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NOVEMBER KEY FIGURES
NOVEMBER KEY POINTS
SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ESTIMATES
CHANGES IN THIS ISSUE
There are no changes in this issue.
November 2004 was in decline after being flat in October and September. South Australia and Tasmania continued their moderate trend growth. In the last four months, the Australian Capital Territory and Victoria had weak growth while the other states and Northern Territory were in decline.
After strong trend growth from March to July 2004, growth slowed and has been in decline over the last three months. All published states and the Australian Capital Territory were in decline in November 2004.
CLOTHING AND SOFT GOOD RETAILING
The trend was in decline in the three months to November 2004 after a steady fall in growth rates since May 2004. Over the last five months Western Australia and the Australian Capital Territory have had strong growth. Over the last three months all the other states and the Northern Territory were in decline.
HOUSEHOLD GOOD RETAILING
Trend growth has remained moderate to strong over the past five months after a period of weak growth from February 2004 to June 2004. Over the last five months, New South Wales and Victoria has been showing strong growth and Northern Territory has been in decline.
RECREATIONAL GOOD RETAILING
The trend has been in decline for the last five months. Western Australia was the only state with strong growth in this period with all other states and territories flat or in decline for at least the last three months.
Trend growth has been slowing over the past five months with November 2004 being in decline. Queensland and Western Australia have had long periods of strong growth while South Australia had moderate growth over the last five months. New South Wales, Victoria and the Australian Capital Territory have been flat or in decline over quite a long period.
TOTAL RETAIL (EXCLUDING HOSPITALITY AND SERVICES)
Total retail (excluding Hospitality and services) was in decline in November 2004. Over the last six months, the rate of trend growth has generally been slightly stronger than that of Total industries (including Hospitality and services).
HOSPITALITY AND SERVICES
The trend has been in decline for the last six months. New South Wales, Queensland, South Australia, Western Australia and Tasmania have been in decline for the last five months or longer. By contrast, Northern Territory has had strong trend growth over a similar period, while Victoria has had moderate growth for the last four months.
MONTHLY SEASONALLY ADJUSTED AND TREND ESTIMATES
NEW SOUTH WALES
The trend has been in decline for the last four months. Over this period, Household good retailing was the only industry to show growth. Recreational good retailing and Other retailing have been in decline for 13 months.
Trend growth has been weak for the last nine months. After periods of strong growth, the rates of growth in Department stores and Clothing and soft good retailing have decreased significantly to being in decline in the last three months. Food retailing has been weak or flat over this period and Recreational good retailing and Hospitality and services has been in decline. Household good retailing has had strong growth over the last five months and Hospitality and services has had moderate growth.
Trend growth was flat for September 2004 and in decline for October and November. This reflects weak seasonally adjusted growth in November 2004 preceded by a large decline in October. Over the last three months Other retailing (strong), Household good retailing (moderate) and Department stores (weak) have had trend growth while all other industries were in decline.
MONTHLY SEASONALLY ADJUSTED AND TREND ESTIMATES
In November 2004, the trend was in decline after three months of being flat. Over the last three months Department stores, Clothing and soft good retailing, Recreational good retailing and Hospitality and services have been in decline while Household good retailing and Other retailing have had moderate growth. Food retailing has had weak growth over this period.
The rate of trend growth has been decreasing over the past six months with weak growth in the last three months. Strong growth in recent months in Clothing and soft good, Recreational good and Other retailing has been offset by a decline in Food retailing, Department stores and Hospitality and services. Household good retailing had weak trend growth in October and November 2004 after a period of strong growth.
The trend was in decline in October and November 2004 and flat in September. Food retailing has had 12 months of moderate trend growth. Over the last three months Household good retailing has had weak growth and the other published industries are in decline.
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