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5676.0 - Business Indicators, Australia, Sep 2009  
Previous ISSUE Released at 11:30 AM (CANBERRA TIME) 30/11/2009   
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15/12/2009 Note: COMPARISON BETWEEN COMPANY GROSS OPERATING PROFITS AND GROSS OPERATING SURPLUS

Valuation changes have had an impact on the value of inventories held by Australian businesses this quarter. An inventories valuation adjustment (IVA) is applied in the calculation of the gross operating surplus of private non-financial corporations (GOS) estimate in the Australian National Accounts. The IVA for the September quarter 2009 is (-$1,278)m which is $7m higher than the revised June quarter IVA of (-$1,285)m.

No adjustment is made to the company gross operating profits (CGOP) estimate in this publication and, as a result, users should exercise caution when comparing CGOP and GOS. It should be noted that there are other differences between the two series. In particular, changes are made to GOS when annual benchmarks are applied and slightly different seasonal factors apply to the two series. Given this, while CGOP movements are an appropriate indicator for GOS, the two series will not have equivalent seasonally adjusted movements from quarter to quarter.

SEPTEMBER KEY FIGURES

Jun Qtr 09 to Sep Qtr 09
Sep Qtr 08 to Sep Qtr 09
%
%

Sales of goods and services (Chain volume measures)
Manufacturing
Trend
-0.8
-8.0
Seasonally Adjusted
1.2
-6.9
Wholesale trade
Trend
0.7
2.1
Seasonally Adjusted
0.9
2.0
Inventories (Chain volume measures)
Trend
-1.0
-3.6
Seasonally Adjusted
0.8
-3.4
Company gross operating profits
Trend
-4.6
-19.0
Seasonally Adjusted
-2.1
-19.6
Wages and salaries
Seasonally Adjusted
0.0
-1.5


Inventories (volume terms), Trend estimates
Graph: Inventories (volume terms), Trend estimates

Company gross operating profits, Trend estimates
Graph: Company gross operating profits, Trend estimates




SEPTEMBER KEY POINTS


CHAIN VOLUME ESTIMATES
  • The trend estimate for inventories fell 1.0% in the September quarter 2009. The seasonally adjusted estimate rose 0.8% this quarter.
  • The trend estimate for Manufacturing sales of goods and services fell 0.8% this quarter. The seasonally adjusted estimate rose 1.2%.
  • The trend estimate for Wholesale trade's sales of goods and services rose 0.7% this quarter. The seasonally adjusted estimate rose 0.9%.


CURRENT PRICE ESTIMATES
  • The seasonally adjusted estimate for company gross operating profits fell 2.1% in the September quarter 2009.
  • The seasonally adjusted estimate for wages and salaries was relatively unchanged in the September quarter 2009.


NOTES

FORTHCOMING ISSUES

ISSUE (QUARTER) Release Date
December 2009 1 March 2010
March 2010 31 May 2010
June 2010 30 August 2010
September 2010 29 November 2010



BUSINESS INDICATORS AS A PARTIAL INDICATOR OF THE NATIONAL ACCOUNTS

Part of the compilation of Business Indicators estimates is confrontation with data from a variety of sources assembled in the national accounts framework as part of the process of compiling the quarterly Australian National Accounts,(cat. no. 5206.0). The September quarter 2009 Australian National Accounts will be released two weeks later than usual due to the introduction of new standards. This means that the confrontation has been less comprehensive than usual. Caution should be exercised in using data in this publication as an indicator of wages, inventories, output and profits in the National Accounts.


COMPARISON BETWEEN COMPANY GROSS OPERATING PROFITS AND GROSS OPERATING SURPLUS

Valuation changes have had an impact on the value of inventories held by Australian businesses this quarter. An inventories valuation adjustment (IVA) is applied in the calculation of the gross operating surplus of private non-financial corporations (GOS) estimate in the Australian National Accounts. The IVA for the September quarter 2009 was not available at time of publication. An I-note will be published on the Business Indicator page when the estimate of IVA has been finalised prior to the release of the September Quarter National Accounts.

No adjustment is made to the company gross operating profits (CGOP) estimate in this publication and, as a result, users should exercise caution when comparing CGOP and GOS. It should be noted that there are other differences between the two series. In particular, changes are made to GOS when annual benchmarks are applied and slightly different seasonal factors apply to the two series. Given this, while CGOP movements are an appropriate indicator for GOS, the two series will not have equivalent seasonally adjusted movements from quarter to quarter.


INQUIRIES

For further information about these and related statistics, contact the National Information and Referral Service on 1300 135 070 or Didier Rivet on Sydney (02) 9268 4900.


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