6202.0 - Labour Force, Australia, Jul 2020 Quality Declaration 
Latest ISSUE Released at 11:30 AM (CANBERRA TIME) 13/08/2020   
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JULY KEY FIGURES


Jun 20
Jul 20
Jun 20 to Jul 20
Jul 19 to Jul 20

Seasonally Adjusted
Employed people ('000)
12,346.0
12,460.8
114.7
-3.2%
Unemployed people ('000)
993.7
1009.4
15.7
41.5%
Unemployment rate (%)
7.4
7.5
0.0 pts
2.2 pts
Underemployment rate (%)
11.7
11.2
-0.5 pts
2.8 pts
Participation rate (%)
64.1
64.7
0.6 pts
-1.4 pts
Monthly hours worked in all jobs ('000 000)
1,659.6
1,681.3
21.7
-5.0%


EMPLOYED PEOPLE

The graph shows the seasonally adjusted estimate for the number of employed people in Australia from 11.8 million people in July 2015 to 13 million people in March  2020. This decreased to 12.5 million people in July 2020.

UNEMPLOYMENT RATE

The graph shows the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate starting at 6.3 per cent in July 2015 dropping to as low as 5.0 per cent in late 2018 and early 2019. It was 5.2 per cent in March 2020, and has increased to 7.5 per cent in July 2020.


SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ESTIMATES
  • Employment increased 114,700 to 12,460,800 people. Full-time employment increased 43,500 to 8,547,100 people and part-time employment increased 71,200 to 3,913,600 people.
  • Unemployment increased 15,700 to 1,009,400 people.
  • Unemployment rate increased less that 0.1 pts to 7.5%.
  • Underemployment rate decreased 0.5 pts to 11.2%.
  • Underutilisation rate decreased 0.4 pts to 18.7%.
  • Participation rate increased by 0.6 pts to 64.7%.
  • Monthly hours worked in all jobs increased 21.7 million hours to 1,681.3 million hours.


NOTES

FORTHCOMING ISSUES

IssueRelease Date
August 202017 September 2020
September 202015 October 2020
October 202019 November 2020
November 202017 December 2020
December 2020 21 January 2021
January 202118 February 2021


SURVEY RESPONSE REMAINS HIGH


Response remained high in July, with a similar level of response to June. For more information, please refer to ‘Insights from the original data’.

The ABS would like to thank Australians for their continued support in responding to our surveys during such a difficult time, given how critically important this information is.


SURVEY REFERENCE WEEK AND COLLECTION TIMELINE

The July Labour Force Survey was run in respect of the two weeks from Sunday 28 June to Saturday 11 July, and collected over the three weeks from Sunday 5 July to Saturday 25 July.


The diagram shows the timeline for March to August  2020 of events relating to COVID-19 including changes in government policy such as social distancing, non-essential services shutdown and the Labour Force processes.


MONTHLY HOURS WORKED IN ALL JOBS

Each year, the Monthly hours worked in all jobs series are benchmarked to an annual hours worked estimate. This annual process was conducted in July 2020 and resulted in minor revisions to all monthly hours worked in all jobs series. Monthy hours worked in all jobs is seasonally adjusted and is extrapolated from the reported hours actually worked in the reference week. For more information regarding labour force rebenchmarking, please refer to the Feb 2015 article Labour Force, Australia - Rebenchmarking Labour Force Estimates (cat. no. 6202.0) which is published on the ABS website.


NEW ABS WEBSITE AND CHANGES TO LABOUR FORCE SURVEY PUBLICATIONS

The ABS will be launching a new website later in 2020. As part of this move to a new website, the Labour Force Survey publications are being redesigned, so that they are simpler, and present data in a way that is easier to find, understand and use.

Labour force data are currently released in three publications:
  • Labour Force, Australia (6202.0) - the headline release
  • Labour Force, Australia, Detailed - Electronic delivery (6291.0.55.001) - monthly release of detailed data
  • Labour Force, Australia, Detailed, Quarterly (6291.0.55.003) - quarterly release of detailed data only collected in February, May, August and November.

When the new ABS website is launched, labour force data will move to be released in two publications:
  • Labour Force, Australia - which will continue to be the headline release
  • Labour Force, Australia, Detailed - which will combine all spreadsheets and pivot tables currently published in the monthly and quarterly detailed releases

The main Labour Force Survey publication has been redesigned for the new ABS website, with improved navigation, thematic presentation of data, additional graphs and sought after statistics, increased range of state and territory indicators, greater visibility of notes on important changes or impacts on the estimates (e.g. resulting from COVID-19), and an improved range of useful explanatory information and resources (in a new 'Methodology page').

As outlined in May, the detailed monthly and detailed quarterly labour force survey releases (6291.0.55.001 and 6291.0.55.003) will be combined so that all detailed labour force data will be available from a single release. The spreadsheets and datacubes within this combined release will also be grouped together thematically, so that it is easier to find the data you're looking for. This expanded monthly detailed release will always include the latest monthly and quarterly data, noting that for the 'non-quarter' months, the quarterly spreadsheets and datacubes will have a different reference period. For example, the May issue will contain May monthly and May quarterly data, while the June issue will contain June monthly and May quarterly data.

The file names, table names and time series IDs of all the monthly and quarterly time series spreadsheets and datacubes will remain the same.

To see how the new labour force releases will look on the new ABS website, see the ABS Beta website versions for April:
If you have any questions or feedback on the new approach to release Labour Force Survey data, please contact us at labour.statistics@abs.gov.au.


CONTINUED SUSPENSION OF TREND ESTIMATES

Given the extent of change in Labour Force time series, the ABS has temporarily suspended trend series and moved to using forward factors for seasonal adjustment. All estimates within the commentary, including information for the Northern Territory and the Australian Capital Territory, refer to seasonally adjusted data. For more information, please refer to 'Suspension of trend series and changes to seasonal adjustment during the COVID-19 period'.


ROUNDING
Estimates of changes in the commentary have been calculated using un-rounded estimates, and may be different from, but are more accurate than, movement obtained from the rounded estimates. Graphs also depict un-rounded estimates.


SAMPLING ERROR
The estimates in this publication are based on a sample survey. Published estimates and movements are subject to sampling variability. Standard errors give a measure of sampling variability. The interval bounded by two standard errors is the 95% confidence interval, which provides a way of looking at the variability inherent in estimates. There is a 95% chance that the true value of the estimate lies within that interval.


MOVEMENTS IN SEASONALLY ADJUSTED SERIES BETWEEN JUN 2020 AND JULY 2020

Monthly change
95% Confidence interval

Total Employment
114,700
54,900
to
174,500
Total Unemployment
15,700
-28,500
to
59,900
Unemployment rate
0.0 pts
-0.4 pts
to
0.4 pts
Participation rate
0.6 pts
0.2 pts
to
1.0 pts