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8501.0 - Retail Trade, Australia, Mar 2011  
Previous ISSUE Released at 11:30 AM (CANBERRA TIME) 05/05/2011   
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ANALYSIS - TOTAL RETAIL


TOTAL RETAIL - MONTHLY

The chart below shows the trend series and seasonally adjusted series to March 2011.

In current prices, the trend estimate for Australian turnover rose 0.1% in March 2011 following a rise of 0.1% in February 2011 and a rise of 0.1% January 2011.

The seasonally adjusted estimate for Australian turnover fell 0.5% in March 2011 following a revised rise of 0.8% in February 2011 and a revised rise of 0.3% in January 2011. The upwards revision to February 2011 was material and was the result of the large extreme correction for flood-related influences for that month. See Impact of the floods.

The original estimate for Australian turnover rose 10.2% in March 2011. The original estimate for chains and other larger retailers rose 11.2% in March 2011. The original estimate for smaller retailers rose 8.7% in March 2011.

RETAIL TURNOVER, Australia
Graph: RETAIL TURNOVER, Australia



TOTAL RETAIL - QUARTERLY

In volume terms, the seasonally adjusted estimate for the March quarter 2011 was relatively unchanged (0.0%), following a fall of 0.4% in the December quarter 2010 and a rise of 0.5% in the September quarter 2010.

In the March quarter 2011, the seasonally adjusted estimate rose in volume terms for Food retailing (0.6%), Other retailing (1.5%), Department stores (0.2%) and Clothing, footwear and personal accessory retailing (0.2%). The seasonally adjusted estimate fell in volume terms for Household goods retailing (-1.3%) and Cafes, restaurants and takeaway food services (-0.6%) in the March quarter 2011.

The Implicit Price Deflator for Australian retail turnover rose 0.8% in seasonally adjusted terms in the March quarter 2011.


TOTAL RETAIL - BY STATE

The following states and territories rose in trend terms in March 2011: Western Australia (0.8%), New South Wales (0.2%), Queensland (0.1%), the Northern Territory (1.2%), South Australia (0.2%) and the Australian Capital Territory (0.2%). Victoria (-0.2%) and Tasmania (-0.3%) fell in trend terms in March 2011.

The following states and territories fell in seasonally adjusted terms in March 2011: Queensland (-2.9%), Western Australia (-0.4%), New South Wales (-0.1%), Tasmania (-1.4%) and the Australian Capital Territory (-0.3%). Victoria (0.9%), South Australia (0.3%) and the Northern Territory (0.3%) rose in seasonally adjusted terms in March 2011.

RETAIL TURNOVER, States and Territories
Graph: RETAIL TURNOVER, States and Territories


In the March quarter 2011, the seasonally adjusted estimate rose in volume terms for Western Australia (3.1%), Queensland (0.7%), the Northern Territory (4.3%) and the Australian Capital Territory (0.5%). The seasonally adjusted estimate fell in volume terms for Victoria (-1.4%), New South Wales (-0.3%), Tasmania (-1.5%) and South Australia (-0.1%).


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