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MARCH KEY FIGURES
SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ESTIMATES
CHANGES IN THIS ISSUE
Quarterly chain volume data are shown in tables 14 and 15 of this issue.
There has been moderate trend growth for the last 14 months. New South Wales has had moderate trend growth for the last 10 months. Victoria has had strong trend growth since December 2003, while the rate of growth for Queensland has been weakening since September 2003. South Australia had moderate growth in March 2004. The trend for Western Australia and Tasmania has been flat in recent months.
The rate of trend growth has generally increased since November 2003 but the seasonally adjusted estimate fell in March 2004. New South Wales and Queensland have had moderate trend growth over the last five months.
CLOTHING AND SOFT GOOD RETAILING
There has been a small decline in the trend for Clothing and soft good retailing in March 2004. New South Wales contributed the most to this decline, with strong growth in Western Australia offsetting. Turnover in Victoria and Queensland was relatively flat in March 2004.
HOUSEHOLD GOOD RETAILING
There has been moderate growth in the trend since September 2003. Victoria and South Australia have experienced strong growth since December 2003, with New South Wales continuing its trend of moderate falls since November 2003.
RECREATIONAL GOOD RETAILING
There were small falls in the trend in each of the three months to March 2004. Strong growth in Victoria, South Australia and Western Australia was offset by continuing falls in New South Wales, Queensland, Tasmania and the Australian Capital Territory.
The trend for Other retailing turnover continued to fall. In March 2004, Victoria, Western Australia and the Australian Capital Territory had growth, while New South Wales, Queensland and South Australia fell.
TOTAL RETAIL (excluding Hospitality and Services)
The rate of trend growth for Total retail (excluding Hospitality and services) has been the same as that of Total industries (including Hospitality and services) for the last four months.
HOSPITALITY AND SERVICES
This industry has had weak to moderate trend growth in the last fourth months. In March 2004, Tasmania and Northern Territory were flat, the Australian Capital Territory was in decline and all other states had growth.
MONTHLY SEASONALLY ADJUSTED AND TREND ESTIMATES
NEW SOUTH WALES
The trend was flat in March and February 2004, following on from four months of weak to moderate growth. Food retailing has had moderate trend growth for the last 10 months. Department stores has had weak to moderate growth since August 2003 while Hospitality and services has had a declining rate of growth since September 2003. All other industries had continuing declines in March 2004.
Trend growth has been moderate to strong over the past 15 months. Food retailing has had strong growth in the past four months, and in March 2004 contributed nearly 50% of the state's total trend growth. Household good retailing and Recreational good retailing have had strong growth in recent months.
The rate of growth in the trend for Queensland continued to weaken from its peak in August 2003. Department stores continued its moderate growth. Recreational goods retailing and Other retailing have been in decline over the last four and five months, respectively. Most other industries had weak growth.
The rate of trend growth has weakened in the last four months. Household good retailing and Recreational good retailing continued their strong growth, with Other retailing continuing to be in decline. Department stores and Clothing and soft good retailing fell in March 2004.
For the last eight months there has been weak to moderate trend growth. Food retailing contributes approximately 40% of total turnover in the state and has continued to be flat.
The trend growth has been weak for the last four months. Clothing and soft good retailing had strong growth in March 2004. This was offset by a fall in Recreational good retailing. Food retailing, Household good retailing and Hospitality and services were flat.
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