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5625.0 - Private New Capital Expenditure and Expected Expenditure, Australia, Jun 2009 Quality Declaration 
Previous ISSUE Released at 11:30 AM (CANBERRA TIME) 27/08/2009   
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WHAT IF...? REVISIONS TO TREND ESTIMATES


EFFECT OF NEW SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ESTIMATES ON TREND ESTIMATES


TREND REVISIONS

Recent seasonally adjusted and trend estimates are likely to be revised when original estimates for subsequent quarters become available. The approximate effects of possible scenarios on trend estimates for capital expenditure in chain volume terms are presented below by illustrating the impact if next quarter's seasonally adjusted estimate rises or falls by a specified percentage (based on the historical average of movements in seasonally adjusted estimates). For further information, see paragraphs 44 and 45 in the EN.

Buildings and Structures

Graph: What If Buildings

What if next quarter's seasonally adjusted estimate:
Trend as published
(1) rises by 6.7%
on this quarter
(2) falls by 6.7%
on this quarter
$m
%
$m
%
$m
%

2008
September
10 945
7.8
10 945
7.8
10 945
7.8
December
11 701
6.9
11 715
7.0
11 778
7.6
2009
March
12 130
3.7
12 125
3.5
12 101
2.7
June
12 244
0.9
12 285
1.3
11 983
-1.0



Equipment, Plant and Machinery

Graph: What If Equipment

What if next quarter's seasonally adjusted estimate:
Trend as published
(1) rises by 4.9%
on this quarter
(2) falls by 4.9%
on this quarter
$m
%
$m
%
$m
%

2008
September
12 856
0.9
12 856
0.9
12 856
0.9
December
12 471
-3.0
12 429
-3.3
12 498
-2.8
2009
March
12 006
-3.7
12 029
-3.2
12 005
-3.9
June
11 659
-2.9
12 006
-0.2
11 673
-2.8



Total Capital Expenditure

Graph: What If Total

What if next quarter's seasonally adjusted estimate:
Trend as published
(1) rises by 4.4%
on this quarter
(2) falls by 4.4%
on this quarter
$m
%
$m
%
$m
%

2008
September
23 813
4.0
23 813
4.0
23 813
4.0
December
24 141
1.4
24 093
1.2
24 283
2.0
2009
March
24 081
-0.2
24 108
0.1
24 042
-1.0
June
23 925
-0.6
24 400
1.2
23 489
-2.3




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