9314.0 - Sales of New Motor Vehicles, Australia, Dec 2003  
ARCHIVED ISSUE Released at 11:30 AM (CANBERRA TIME) 21/01/2004   
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This publication presents monthly information on sales of new motor vehicles in each state/territory in original, seasonally adjusted and trend estimated terms. The original data are sourced from the Federal Chamber of Automotive Industries. Sales data are available for passenger vehicles, other vehicles and total vehicles at the state/territory and national levels.


DECEMBER 2003 KEY POINTS

Trend

The trend estimate for sales of new motor vehicles fell by 1.4% to 76,058 in December 2003 compared with November 2003. The trend estimate has fallen over the last four months following more than 12 months of consecutive growth.

Growth in the trend estimate of 6.7% was recorded for December 2003 when compared with December 2002. Sales of passenger vehicles increased by 4.5% and sales of other vehicles increased by 10.9% over the period.

The trend estimate for December 2003 fell when compared with November 2003, for all states/territories. Tasmania recorded the largest fall (2.6%).

Seasonally adjusted

The seasonally adjusted estimate for December 2003 decreased by 4.8% when compared with November 2003. The Australian Capital Territory was the only state/territory which recorded an increase (0.6%).



NOTES

TREND REVISIONS

Trend estimates are likely to be revised when new seasonally adjusted estimates become available. For further information see Explanatory Notes 9 and 10.

The graph below presents the effect of two possible scenarios on the previous trend estimates.

1The January 2004 seasonally adjusted estimate of total vehicle sales is higher than the December 2003 seasonally adjusted estimate by 4.0%.
2The January 2004 seasonally adjusted estimate of total vehicle sales is lower than the December 2003 seasonally adjusted estimate by 4.0%.

The percentage change of 4.0% was chosen because the average absolute percentage change over the last 9 years has been 4.0%.





SUMMARY - TREND AND SEASONAL ANALYSIS







Table 1: New Motor Vehicle Sales

Passenger vehicles (No.)
Other vehicles (No.)
Total vehicles (No.)
Change Passenger vehicles (%)
Change Other vehicles (%)
Change Total vehicles (%)

Original

2002October
48,269
24,063
72,332
11.2
6.3
9.5
November
47,229
24,346
71,575
-2.2
1.2
-1.0
December
45,317
22,656
67,973
-4.0
-6.9
-5.0
2003January
40,015
21,155
61,170
-11.7
-6.6
-10.0
February
43,677
23,058
66,735
9.2
9.0
9.1
March
49,921
26,192
76,113
14.3
13.6
14.1
April
44,602
24,263
68,865
-10.7
-7.4
-9.5
May
49,646
28,616
78,262
11.3
17.9
13.6
June
57,086
34,972
92,058
15.0
22.2
17.6
July
51,450
28,071
79,521
-9.9
-19.7
-13.6
August
49,869
26,304
76,173
-3.1
-6.3
-4.2
September
51,749
26,042
77,791
3.8
-1.0
2.1
October
52,180
27,045
79,225
0.8
3.9
1.8
November
48,482
27,630
76,112
-7.1
2.2
-3.9
December
49,834
27,952
77,786
2.8
1.2
2.2

Seasonally Adjusted

2002October
45,376
24,345
69,721
-0.6
-2.1
-1.1
November
45,876
24,123
69,999
1.1
-0.9
0.4
December
42,606
21,976
64,582
-7.1
-8.9
-7.7
2003January
47,487
26,103
73,590
11.5
18.8
13.9
February
46,861
24,868
71,729
-1.3
-4.7
-2.5
March
48,190
25,639
73,829
2.8
3.1
2.9
April
48,936
26,092
75,028
1.5
1.8
1.6
May
49,927
26,872
76,799
2.0
3.0
2.4
June
50,370
27,355
77,725
0.9
1.8
1.2
July
49,885
27,829
77,714
-1.0
1.7
0.0
August
51,411
27,261
78,672
3.1
-2.0
1.2
September
53,150
27,673
80,823
3.4
1.5
2.7
October
49,070
27,524
76,594
-7.7
-0.5
-5.2
November
48,303
28,109
76,412
-1.6
2.1
-0.2
December
46,058
26,715
72,773
-4.6
-5.0
-4.8

Trend

2002October
45,617
24,607
70,224
0.6
0.4
0.5
November
45,965
24,727
70,692
0.8
0.5
0.7
December
46,392
24,887
71,279
0.9
0.6
0.8
2003January
46,925
25,108
72,033
1.1
0.9
1.1
February
47,545
25,434
72,979
1.3
1.3
1.3
March
48,184
25,847
74,031
1.3
1.6
1.4
April
48,850
26,282
75,132
1.4
1.7
1.5
May
49,610
26,712
76,322
1.6
1.6
1.6
June
50,450
27,150
77,600
1.7
1.6
1.7
July
51,073
27,522
78,595
1.2
1.4
1.3
August
51,246
27,731
78,977
0.3
0.8
0.5
September
50,954
27,800
78,754
-0.6
0.2
-0.3
October
50,303
27,792
78,095
-1.3
0.0
-0.8
November
49,422
27,721
77,143
-1.8
-0.3
-1.2
December
48,459
27,599
76,058
-1.9
-0.4
-1.4


Table 2: New Motor Vehicle Sales by State/Territory of Registration

NSW (No.)
Vic. (No.)
Qld (No.)
SA (No.)
WA (No.)
Tas. (No.)
NT (No.)
ACT (No.)
Aust. (No.)

Original

2002October
24,618
20,185
13,456
4,499
6,627
1,203
580
1,164
72,332
November
24,349
19,829
13,224
4,641
6,320
1,398
628
1,186
71,575
December
21,741
19,706
12,672
4,531
5,989
1,584
585
1,165
67,973
2003January
20,648
16,490
11,632
3,988
5,762
1,025
534
1,091
61,170
February
21,965
18,152
12,956
4,754
6,164
1,069
582
1,093
66,735
March
25,541
20,408
14,843
5,147
6,917
1,218
769
1,270
76,113
April
23,588
18,368
13,386
4,507
5,948
1,177
728
1,163
68,865
May
26,259
21,053
14,967
5,273
7,127
1,454
789
1,340
78,262
June
31,168
24,132
18,084
6,089
8,662
1,549
866
1,508
92,058
July
26,983
21,248
15,716
5,298
6,973
1,407
635
1,261
79,521
August
25,391
19,799
15,248
5,263
7,048
1,589
555
1,280
76,173
September
25,738
21,200
15,293
5,222
6,894
1,639
593
1,212
77,791
October
25,533
21,337
15,521
5,430
7,487
2,008
607
1,302
79,225
November
25,099
20,254
15,058
5,214
6,925
1,717
630
1,215
76,112
December
25,113
21,071
15,265
5,404
7,161
1,860
593
1,319
77,786

Seasonally Adjusted

2002October
23,612
18,878
13,457
4,435
6,377
1,226
605
1,131
69,721
November
23,757
19,282
13,087
4,509
6,296
1,277
622
1,169
69,999
December
21,013
18,521
12,178
4,326
5,691
1,095
630
1,128
64,582
2003January
24,932
19,914
13,884
4,908
6,730
1,303
662
1,257
73,590
February
23,990
19,517
13,660
4,992
6,456
1,274
668
1,172
71,729
March
24,529
20,072
14,439
4,979
6,567
1,317
694
1,232
73,829
April
25,576
20,163
14,494
5,055
6,408
1,380
694
1,258
75,028
May
25,698
20,797
14,795
5,098
7,027
1,424
676
1,284
76,799
June
26,033
21,117
14,713
5,116
7,285
1,494
665
1,302
77,725
July
25,685
20,841
15,479
5,191
7,149
1,479
645
1,245
77,714
August
26,437
20,464
15,789
5,349
7,179
1,578
603
1,273
78,672
September
27,424
21,218
15,855
5,414
7,322
1,612
678
1,300
80,823
October
24,508
20,039
15,601
5,314
7,240
1,996
631
1,265
76,594
November
24,665
20,301
15,586
5,258
7,080
1,647
640
1,235
76,412
December
23,917
19,549
14,261
5,083
6,828
1,268
625
1,242
72,773

Trend

2002October
23,877
19,171
13,434
4,466
6,236
1,255
609
1,176
70,224
November
23,982
19,318
13,468
4,540
6,329
1,256
620
1,179
70,692
December
24,131
19,460
13,551
4,650
6,403
1,262
637
1,185
71,279
2003January
24,338
19,623
13,703
4,776
6,462
1,276
657
1,198
72,033
February
24,604
19,842
13,929
4,893
6,524
1,299
673
1,215
72,979
March
24,888
20,100
14,190
4,988
6,616
1,332
682
1,235
74,031
April
25,194
20,355
14,480
5,059
6,743
1,366
682
1,253
75,132
May
25,575
20,590
14,783
5,118
6,899
1,409
677
1,271
76,322
June
26,013
20,808
15,108
5,179
7,060
1,477
667
1,288
77,600
July
26,338
20,934
15,390
5,238
7,183
1,553
659
1,300
78,595
August
26,411
20,926
15,553
5,285
7,235
1,615
651
1,301
78,977
September
26,245
20,810
15,588
5,302
7,218
1,650
646
1,295
78,754
October
25,911
20,632
15,510
5,295
7,165
1,655
642
1,285
78,095
November
25,472
20,414
15,350
5,270
7,095
1,633
637
1,272
77,143
December
24,985
20,183
15,152
5,234
7,021
1,591
633
1,259
76,058