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9314.0 - Sales of New Motor Vehicles, Australia, Jan 2005  
Previous ISSUE Released at 11:30 AM (CANBERRA TIME) 21/02/2005   
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PUBLICATION

This publication presents monthly information on sales of new motor vehicles in each state/territory in original, seasonally adjusted and trend estimated terms. The original data are sourced from the Federal Chamber of Automotive Industries. Sales data are available for passenger vehicles, sports utility vehicles (SUVs), other vehicles and total vehicles at the state/territory and national levels.


JANUARY 2005 KEY POINTS

Trend

The trend estimate for sales of new motor vehicles increased 0.6% to 82,675 in January 2005. When compared with January 2004 (77,862), the trend estimate has shown an increase of 6.2%.

The trend estimate for sales of passenger vehicles and other vehicles each recorded an increase of 0.7% over the last month while sales of sports utility vehicles increased 0.2%.

When compared with January 2004, the trend estimate of passenger vehicle sales increased 4.0%, sports utility vehicles increased 13.7%, and other vehicles increased 6.5%.

The majority of states and territories recorded increases in trend estimates for sales of new motor vehicles in January 2005 compared to December 2004. South Australia (-0.2%), Western Australia (-0.2%) and Northern Territory (-1.5%) were the only states or territories to record decreases.


Seasonally adjusted

The seasonally adjusted estimate for sales of new motor vehicles increased 8.9% to 85,486 in January 2005. Passenger vehicle sales increased 10.1%, sales of sports utility vehicles increased 8.4%, while sales of other new vehicles increased 6.0% in January 2005 compared to December 2004.

All states and territories recorded increases in the seasonally adjusted estimate for the sales of new motor vehicles, with South Australia recording the largest increase (17.2%).

Sales Of New Motor Vehicles, January 2005
NSW
Vic.
Qld
SA
WA
Tas.(a)
NT
ACT
Aust.

Vehicle Sales
Seasonally Adjusted
27,187
22,602
17,858
5,566
8,370
1,877
723
1,303
85,486
Trend
26,232
22,239
17,221
5,274
7,934
1,813
714
1,248
82,675


Percentage Change From Previous Month
Seasonally Adjusted
7.7
7.0
7.0
17.2
16.8
14.0
3.3
11.5
8.9
Trend
0.9
0.8
0.5
-0.2
-0.2
1.3
-1.5
1.0
0.6


Percentage Change From Previous year
Seasonally Adjusted
5.8
9.6
11.1
5.1
16.7
27.4
10.6
6.5
9.3
Trend
2.4
8.3
8.1
0.9
10.7
23.2
2.9
1.9
6.2

(a) Seasonally adjusted numbers of new motor vehicle sales in Tasmania, Northern Territory and Australian Capital Territory should be used with caution. For further information, see paragraph 7 of the Explanatory Notes.


NOTES


TREND REVISIONS

Trend estimates are likely to be revised when new seasonally adjusted estimates become available. For further information, see Explanatory Notes, paragraphs 9 and 10.

The graph below presents the effect of two possible scenarios on the previous trend estimates.

1The February 2005 seasonally adjusted estimate of total vehicle sales is higher than the January 2005 seasonally adjusted estimate by 4.0%.
2The February 2005 seasonally adjusted estimate of total vehicle sales is lower than the January 2005 seasonally adjusted estimate by 4.0%.

The percentage change of 4.0% was chosen because the average absolute percentage change over the last 10 years has been 4.0%.
Graph - Trend Revisions

SUMMARY - TREND AND SEASONAL ANALYSIS

Graph - New Motor Vehicle Sales, Total Vehicles - Long Term

Graph - New Motor Vehicle Sales, Total Vehicles - Short Term




Table 1: New Motor Vehicle Sales

Passenger vehicles (No.)
Sports utility vehicles (No.)
Other vehicles (No.)
Total vehicles (No.)
Change passenger vehicles (%)
Change sports utility vehicles (%)
Change other vehicles (%)
Change total vehicles (%)

Original

2003November
48,482
12,892
14,738
76,112
-7.1
4.7
0.1
-3.9
December
49,834
13,296
14,656
77,786
2.8
3.1
-0.6
2.2
2004January
40,715
12,291
11,791
64,797
-18.3
-7.6
-19.5
-16.7
February
47,876
12,865
15,136
75,877
17.6
4.7
28.4
17.1
March
53,728
15,005
17,313
86,046
12.2
16.6
14.4
13.4
April
44,079
12,351
14,875
71,305
-18.0
-17.7
-14.1
-17.1
May
46,168
15,052
17,059
78,279
4.7
21.9
14.7
9.8
June
58,284
17,981
20,947
97,212
26.2
19.5
22.8
24.2
July
46,724
14,442
15,869
77,035
-19.8
-19.7
-24.2
-20.8
August
48,649
14,910
15,685
79,244
4.1
3.2
-1.2
2.9
September
49,911
14,715
15,826
80,452
2.6
-1.3
0.9
1.5
October
52,290
13,907
15,470
81,667
4.8
-5.5
-2.2
1.5
November
52,888
15,257
16,190
84,335
1.1
9.7
4.7
3.3
December
48,673
14,311
15,996
78,980
-8.0
-6.2
-1.2
-6.3
2005January
43,075
13,826
12,664
69,565
-11.5
-3.4
-20.8
-11.9

Seasonally Adjusted

2003November
48,251
13,168
14,920
76,339
-1.4
4.2
-1.2
-0.4
December
48,851
13,449
15,063
77,363
1.2
2.1
1.0
1.3
2004January
48,870
13,782
15,536
78,188
+0.0
2.5
3.1
1.1
February
49,296
13,342
15,951
78,589
0.9
-3.2
2.7
0.5
March
48,786
13,476
16,262
78,524
-1.0
1.0
1.9
-0.1
April
48,394
13,353
15,965
77,712
-0.8
-0.9
-1.8
-1.0
May
47,686
14,453
16,069
78,208
-1.5
8.2
0.7
0.6
June
49,758
14,503
15,417
79,678
4.3
0.3
-4.1
1.9
July
47,269
14,681
15,979
77,929
-5.0
1.2
3.6
-2.2
August
48,217
14,939
15,771
78,927
2.0
1.8
-1.3
1.3
September
50,121
15,253
16,283
81,657
3.9
2.1
3.2
3.5
October
51,879
15,434
16,692
84,005
3.5
1.2
2.5
2.9
November
49,851
15,071
15,696
80,618
-3.9
-2.4
-6.0
-4.0
December
47,809
14,479
16,199
78,487
-4.1
-3.9
3.2
-2.6
2005January
52,618
15,697
17,171
85,486
10.1
8.4
6.0
8.9

Trend

2003November
49,908
13,053
15,133
78,094
-1.1
1.4
0.9
-0.3
December
49,334
13,238
15,331
77,903
-1.2
1.4
1.3
-0.2
2004January
48,899
13,389
15,574
77,862
-0.9
1.1
1.6
-0.1
February
48,677
13,509
15,795
77,981
-0.5
0.9
1.4
0.2
March
48,580
13,645
15,932
78,157
-0.2
1.0
0.9
0.2
April
48,453
13,825
15,963
78,241
-0.3
1.3
0.2
0.1
May
48,332
14,090
15,934
78,356
-0.2
1.9
-0.2
0.1
June
48,405
14,434
15,903
78,742
0.2
2.4
-0.2
0.5
July
48,675
14,752
15,897
79,324
0.6
2.2
-0.0
0.7
August
49,070
14,972
15,955
79,997
0.8
1.5
0.4
0.8
September
49,500
15,078
16,065
80,643
0.9
0.7
0.7
0.8
October
49,884
15,123
16,199
81,206
0.8
0.3
0.8
0.7
November
50,218
15,156
16,332
81,706
0.7
0.2
0.8
0.6
December
50,499
15,192
16,477
82,168
0.6
0.2
0.9
0.6
2005January
50,867
15,217
16,591
82,675
0.7
0.2
0.7
0.6


Table 2: New Motor Vehicle Sales by State/Territory of Registration

NSW
Vic.
Qld
SA
WA
Tas.(a)
NT(a)
ACT(a)
Aust.
(No.)
(No.)
(No.)
(No.)
(No.)
(No.)
(No.)
(No.)
(No.)

Original

2003November
25,099
20,254
15,058
5,214
6,925
1,717
630
1,215
76,112
December
25,113
21,071
15,265
5,404
7,161
1,860
593
1,319
77,786
2004January
21,216
16,857
13,403
4,334
6,249
1,193
498
1,047
64,797
February
24,955
19,727
15,901
5,059
7,113
1,297
686
1,139
75,877
March
28,118
22,137
18,611
5,561
8,086
1,343
912
1,278
86,046
April
23,033
19,083
14,831
4,670
6,529
1,229
812
1,118
71,305
May
25,649
20,106
16,373
5,215
7,296
1,513
918
1,209
78,279
June
31,438
23,929
22,026
6,436
8,969
1,982
958
1,474
97,212
July
25,031
19,410
17,141
4,949
7,228
1,449
646
1,181
77,035
August
24,795
20,850
17,269
5,414
7,513
1,585
677
1,141
79,244
September
25,241
20,821
17,188
5,289
8,177
1,855
739
1,142
80,452
October
25,621
22,747
16,079
5,413
7,875
1,981
709
1,242
81,667
November
26,619
23,052
17,117
5,450
8,157
1,944
694
1,302
84,335
December
24,315
21,700
16,537
4,998
7,341
2,245
647
1,197
78,980
2005January
22,467
18,015
14,530
4,466
6,931
1,478
560
1,118
69,565

Seasonally Adjusted

2003November
24,606
20,337
15,564
5,294
7,087
1,574
650
1,227
76,339
December
25,956
20,526
15,236
5,171
7,199
1,368
646
1,261
77,363
2004January
25,694
20,616
16,076
5,297
7,171
1,473
654
1,207
78,188
February
25,795
20,533
16,421
5,191
7,167
1,515
752
1,215
78,589
March
25,676
20,325
16,668
5,176
7,291
1,412
777
1,199
78,524
April
25,312
20,483
16,210
5,152
7,089
1,472
767
1,227
77,712
May
25,046
20,340
16,619
5,202
7,512
1,526
771
1,192
78,208
June
25,525
20,294
17,605
5,263
7,210
1,850
727
1,204
79,678
July
25,204
19,580
17,086
5,035
7,609
1,523
682
1,210
77,929
August
24,914
20,597
17,056
5,326
7,626
1,552
726
1,130
78,927
September
25,663
21,098
17,250
5,373
8,409
1,845
812
1,207
81,657
October
25,976
23,082
17,372
5,653
7,962
1,950
760
1,250
84,005
November
25,458
21,480
16,724
5,257
8,064
1,702
707
1,226
80,618
December
25,249
21,118
16,690
4,750
7,165
1,646
700
1,169
78,487
2005January
27,187
22,602
17,858
5,566
8,370
1,877
723
1,303
85,486

Trend

2003November
25,835
20,689
15,643
5,297
7,163
1,568
645
1,254
78,094
December
25,702
20,601
15,763
5,260
7,156
1,517
666
1,238
77,903
2004January
25,614
20,534
15,932
5,227
7,164
1,472
694
1,225
77,862
February
25,568
20,475
16,159
5,204
7,180
1,456
723
1,216
77,981
March
25,525
20,401
16,417
5,186
7,199
1,472
746
1,211
78,157
April
25,433
20,276
16,658
5,169
7,236
1,507
757
1,205
78,241
May
25,312
20,173
16,870
5,169
7,317
1,555
762
1,198
78,356
June
25,245
20,216
17,042
5,206
7,466
1,610
762
1,195
78,742
July
25,248
20,427
17,142
5,257
7,638
1,662
758
1,192
79,324
August
25,306
20,772
17,174
5,300
7,787
1,710
755
1,193
79,997
September
25,425
21,172
17,151
5,320
7,886
1,740
751
1,198
80,643
October
25,585
21,546
17,110
5,317
7,931
1,763
745
1,209
81,206
November
25,779
21,840
17,106
5,301
7,944
1,779
735
1,222
81,706
December
25,992
22,059
17,134
5,282
7,950
1,790
725
1,236
82,168
2005January
26,232
22,239
17,221
5,274
7,934
1,813
714
1,248
82,675

(a) Seasonally adjusted numbers of new motor vehicle sales in Tasmania, Northern Territory and Australian Capital Territory should be used with caution. For further information, see paragraph 7 of the Explanatory Notes.

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