
812
1,118
71,305
May
25,649
20,106
16,373
5,215
7,296
1,513
918
1,209
78,279

Seasonally Adjusted

2003March
24,625
20,088
14,453
4,983
6,577
1,347
693
1,256
74,022
April
25,712
20,281
14,657
5,113
6,522
1,408
689
1,258
75,640
May
25,723
20,828
14,784
5,098
6,988
1,407
667
1,298
76,793
June
26,027
21,060
14,615
5,112
7,277
1,493
660
1,300
77,544
July
25,702
20,732
15,401
5,194
7,132
1,489
649
1,239
77,538
August
26,324
20,420
15,693
5,330
7,161
1,572
601
1,273
78,374
September
27,373
21,178
15,883
5,398
7,312
1,617
686
1,293
80,740
October
24,619
20,068
15,699
5,332
7,270
1,984
635
1,261
76,868
November
24,738
20,298
15,644
5,248
7,080
1,628
644
1,230
76,510
December
23,934
19,756
14,333
5,121
6,882
1,268
640
1,239
73,173
2004January
26,258
20,677
16,269
5,322
7,289
1,524
642
1,227
79,208
February
26,354
20,826
16,600
5,216
7,180
1,520
741
1,204
79,641
March
25,907
20,631
16,883
5,205
7,308
1,417
802
1,200
79,353
April
25,140
20,592
16,238
5,108
7,111
1,449
746
1,214
77,598
May
25,439
20,628
16,967
5,202
7,500
1,502
778
1,193
79,209

Trend

2003March
24,894
20,119
14,210
4,991
6,620
1,339
676
1,241
74,090
April
25,228
20,366
14,489
5,068
6,752
1,374
676
1,262
75,215
May
25,615
20,588
14,771
5,128
6,908
1,417
671
1,278
76,376
June
26,036
20,786
15,077
5,185
7,062
1,482
664
1,292
77,584
July
26,329
20,893
15,338
5,237
7,178
1,557
657
1,300
78,489
August
26,378
20,878
15,491
5,282
7,230
1,620
651
1,302
78,832
September
26,214
20,774
15,535
5,305
7,220
1,655
644
1,294
78,641
October
25,966
20,647
15,544
5,305
7,182
1,653
641
1,280
78,218
November
25,729
20,541
15,571
5,286
7,142
1,615
647
1,262
77,793
December
25,564
20,489
15,675
5,255
7,130
1,555
662
1,241
77,571
2004January
25,516
20,485
15,892
5,225
7,144
1,497
687
1,224
77,670
February
25,570
20,524
16,185
5,206
7,183
1,460
716
1,213
78,057
March
25,640
20,590
16,473
5,192
7,235
1,448
744
1,206
78,528
April
25,666
20,646
16,713
5,180
7,290
1,444
768
1,199
78,906
May
25,719
20,721
16,911
5,174
7,350
1,467
787
1,198
79,327


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