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3401.0.55.001 - Short-term Visitor Arrival Estimates, Australia, Oct 2007  
Previous ISSUE Released at 11:30 AM (CANBERRA TIME) 16/11/2007   
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MAIN FEATURES


TREND ESTIMATES

The trend estimate for short-term visitor arrivals to Australia for October 2007 (471,800 movements) increased by 0.2% compared with September 2007 (470,800 movements). This followed no monthly percentage change for both August 2007 and September 2007.


Currently, short-term visitor arrivals are 1.4% higher than in October 2006.



SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ESTIMATES

The seasonally adjusted estimate for short-term visitor arrivals to Australia for October 2007 (469,900 movements) decreased by 1.2% compared with September 2007 (475,600 movements). This followed a monthly increase of 3.7% for August 2007 and a monthly decrease of 0.1% for September 2007.

Short-term visitor arrivals, Australia
Graph: Visitor arrivals Short-term




ORIGINAL ESTIMATES

In original movement terms there were an estimated 476,000 short-term visitor arrivals to Australia during October 2007.

TABLE 1: SHORT-TERM VISITOR ARRIVALS, AUSTRALIA(a) - October 2007

Oct 07
Sep 07 to Oct 07
Oct 06 to Oct 07
'000
% change
% change

Trend
471.8
0.2
1.4
Seasonally adjusted
469.9
-1.2
. .
Original
476.0
. .
. .

. . not applicable
(a) Data for the most recent month are statistically modelled on passport movements and past arrival trends from passenger cards. Monthly estimates prior to the most recent month are based on passenger card data. Time series data for months earlier than those presented in this table are available as time series spreadsheets from the ABS website. Trend and seasonally adjusted estimates may be revised each month. See Explanatory Notes 14 to 19.

TABLE 2: SHORT-TERM VISITOR ARRIVALS, AUSTRALIA - Country of Residence(a)

Trend
Seasonally Adjusted
Original



Sep 07
Oct 07
Sep 07 to Oct 07
Oct 06 to Oct 07
Sep 07
Oct 07
Sep 07 to Oct 07
Oct 07
Country of residence
'000
'000
% change
% change
'000
'000
% change
'000

Oceania & Antarctica
New Zealand
94.5
93.8
-0.7
3.9
94.4
95.5
1.2
107.0
Total
106.1
105.6
-0.5
4.0
106.2
107.8
1.6
118.2
North-West Europe
Germany
12.6
12.5
-0.8
2.0
12.9
12.0
-6.6
14.8
Netherlands
4.4
4.5
0.6
5.6
4.5
4.3
-2.7
5.5
Sweden
2.8
2.8
1.5
-1.7
2.8
2.8
0.9
3.3
Switzerland
3.4
3.2
-3.1
-6.9
3.0
3.3
10.3
3.7
United Kingdom
57.3
57.7
0.7
-3.5
57.8
58.4
0.9
58.5
Total
98.8
99.2
0.4
-1.1
99.6
99.4
-0.2
105.8
Southern & Eastern Europe
Italy
4.5
4.5
0.8
2.7
4.5
4.5
-0.7
4.7
Total
11.5
11.6
1.5
8.1
12.0
11.7
-2.9
12.2
North Africa & the Middle East
Total
7.4
7.5
1.5
13.6
7.0
8.4
19.6
6.4
South-East Asia
Indonesia
7.5
7.4
-1.0
5.1
7.6
7.0
-7.8
12.2
Malaysia
12.0
11.6
-3.0
-10.1
11.5
11.1
-2.9
11.3
Philippines
3.7
3.7
0.8
12.9
3.7
3.7
-0.7
4.1
Singapore
21.0
20.4
-2.8
-8.4
21.6
17.8
-17.7
16.7
Thailand
7.7
7.9
1.8
27.5
9.0
6.8
-24.4
7.7
Total
55.6
54.9
-1.3
0.5
57.4
50.3
-12.3
56.0
North-East Asia
China
30.3
30.6
1.0
12.1
31.1
29.6
-4.7
25.8
Japan
48.2
48.6
0.8
-8.9
47.5
48.2
1.5
46.8
Korea
21.1
20.9
-1.1
-10.9
20.9
20.6
-1.5
19.9
Taiwan
8.6
8.9
3.9
14.0
9.9
8.9
-10.3
7.7
Total
120.8
121.6
0.6
-2.9
122.0
119.6
-1.9
110.6
Americas
Canada
10.2
10.4
1.8
14.5
11.1
10.3
-7.5
9.6
United States of America
38.7
39.1
1.1
3.1
38.9
40.3
3.6
36.3
Total
53.6
54.3
1.2
6.5
54.8
55.6
1.6
50.8
Sub-Saharan Africa
South Africa
4.9
5.0
1.2
4.5
4.9
5.2
5.5
4.7
Total
6.7
6.8
1.1
5.2
6.8
7.0
2.2
6.1
Total(b)
470.8
471.8
0.2
1.4
475.6
469.9
-1.2
476.0

(a) Data for the most recent month are statistically modelled on passport movements and past arrival trends from passenger cards. Monthly estimates prior to the most recent month are based on passenger card data. Time series data for months earlier than those presented in this table are available as time series spreadsheets from the ABS website. Trend and seasonally adjusted estimates may be revised each month. See Explanatory Notes 14 to 19.
(b) Includes Southern and Central Asia and not stated/inadequately described.


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