ANALYSIS - TOTAL RETAIL


TOTAL RETAIL - MONTHLY

The chart below shows the trend series and seasonally adjusted series to March 2015.

In current prices, the trend estimate for Australian turnover rose 0.3% in March 2015 following a rise of 0.4% in February 2015 and a rise of 0.4% in January 2015.

The seasonally adjusted estimate for Australian turnover rose 0.3% in March 2015 following a rise of 0.7% in February 2015 and a rise of 0.5% in January 2015.

The original estimate for Australian turnover rose 11.1% in March 2015. The original estimate for chains and other larger retailers rose 12.3% in March 2015. The original estimate for smaller retailers rose 8.7% in March 2015.

TOTAL RETAIL - QUARTERLY

In volume terms, the seasonally adjusted estimate for the March quarter 2015 rose 0.7% following a rise of 1.2% in the December quarter 2014 and a rise of 1.0% in the September quarter 2014.

In the March quarter 2015, the seasonally adjusted estimate rose in volume terms for Household goods retailing (2.0%), Cafes, restaurants and takeaway food services (1.4%), Other retailing (1.3%), Clothing, footwear and personal accessory retailing (1.6%) and Department stores (0.5%). Food retailing (0.0%) was relatively unchanged.

The Implicit Price Deflator for Australian turnover rose (0.5%) in seasonally adjusted terms in the March quarter 2015.


TOTAL RETAIL - BY STATE

The following states and territories rose in trend terms in March 2015: Queensland (0.6%), Victoria (0.3%), New South Wales (0.2%), Western Australia (0.2%), South Australia (0.4%) and Tasmania (0.6%). The Northern Territory (0.0%) was relatively unchanged. The Australian Capital Territory (-0.1%) fell in trend terms in March 2015.

The following states and territories rose in seasonally adjusted terms in March 2015: Queensland (0.7%), New South Wales (0.3%), Victoria (0.2%), South Australia (0.3%) and Tasmania (0.5%). Western Australia (-0.3%), the Australian Capital Territory (-0.5%) and the Northern Territory (-0.8%) fell in seasonally adjusted terms in March 2015.

In the March quarter 2015, the seasonally adjusted estimate rose in volume terms in the following states: Queensland (1.9%), Victoria (0.7%), South Australia (0.7%), Tasmania (1.9%), Western Australia (0.2%) and New South Wales (0.1%). The Australian Capital Territory (-1.3%) and the Northern Territory (-0.6%) fell in volume terms in the March quarter 2015.