ANALYSIS - TOTAL RETAIL


TOTAL RETAIL - MONTHLY

The chart below shows the trend series and seasonally adjusted series to December 2012.

In current prices, the trend estimate for Australian turnover fell 0.1% in December 2012 following a relatively unchanged November 2012 (0.0%) and a relatively unchanged October 2012 (0.0%).

The seasonally adjusted estimate for Australian turnover fell 0.2% in December 2012 following a fall of 0.2% in November 2012 and a fall of 0.1% in October 2012.

The original estimate for Australian turnover rose 22.1% in December 2012. The original estimate for chains and other larger retailers rose 26.3% in December 2012. The original estimate for smaller retailers rose 14.3% in December 2012.

TOTAL RETAIL - QUARTERLY

In volume terms, the seasonally adjusted estimate for the December quarter 2012 rose 0.1% following a fall of 0.3% in the September quarter 2012 and a rise of 1.2% in the June quarter 2012.

In the December quarter 2012, the seasonally adjusted estimate rose in volume terms for Food retailing (1.5%) and Department stores (1.7%). Household goods retailing (-0.9%), Cafes, restaurants and takeaway food retailing (-1.2%), Clothing, footwear and personal accessory retailing (-1.5%) and Other retailing (-0.7%) fell in seasonally adjusted terms in the December quarter 2012.

The Implicit Price Deflator for Australian turnover remained relatively unchanged (0.0%) in seasonally adjusted terms in the December quarter 2012.


TOTAL RETAIL - BY STATE

The following states and territories fell in trend terms in December 2012: New South Wales (-0.2%), Victoria (-0.2%), South Australia (-0.4%), the Australian Capital Territory (-0.3%) and Tasmania (-0.2%). The Northern Territory was relatively unchanged (0.0%). Western Australia (0.4%) and Queensland (0.1%) rose in trend terms in December 2012.

The following states and territories fell in seasonally adjusted terms in December 2012: New South Wales (-0.7%), Victoria (-0.2%), Western Australia (-0.3%) and the Australian Capital Territory (-0.8%). Queensland was relatively unchanged (0.0%). Tasmania (2.0%), the Northern Territory (0.7%) and South Australia (0.1%) rose in seasonally adjusted terms in December 2012.

In the December quarter 2012, the seasonally adjusted estimate rose in volume terms in the following states: Western Australia (1.8%), Queensland (0.8%) and the Northern Territory (0.5%). New South Wales (0.0%) remained relatively unchanged. Victoria (-0.8%), South Australia (-1.4%), Tasmania (-1.3%) and the Australian Capital Territory (-1.3%) fell in volume terms in the December quarter 2012.