1 This publication contains indexes measuring changes in the prices of imports of merchandise that are landed in Australia each quarter-the import price index (tables 1-6), and exports of merchandise that are shipped from Australia each quarter-the export price index (tables 7-11).
2 The indexes are calculated on the reference base 1989-90=100.0.
3 The import price index excludes the following items (representing approximately 5% of the value of merchandise imported during the weighting period) because of the inherent difficulties in pricing the items to constant quality (see paragraph 15 below):
4 The export price index includes re-exports of merchandise (i.e. goods which are imported into Australia and exported at a later date without physical transformation).
- live animals (not for food)
- jewellery and other articles of precious metal n.e.s.
- military equipment
- commodities not classified according to kind
- works of art, collectors' pieces, antiques
- ships of various types.
5 Index numbers for selected sections of the Standard International Trade Classification (SITC) are provided in table 3 (import price index) and table 9 (export price index).
6 The import price index is also presented by End Use Class of the United Nations' Classification by Broad Economic Categories (BEC) in tables 4-6. These have been disaggregated into balance of payments groupings.
7 The export price index is also presented by balance of payments export groupings in tables 10 and 11.
ITEMS AND WEIGHTS
8 The import price index and export price index are annually reweighted chained Laspeyres indexes. This method of weighting was introduced in the September quarter 2000 and replaces the "fixed-base" method of weighting in which the weighting patterns are updated infrequently (generally once every 5 or 10 years).
9 The annual reweighting and chaining process involves a number of steps in order to provide new weights each year. The current weighting basis for the import price index was derived from the average value of import items during 2002-03. This differs slightly from the export price index which has used the average value of export items during 2001-02 and 2002-03, due to the greater volatility associated with the value of export items. These weights were revalued to reflect link period (June quarter 2003) price levels. Indexes derived by using the new weights for the September quarter 2003 were then linked to the already published June quarter 2003 (link period) levels which were derived using the previous series weights. Using this methodology, long-term chain linked series can be constructed over time on a consistent reference base for continuity and user convenience, but using annually refreshed weights. The reference base for each index series continues to be 1989-90=100 even though the weights are being updated each year. The current series weighting patterns (in link period prices) are contained in the Appendix to this issue.
10 The commodities directly represented in each index (the index items) were selected on the basis of the significance of their import and export values in the period 1999-00 for imports and 1998-99 & 1999-00 for exports. All significant commodities were selected for pricing. The weights for minor commodities which are not directly priced are included with those of comparable directly priced items whose prices are likely to move in a similar way.
11 In general, prices of individual shipments are obtained from major importers and exporters of the selected items and relate to the quarter in which the imported goods physically arrive in Australia and the exported goods physically leave Australia.
12 Imports are priced on a 'free on board' (f.o.b), country of origin basis. Therefore freight and insurance charges involved in shipping goods from foreign to Australian ports are excluded from the prices used in the index, as are Australian import duties and taxes. Similarly, exports are priced on a f.o.b basis at the main Australian ports of export. Exports are exempt from taxes on products.
13 As the prices used in the indexes are expressed in Australian currency, changes in the relative value of the Australian dollar and overseas currencies can have a direct impact on price movements for the many commodities that are bought and sold in currencies other than Australian dollars. Prices reported in a foreign currency are converted to Australian dollars using relevant exchange rates. Where imports or exports are transacted in prices expressed in terms of a foreign currency and forward exchange cover is used, the prices in the indexes exclude the forward exchange cover.
14 The main pricing methodology used is specification pricing, under which a manageable sample of precisely specified products is selected, in consultation with each reporting business, for repeat pricing. In specifying the products, care is taken to ensure that they are fully defined in terms of all the characteristics which influence their transaction prices. As such, all the relevant technical characteristics need to be described (e.g. make, model, features) along with the unit of sale, type of packaging, conditions of sale (e.g. delivered, payment within 30 days), etc. The goods are also specified by country and market in order to lessen the impact of price variations attributable solely to changes over time in the mix of countries, or markets.
15 When the quality or specifications of an item being priced change over time, adjustments are made to the reported prices so that the index captures only pure price change. That is, any element of price change attributable to a change in quality is removed. If there is an increase (decrease) in the quality of an item, then the price index is adjusted downwards (upwards) to reflect the 'worth' of the quality change. This technique is known as pricing to constant quality.
16 Wherever possible, prices from volume selling products being traded with predominant countries, or markets, are obtained to ensure specifications have a good chance of being re-priced over time and index series are representative of overall price movements. Individual product weights and weights between markets and countries are regularly reviewed to keep the indexes up to date.
17 Index numbers for financial years are simple averages of the relevant quarterly index numbers.
ANALYSIS OF INDEX CHANGES
18 Care should be exercised when interpreting quarter-to-quarter movements in the indexes as short-term movements do not necessarily indicate changes in trend.
19 Movements in indexes from one period to another can be expressed either as changes in 'index points' or as percentage changes. The following example illustrates the method of calculating index points changes and percentage changes between any two periods:
20 Tables 2 and 8 provide analyses of the contribution which SITC sections and divisions make to the All groups import price index and export price index, respectively. For example, mineral fuels, etc. contributed 9.37 index points to the All groups import price index number of 112.6 for December quarter 2003 and -0.24 index points to the net change of -3.4 index points between September and December quarters 2003.
Import price index, All groups index number:
December quarter 2003 112.6 (see table 1)
less December quarter 2002 128.8 (see table 1)
Change in index points -16.2
Percentage change -16.2/128.8 x 100 = -12.6
21 Further information on recent price index developments in the ABS is presented in the following publications:
An Analytical Framework for Price Indexes in Australia, cat. no. 6421.0
Producer Price Index Developments, cat. no. 6422.0
Review of the Import Price Index and Export Price Index, Australia,
cat. no. 6424.0
Price Indexes and The New Tax System, cat. no. 6425.0
22 Users may also wish to refer to the following related publications, which are available from ABS bookshops:
23 Current publications and other products released by the ABS are listed in the Catalogue of Publications and Products (cat. no. 1101.0). The Catalogue is available from any ABS office or the ABS web site . The ABS also issues a daily Release Advice on the web site which details products to be released in the week ahead.
Producer Price Indexes, Australia, cat. no. 6427.0
Consumer Price Index, Australia, cat. no. 6401.0
Wage Cost Index, Australia, cat. no. 6345.0
Australian National Accounts, Input-Output Tables, cat. no. 5209.0
Balance of Payments and International Investment Position, Australia,
cat. no. 5302.0
ABS DATA AVAILABLE ON REQUEST
24 As well as the statistics included in this and related publications, the ABS has other international trade price index series (many at detailed commodity levels) which are available on request. Inquiries should be made to Steve Whennan on 02 6252 6251.
|ABS||Australian Bureau of Statistics|
|Automatic Data Processing|
Australian Harmonised Export Commodity Classification
Australian and New Zealand Standard Industrial Classification
|BEC||Classification by Broad Economic Category|
|c.i.f.||cost, insurance and freight|
|f.o.b.||free on board|
|HTISC||Harmonised Tariff Item Statistical Classification|
|n.e.c.||not elsewhere classified|
|n.e.s.||not elsewhere specified|
|SITC||Standard International Trade Classification|