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9314.0 - Sales of New Motor Vehicles, Australia, Dec 2006  
Previous ISSUE Released at 11:30 AM (CANBERRA TIME) 22/01/2007   
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The Publication

This publication presents monthly information on sales of new motor vehicles in each state/territory in original, seasonally adjusted and trend estimated terms. The original data are sourced from the Federal Chamber of Automotive Industries. Sales data are available for passenger vehicles, sports utility vehicles (SUVs), other vehicles and total vehicles at the state/territory and national levels.

DECEMBER 2006 KEY POINTS

Trend

The December 2006 trend estimate (81 369) increased 0.3% compared with the November 2006 estimate. This was the seventh consecutive positive trend estimate. Since December 2005, the trend estimate has increased 0.2%.

Passenger vehicle sales recorded an increase of 0.1% in December. The largest increase in December was recorded by sports utility vehicles at 1.1%. The other vehicle types decreased (0.1%) this month, the twelfth consecutive month of negative trend estimates for this category.

Western Australia (0.6%) and Queensland (0.8%) recorded the largest trend estimate increases whilst Tasmania (0.9%), South Australia (0.6%) and Victoria (0.2%) all recorded decreases over this time.

Seasonally adjusted

The December 2006 seasonally adjusted estimate for total sales of new motor vehicles (81 361) increased 0.8% compared with November 2006 estimates.

Tasmania, South Australia and the ACT recorded decreases in monthly seasonally adjusted estimates. Increases were recorded in the Northern Territory (5.6%), Western Australia (2.8%), Victoria (1.8%), New South Wales (1.0%) and Queensland (0.2%).

Over this period only passenger vehicles recorded an increase (1.8%), with sports utility vehicles (0.5%) and other vehicles (1.4%) decreasing.


New motor vehicles sales December 2006
NSW
Vic.
Qld
SA
WA
Tas.(a)
NT(a)
ACT(a)
Aust.

Vehicle sales
Seasonally adjusted
24 801
20 130
18 331
4 779
9 859
1 435
794
1 232
81 361
Trend
24 847
20 172
18 156
4 838
9 771
1 557
791
1 237
81 369


Percentage change from previous month
Seasonally adjusted
1.0
1.8
0.2
-2.7
2.8
-11.9
5.6
-1.4
0.8
Trend
0.4
-0.2
0.8
-0.6
0.6
-0.9
0.1
0.3
0.3

Percentage change from previous year
Seasonally adjusted
0.3
-7.4
5.1
-9.4
13.0
-10.6
4.3
5.8
-0.1
Trend
-0.1
-5.1
3.5
-8.0
12.0
-1.3
3.1
2.1
0.2

(a) Seasonally adjusted numbers of new motor vehicle sales in Tasmania, Northern Territory and Australian Capital Territory should be used with caution. For further information, see paragraph 7 of the Explanatory Notes.

NOTES

FORTHCOMING ISSUES

ISSUERELEASE DATE
January 2006
February 2007
21 February 2007
21 March 2007
March 200720 April 2007
April 200722 May 2007
May 2007
June 2007
20 June 2007
20 July 2007



WHAT IF...? REVISIONS TO TREND ESTIMATES

The "what-if" analysis is presented to give an indicative view of the possible revision of the current trend estimate based on the different scenarios of the future seasonally adjusted estimates. These estimates should not be used as a prediction of future trend estimates. Due to this, from the December 2006 9314.0 onwards, future trend estimates for this "what-if" analysis will no longer be presented. For further information, see Explanatory Notes, paragraphs 11 and 12.


The graph below presents the effect of two possible scenarios on the published trend estimates.

1The January 2007 seasonally adjusted estimate of total vehicle sales is higher than the December 2006 seasonally adjusted estimate by 3.4%.
2The January 2007 seasonally adjusted estimate of total vehicle sales is lower than the December 2006 seasonally adjusted estimate by 3.4%.

The percentage change of 3.4% was chosen because the average absolute percentage change over the last 10 years has been 3.4%.
Graph: Trend revisions


SUMMARY - TREND AND SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ESTIMATES.
Graph: New Motor Vehicle Sales(a), Total Vehicles-LongTerm

Graph: New Motor vehicle Sales, Total Vehicles-Short Term


Table 1: New motor vehicle sales by type of vehicle

Passenger vehicles (No.)
Sports utility vehicles (No.)
Other vehicles (No.)
Total vehicles (No.)
Change passenger vehicles (%)
Change sports utility vehicles (%)
Change other vehicles (%)
Change total vehicles (%)

Original

2005October
48 434
12 503
15 181
76 118
-7.1
-17.1
-12.0
-9.9
November
52 751
14 252
16 535
83 538
8.9
14.0
8.9
9.7
December
47 945
15 046
16 286
79 277
-9.1
5.6
-1.5
-5.1
2006January
43 761
13 251
12 991
70 003
-8.7
-11.9
-20.2
-11.7
February
48 483
13 506
15 457
77 446
10.8
1.9
19.0
10.6
March
53 188
15 896
18 072
87 156
9.7
17.7
16.9
12.5
April
42 307
11 901
14 442
68 650
-20.5
-25.1
-20.1
-21.2
May
50 683
14 816
17 958
83 457
19.8
24.5
24.3
21.6
June
57 026
18 079
21 343
96 448
12.5
22.0
18.8
15.6
July
48 798
13 279
15 485
77 562
-14.4
-26.6
-27.4
-19.6
August
52 030
13 539
16 092
81 661
6.6
2.0
3.9
5.3
September
51 388
13 208
15 397
79 993
-1.2
-2.4
-4.3
-2.0
October
November
50 532
51 850
13 921
15 193
15 477
16 254
79 930
83 297
-1.7
2.6
5.4
9.1
0.5
5.0
-0.1
4.2
December
48 348
14 258
14 457
77 063
-6.8
-6.2
-11.1
-7.5

Seasonally adjusted

2005October
49 185
13 893
16 062
79 140
-4.1
-7.8
-6.7
-5.3
November
50 203
14 220
16 555
80 978
2.1
2.4
3.1
2.3
December
49 575
14 889
16 964
81 428
-1.3
4.7
2.5
0.6
2006January
51 173
14 564
16 965
82 702
3.2
-2.2
0.0
1.6
February
49 938
14 091
16 643
80 672
-2.4
-3.2
-1.9
-2.5
March
48 618
13 956
16 586
79 160
-2.6
-1.0
-0.3
-1.9
April
49 362
13 917
16 364
79 643
1.5
-0.3
-1.3
0.6
May
49 572
13 975
16 332
79 879
0.4
0.4
-0.2
0.3
June
48 848
14 310
15 591
78 749
-1.5
2.4
-4.5
-1.4
July
50 738
14 179
16 110
81 027
3.9
-0.9
3.3
2.9
August
50 228
13 083
15 897
79 208
-1.0
-7.7
-1.3
-2.2
September
50 858
14 537
15 923
81 318
1.3
11.1
0.2
2.7
October
50 148
15 023
16 164
81 335
-1.4
3.3
1.5
0.0
November
50 050
14 837
15 863
80 750
-0.2
-1.2
-1.9
-0.7
December
50 958
14 769
15 634
81 361
1.8
-0.5
-1.4
0.8

Trend

2005October
50 331
14 701
16 749
81 781
-0.9
-0.5
-0.7
-0.8
November
50 159
14 592
16 737
81 488
-0.3
-0.7
-0.1
-0.4
December
50 031
14 446
16 743
81 220
-0.3
-1.0
0.0
-0.3
2006January
49 879
14 301
16 735
80 915
-0.3
-1.0
-0.0
-0.4
February
49 689
14 211
16 683
80 583
-0.4
-0.6
-0.3
-0.4
March
49 502
14 136
16 564
80 202
-0.4
-0.5
-0.7
-0.5
April
49 390
14 035
16 371
79 796
-0.2
-0.7
-1.2
-0.5
May
49 432
13 937
16 170
79 539
0.1
-0.7
-1.2
-0.3
June
49 651
13 923
16 034
79 608
0.4
-0.1
-0.8
0.1
July
49 953
14 004
15 970
79 927
0.6
0.6
-0.4
0.4
August
50 223
14 145
15 949
80 317
0.5
1.0
-0.1
0.5
September
50 377
14 331
15 939
80 647
0.3
1.3
-0.1
0.4
October
50 475
14 534
15 917
80 926
0.2
1.4
-0.1
0.3
November
50 551
14 728
15 879
81 158
0.2
1.3
-0.2
0.3
December
50 626
14 884
15 859
81 369
0.1
1.1
-0.1
0.3

Table 2: New motor vehicle sales by state/territory of registration

NSW
Vic.
Qld
SA
WA
Tas.(a)
NT(a)
ACT(a)
Aust.
(No.)
(No.)
(No.)
(No.)
(No.)
(No.)
(No.)
(No.)
(No.)

Original

2005October
22 949
20 289
16 026
5 030
8 349
1 655
659
1 161
76 118
November
25 716
22 428
17 181
5 500
9 107
1 667
690
1 249
83 538
December
23 054
22 110
16 208
5 335
8 664
2 080
690
1 136
79 277
2006January
21 995
17 876
15 107
4 380
7 604
1 295
616
1 130
70 003
February
24 495
19 979
16 452
5 085
8 165
1 373
731
1 166
77 446
March
27 165
21 461
19 833
5 195
9 750
1 540
913
1 299
87 156
April
21 171
17 636
14 820
4 619
7 507
1 129
764
1 004
68 650
May
25 124
20 776
18 774
5 601
9 472
1 623
863
1 224
83 457
June
28 560
23 015
23 091
6 164
11 170
1 936
1 058
1 454
96 448
July
23 688
19 322
17 910
4 794
8 720
1 334
679
1 115
77 562
August
24 223
21 043
18 124
5 107
9 736
1 436
768
1 224
81 661
September
24 267
20 449
17 061
4 903
9 716
1 688
682
1 227
79 993
October
November
24 379
25 418
20 785
20 739
16 625
18 076
4 781
5 116
9 591
9 972
1 797
1 973
762
733
1 210
1 270
79 930
83 297
December
22 927
19 790
16 551
4 700
9 471
1 748
688
1 188
77 063

Seasonally adjusted

2005October
23 838
20 638
17 489
5 195
8 500
1 567
729
1 184
79 140
November
24 601
21 471
17 340
5 299
8 883
1 463
722
1 199
80 978
December
24 721
21 736
17 445
5 274
8 721
1 605
761
1 165
81 428
2006January
25 610
21 231
18 021
5 339
8 814
1 601
812
1 274
82 702
February
25 083
20 924
17 245
5 256
8 538
1 623
790
1 213
80 672
March
24 488
19 950
17 580
4 839
8 731
1 592
775
1 205
79 160
April
24 140
20 488
17 391
5 311
8 874
1 497
746
1 196
79 643
May
23 941
20 178
17 797
5 252
9 239
1 582
742
1 148
79 879
June
23 978
19 418
17 515
5 043
9 084
1 718
762
1 231
78 749
July
24 257
20 437
18 277
5 126
9 504
1 513
743
1 170
81 027
August
23 892
20 202
17 302
4 924
9 490
1 408
793
1 197
79 208
September
24 728
20 740
17 508
5 016
9 653
1 668
764
1 241
81 318
October
24 988
20 323
17 797
4 890
9 635
1 665
831
1 206
81 335
November
24 555
19 770
18 297
4 912
9 586
1 628
752
1 250
80 750
December
24 801
20 130
18 331
4 779
9 859
1 435
794
1 232
81 361

Trend

2005October
24 962
21 386
17 794
5 269
8 729
1 625
777
1 239
81 781
November
24 897
21 341
17 644
5 272
8 746
1 598
768
1 222
81 488
December
24 877
21 257
17 542
5 260
8 727
1 578
767
1 212
81 220
2006January
24 850
21 083
17 492
5 233
8 708
1 571
771
1 207
80 915
February
24 780
20 819
17 494
5 206
8 727
1 577
773
1 207
80 583
March
24 611
20 507
17 547
5 181
8 794
1 587
771
1 204
80 202
April
24 352
20 224
17 603
5 159
8 911
1 585
763
1 199
79 796
May
24 115
20 072
17 629
5 135
9 066
1 574
757
1 191
79 539
June
24 032
20 075
17 643
5 108
9 236
1 569
756
1 189
79 608
July
24 115
20 159
17 668
5 072
9 384
1 573
762
1 194
79 927
August
24 297
20 240
17 708
5 021
9 494
1 579
773
1 205
80 317
September
24 481
20 269
17 777
4 962
9 579
1 582
781
1 216
80 647
October
24 635
20 253
17 886
4 911
9 651
1 580
786
1 224
80 926
November
24 759
20 211
18 014
4 868
9 712
1 571
790
1 233
81 158
December
24 847
20 172
18 156
4 838
9 771
1 557
791
1 237
81 369

(a) Seasonally adjusted numbers of new motor vehicle sales in Tasmania, Northern Territory and Australian Capital Territory should be used with caution. For further information, see paragraph 7 of the Explanatory Notes.

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