5625.0 - Private New Capital Expenditure and Expected Expenditure, Australia, Sep 2017 Quality Declaration 
ARCHIVED ISSUE Released at 11:30 AM (CANBERRA TIME) 30/11/2017   
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WHAT IF...? REVISIONS TO TREND ESTIMATES


EFFECT OF NEW SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ESTIMATES ON TREND ESTIMATES


TREND REVISIONS

Recent seasonally adjusted and trend estimates are likely to be revised when original estimates for subsequent quarters become available. The approximate effects of possible scenarios on trend estimates for capital expenditure in chain volume terms are presented below by illustrating the impact if next quarter's seasonally adjusted estimate rises or falls by a specified percentage (based on the historical average of movements in seasonally adjusted estimates). For further information, see paragraphs 40 and 41 in the Explanatory Notes.

Buildings and Structures

Graph: What If - Buildings & Structures

WHAT IF NEXT QUARTER'S
SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ESTIMATE:
Trend as published
(1) rises by 2.1%
on this quarter
(2) falls by 2.1%
on this quarter
$m
%
$m
%
$m
%
2016
December
15 890
-1.2
15 890
-1.2
15 890
-1.2
2017
March
16 093
1.3
16 065
1.1
16 092
1.3
June
16 283
1.2
16 288
1.4
16 278
1.2
September
16 446
1.0
16 480
1.2
16 350
0.4


Equipment, Plant and Machinery

Graph: What If - Equipment, Plant & Machinery

WHAT IF NEXT QUARTER'S
SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ESTIMATE:
Trend as published
(1) rises by 1.9%
on this quarter
(2) falls by 1.9%
on this quarter
$m
%
$m
%
$m
%
2016
December
12 572
-0.9
12 572
-0.9
12 572
-0.9
2017
March
12 607
0.3
12 586
0.1
12 609
0.3
June
12 751
1.1
12 755
1.3
12 747
1.1
September
12 905
1.2
12 928
1.4
12 820
0.6


Total Capital Expenditure

Graph: What If - Total

WHAT IF NEXT QUARTER'S
SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ESTIMATE:
Trend as published
(1) rises by 2.0%
on this quarter
(2) falls by 2.0%
on this quarter
$m
%
$m
%
$m
%
2016
December
28 460
-1.1
28 460
-1.1
28 460
-1.1
2017
March
28 701
0.8
28 654
0.7
28 702
0.9
June
29 033
1.2
29 041
1.4
29 024
1.1
September
29 363
1.1
29 405
1.3
29 170
0.5