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3222.0 - Population Projections by CapitalCity/Balance of State, 2004 to 2101  
Previous ISSUE Released at 11:30 AM (CANBERRA TIME) 29/11/2005  Reissue
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ABOUT THIS DATASET

This dataset contains population projections at the capital city/balance of state level by single year of age (up to 85 years and over) and sex, for the period 2004–2051. These projections were produced by the ABS and published on 29 November 2005 in Population Projections, Australia 2004 to 2101 (cat. no. 3222.0).

Three alternative projections series (Series A, B and C in the table below) are presented in this dataset, with different combinations of assumptions on fertility, mortality, overseas migration and interstate migration. Assumptions used for all available series are detailed below:
PROJECTION SERIES, Assumptions used

HIGH LIFE EXPECTANCY AT BIRTH
MEDIUM LIFE EXPECTANCY AT BIRTH


Net
interstate migration(a)
(high)
Net
interstate
migration
(medium)
Net
interstate migration(a)
(low)
Net
interstate migration(a)
(high)
Net
interstate
migration
(medium)
Net
interstate migration(a)
(low)

HIGH FERTILITY (TFR = 1.9)

Net overseas migration (per year)
140 000
1(A)
2
3
4
5
6
110 000
19
20
21
22
23
24
80 000
37
38
39
40
41
42
0
55
56
57
58
59
60

MEDIUM FERTILITY (TFR = 1.7)

Net overseas migration (per year)
140 000
7
8
9
10
11
12
110 000
25
26
27
28
29(B)
30
80 000
43
44
45
46
47
48
0
61
62
63
64
65
66

LOW FERTILITY (TFR = 1.5)

Net overseas migration (per year)
140 000
13
14
15
16
17
18
110 000
31
32
33
34
35
36
80 000
49
50
51
52
53
54(C)
0
67
68
69
70
71
72

(a) High and low interstate migration refer to high/low flow scenarios, and will therefore reflect high/low losses rather than high/low gains in some jurisdictions.
Data for the remaining series are available on request by contacting Matthew Montgomery on 02 6252 6487 or by emailing <matthew.montgomery@abs.gov.au>.

Capital city/balance of state projections were not generated for the Australian Capital Territory.




USING THIS DATASET WITH SUPERTABLE

When creating your own table from this SuperTABLE you must select at least one value from each of the following fields:

  • Part of state,
  • At 30 June, and
  • Projection series.

Failure to do this will result in incorrect data in your table.

CLASSIFICATIONS
SexMale, Female
At 30 June 2004–2051 (annually)
Part of stateCapital city/balance of state
AgeSingle year of age (0,1,2....,84,85 years and over)
SeriesA, B, C



TABLE FOR VALIDATION PURPOSES

PROJECTED POPULATION BY CAPITAL CITY/BALANCE OF STATE, Series B

Area
At 30 June 2004(a)
At 30 June 2051

Sydney
4,225,088
5,608,784
Balance of New South Wales
2,495,703
3,133,926
Melbourne
3,592,975
5,041,126
Balance of Victoria
1,369,995
1,532,970
Brisbane
1,777,651
3,354,719
Balance of Queensland
2,110,426
3,544,309
Adelaide
1,123,199
1,203,937
Balance of South Australia
409,528
376,787
Perth
1,454,606
2,453,604
Balance of Western Australia
523,473
710,906
Hobart
202,182
219,573
Balance of Tasmania
280,054
233,475
Darwin
109,432
232,310
Balance of Northern Territory
90,402
117,710
ACT
324,119
401,609
Other Territories
2,671
3,936

(a) Estimated resident population, base population.


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