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9314.0 - Sales of New Motor Vehicles, Australia, Jul 2005  
Previous ISSUE Released at 11:30 AM (CANBERRA TIME) 22/08/2005   
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PUBLICATION

This publication presents monthly information on sales of new motor vehicles in each state/territory in original, seasonally adjusted and trend estimated terms. The original data are sourced from the Federal Chamber of Automotive Industries. Sales data are available for passenger vehicles, sports utility vehicles (SUVs), other vehicles and total vehicles at the state/territory and national levels.


JULY 2005 KEY POINTS

Trend

The July 2005 trend estimate (81,678) for the sales of new motor vehicles decreased 0.6% over the June 2005 estimate. It represents the fifth consecutive month of decline, however the trend estimate for July 2005 is 2.9% higher than the July 2004 estimate (79,356).

In July 2005, decreases were recorded in the trend estimate for sales of new passenger vehicles (-0.5%) and sport utility vehicles (-1.9%) compared with June 2005, while sales of other vehicles remained stable. Compared with July 2004, increases were recorded for sales of passenger vehicles (4.5%) and other vehicles (3.6%), however sales of sports utility vehicles decreased 2.9%.

Most states and territories recorded decreases in the trend estimate for sales of new motor vehicles in July 2005 compared with June 2005. South Australia (-1.6%) and New South Wales (-1.4%) recorded the largest decreases, while the Northern Territory recorded the largest increase (0.8%) over the same period. When compared with July 2004, all states and territories excluding New South Wales and South Australia recorded increases in July 2005, with the Northern Territory (9.5%) and Queensland (8.5%) recording the largest increases.

Seasonally adjusted

The seasonally adjusted estimate for sales of new motor vehicles for July 2005 (82,114) recorded an increase (0.4%) over June 2005. When compared with July 2004 (78,279) the seasonally adjusted estimate increased 4.9%.

Increases were recorded in the seasonally adjusted sales of new passenger vehicles (0.5%) and sports utility vehicles (2.1%) in July 2005 compared with June 2005, while sales of other new motor vehicles decreased (-1.3%).

Most states and territories recorded decreases in the seasonally adjusted estimates for sales of new motor vehicles in July 2005 compared with June 2005. Tasmania (-8.1%) and the Northern Territory (-4.7%) recorded the largest decreases, while the Australian Capital Territory (6.8%) and Western Australia (4.4%) recorded the largest increases.

Sales Of New Motor Vehicles, July 2005
NSW
Vic.
Qld
SA
WA
Tas.(a)
NT(a)
ACT(a)
Aust.

Vehicle Sales
Seasonally Adjusted
25,285
21,252
18,378
5,137
8,317
1,642
825
1,278
82,114
Trend
24,939
21,202
18,481
5,215
8,122
1,675
832
1,212
81,678


Percentage Change From Previous Month
Seasonally Adjusted
1.9
-0.4
-1.1
-2.3
4.4
-8.1
-4.7
6.8
0.4
Trend
-1.4
-0.3
0.1
-1.6
-0.0
-0.7
0.8
-1.2
-0.6


Percentage Change From Previous Year
Seasonally Adjusted
0.4
7.5
6.9
0.7
9.9
3.6
21.0
6.9
4.9
Trend
-1.5
3.4
8.5
-1.0
6.4
0.9
9.5
1.5
2.9

(a) Seasonally adjusted numbers of new motor vehicle sales in Tasmania, Northern Territory and Australian Capital Territory should be used with caution. For further information, see paragraph 7 of the Explanatory Notes.


NOTES

TREND REVISIONS


Trend estimates are likely to be revised when new seasonally adjusted estimates become available. For further information, see Explanatory Notes, paragraphs 11 and 12.

The graph below presents the effect of two possible scenarios on the previous trend estimates.

1The August 2005 seasonally adjusted estimate of total vehicle sales is higher than the July 2005 seasonally adjusted estimate by 3.8%.
2The August 2005 seasonally adjusted estimate of total vehicle sales is lower than the July 2005 seasonally adjusted estimate by 3.8%.

The percentage change of 3.8% was chosen because the average absolute percentage change over the last 10 years has been 3.8%.

Graph: Trend Revisions


SUMMARY - TREND AND SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ESTIMATES

Graph: NEW MOTOR VEHICLE SALES (a) - long Term


Graph: New Motor Vehicle Sales, Total Vehicles - Short Term



Table 1: New Motor Vehicle Sales

Passenger vehicles (No.)
Sports utility vehicles (No.)
Other vehicles (No.)
Total vehicles (No.)
Change passenger vehicles (%)
Change sports utility vehicles (%)
Change other vehicles (%)
Change total vehicles (%)

Original

2004May
46,168
15,052
17,059
78,279
4.7
21.9
14.7
9.8
June
58,284
17,981
20,947
97,212
26.2
19.5
22.8
24.2
July
46,724
14,442
15,869
77,035
-19.8
-19.7
-24.2
-20.8
August
48,649
14,910
15,685
79,244
4.1
3.2
-1.2
2.9
September
49,911
14,715
15,826
80,452
2.6
-1.3
0.9
1.5
October
52,290
13,907
15,470
81,667
4.8
-5.5
-2.2
1.5
November
52,888
15,257
16,190
84,335
1.1
9.7
4.7
3.3
December
48,673
14,311
15,996
78,980
-8.0
-6.2
-1.2
-6.3
2005January
43,075
13,826
12,664
69,565
-11.5
-3.4
-20.8
-11.9
February
50,645
15,478
14,886
81,009
17.6
11.9
17.5
16.5
March
53,280
17,348
15,798
86,426
5.2
12.1
6.1
6.7
April
46,645
13,749
15,936
76,330
-12.5
-20.7
0.9
-11.7
May
50,420
15,329
17,981
83,730
8.1
11.5
12.8
9.7
June
60,720
18,229
22,958
101,907
20.4
18.9
27.7
21.7
July
48,931
13,716
15,652
78,299
-19.4
-24.8
-31.8
-23.2

Seasonally Adjusted

2004May
47,831
14,659
15,983
78,473
-1.4
9.0
1.1
0.9
June
49,247
14,460
15,523
79,230
3.0
-1.4
-2.9
1.0
July
47,483
14,742
16,054
78,279
-3.6
2.0
3.4
-1.2
August
48,396
14,946
15,891
79,233
1.9
1.4
-1.0
1.2
September
50,012
15,219
16,205
81,436
3.3
1.8
2.0
2.8
October
51,650
15,429
16,450
83,529
3.3
1.4
1.5
2.6
November
50,121
15,045
15,793
80,959
-3.0
-2.5
-4.0
-3.1
December
48,006
14,378
16,109
78,493
-4.2
-4.4
2.0
-3.0
2005January
52,429
15,933
17,018
85,380
9.2
10.8
5.6
8.8
February
52,627
16,205
16,085
84,917
0.4
1.7
-5.5
-0.5
March
50,281
15,831
15,604
81,716
-4.5
-2.3
-3.0
-3.8
April
51,230
14,995
16,860
83,085
1.9
-5.3
8.0
1.7
May
51,138
14,553
16,529
82,220
-0.2
-2.9
-2.0
-1.0
June
50,906
14,314
16,583
81,803
-0.5
-1.6
0.3
-0.5
July
51,136
14,617
16,361
82,114
0.5
2.1
-1.3
0.4

Trend

2004May
48,338
14,134
15,963
78,435
-0.3
2.0
-0.2
0.2
June
48,400
14,473
15,932
78,805
0.1
2.4
-0.2
0.5
July
48,660
14,775
15,921
79,356
0.5
2.1
-0.1
0.7
August
49,019
14,975
15,968
79,962
0.7
1.4
0.3
0.8
September
49,473
15,087
16,078
80,638
0.9
0.7
0.7
0.8
October
49,952
15,202
16,176
81,330
1.0
0.8
0.6
0.9
November
50,388
15,365
16,229
81,982
0.9
1.1
0.3
0.8
December
50,750
15,546
16,250
82,546
0.7
1.2
0.1
0.7
2005January
51,012
15,657
16,263
82,932
0.5
0.7
0.1
0.5
February
51,148
15,639
16,293
83,080
0.3
-0.1
0.2
0.2
March
51,236
15,475
16,340
83,051
0.2
-1.0
0.3
-0.0
April
51,255
15,205
16,394
82,854
0.0
-1.7
0.3
-0.2
May
51,179
14,895
16,442
82,516
-0.1
-2.0
0.3
-0.4
June
51,103
14,614
16,480
82,197
-0.1
-1.9
0.2
-0.4
July
50,849
14,341
16,488
81,678
-0.5
-1.9
0.0
-0.6



Table 2: New Motor Vehicle Sales by State/Territory of Registration

NSW
Vic.
Qld
SA
WA
Tas.(a)
NT(a)
ACT(a)
Aust.
(No.)
(No.)
(No.)
(No.)
(No.)
(No.)
(No.)
(No.)
(No.)

Original

2004May
25,649
20,106
16,373
5,215
7,296
1,513
918
1,209
78,279
June
31,438
23,929
22,026
6,436
8,969
1,982
958
1,474
97,212
July
25,031
19,410
17,141
4,949
7,228
1,449
646
1,181
77,035
August
24,795
20,850
17,269
5,414
7,513
1,585
677
1,141
79,244
September
25,241
20,821
17,188
5,289
8,177
1,855
739
1,142
80,452
October
25,621
22,747
16,079
5,413
7,875
1,981
709
1,242
81,667
November
26,619
23,052
17,117
5,450
8,157
1,944
694
1,302
84,335
December
24,315
21,700
16,537
4,998
7,341
2,245
647
1,197
78,980
2005January
22,467
18,015
14,530
4,466
6,931
1,478
560
1,118
69,565
February
25,754
20,580
17,837
5,489
7,880
1,431
776
1,262
81,009
March
27,474
21,963
19,114
5,452
8,623
1,571
888
1,341
86,426
April
24,329
19,497
16,789
5,034
7,329
1,371
858
1,123
76,330
May
26,204
21,882
18,221
5,534
8,066
1,639
912
1,272
83,730
June
30,695
25,402
24,613
6,561
9,986
2,052
1,183
1,415
101,907
July
24,905
19,923
17,559
4,794
7,684
1,435
764
1,235
78,299

Seasonally Adjusted

2004May
25,251
20,332
16,640
5,208
7,512
1,527
789
1,214
78,473
June
25,519
20,484
16,980
5,245
7,244
1,818
718
1,222
79,230
July
25,188
19,778
17,184
5,100
7,567
1,585
682
1,195
78,279
August
25,109
20,676
17,075
5,326
7,640
1,546
735
1,126
79,233
September
25,633
20,914
17,267
5,408
8,415
1,773
809
1,217
81,436
October
25,913
22,817
17,304
5,649
7,891
1,937
764
1,254
83,529
November
25,641
21,437
16,975
5,252
8,027
1,680
708
1,239
80,959
December
25,153
21,063
16,849
4,740
7,153
1,673
703
1,159
78,493
2005January
27,219
22,315
17,975
5,605
8,352
1,847
742
1,325
85,380
February
27,144
21,686
18,421
5,614
8,123
1,721
862
1,346
84,917
March
26,162
21,030
17,564
5,352
7,719
1,749
783
1,357
81,716
April
25,993
21,266
18,580
5,439
8,259
1,626
780
1,142
83,085
May
25,342
21,430
18,299
5,412
8,058
1,664
792
1,223
82,220
June
24,807
21,339
18,586
5,258
7,963
1,787
866
1,197
81,803
July
25,285
21,252
18,378
5,137
8,317
1,642
825
1,278
82,114

Trend

2004May
25,334
20,285
16,781
5,172
7,339
1,566
762
1,196
78,435
June
25,296
20,328
16,925
5,215
7,471
1,614
761
1,195
78,805
July
25,307
20,505
17,032
5,268
7,630
1,660
760
1,194
79,356
August
25,337
20,796
17,092
5,313
7,775
1,701
754
1,194
79,962
September
25,436
21,158
17,132
5,342
7,894
1,731
748
1,197
80,638
October
25,627
21,499
17,168
5,362
7,965
1,752
745
1,212
81,330
November
25,896
21,725
17,247
5,375
7,988
1,767
746
1,238
81,982
December
26,197
21,782
17,404
5,391
7,989
1,768
750
1,265
82,546
2005January
26,409
21,700
17,632
5,413
7,982
1,755
759
1,282
82,932
February
26,431
21,553
17,885
5,430
7,994
1,731
774
1,282
83,080
March
26,264
21,434
18,110
5,437
8,027
1,715
792
1,272
83,051
April
25,963
21,372
18,277
5,415
8,061
1,705
806
1,255
82,854
May
25,608
21,317
18,389
5,363
8,088
1,696
817
1,238
82,516
June
25,288
21,276
18,470
5,301
8,123
1,687
825
1,227
82,197
July
24,939
21,202
18,481
5,215
8,122
1,675
832
1,212
81,678

(a) Seasonally adjusted numbers of new motor vehicle sales in Tasmania, Northern Territory and Australian Capital Territory should be used with caution. For further information, see paragraph 7 of the Explanatory Notes.

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