5625.0 - Private New Capital Expenditure and Expected Expenditure, Australia, Sep 2012 Quality Declaration 
ARCHIVED ISSUE Released at 11:30 AM (CANBERRA TIME) 29/11/2012   
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WHAT IF...? REVISIONS TO TREND ESTIMATES


EFFECT OF NEW SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ESTIMATES ON TREND ESTIMATES


TREND REVISIONS

Recent seasonally adjusted and trend estimates are likely to be revised when original estimates for subsequent quarters become available. The approximate effects of possible scenarios on trend estimates for capital expenditure in chain volume terms are presented below by illustrating the impact if next quarter's seasonally adjusted estimate rises or falls by a specified percentage (based on the historical average of movements in seasonally adjusted estimates). For further information, see paragraphs 41 and 42 in the Explanatory Notes.

Buildings and Structures

Graph: What if Buildings and structures

WHAT IF NEXT QUARTER'S
SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ESTIMATE:
Trend as published
(1) rises by 2.2%
on this quarter
(2) falls by 2.2%
on this quarter
$m
%
$m
%
$m
%
2011
December
23 286
10.2
23 286
10.2
23 286
10.2
2012
March
24 892
6.9
24 991
7.3
25 060
7.6
June
26 144
5.0
26 136
4.6
26 110
4.2
September
27 158
3.9
26 934
3.1
26 602
1.9


Equipment, Plant and Machinery

Graph: What if Equipment, Plant and Machinery

WHAT IF NEXT QUARTER'S
SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ESTIMATE:
Trend as published
(1) rises by 2.1%
on this quarter
(2) falls by 2.1%
on this quarter
$m
%
$m
%
$m
%
2011
December
14 675
0.4
14 675
0.4
14 675
0.4
2012
March
14 740
0.4
14 712
0.2
14 750
0.5
June
15 009
1.8
15 021
2.1
15 008
1.8
September
15 474
3.1
15 558
3.6
15 375
2.4


Total Capital Expenditure

Graph: What if Total asset

WHAT IF NEXT QUARTER'S
SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ESTIMATE:
Trend as published
(1) rises by 2.1%
on this quarter
(2) falls by 2.1%
on this quarter
$m
%
$m
%
$m
%
2011
December
37 900
6.3
37 900
6.3
37 900
6.3
2012
March
39 607
4.5
39 690
4.7
39 797
5.0
June
41 159
3.9
41 148
3.7
41 111
3.3
September
42 721
3.8
42 485
3.2
41 969
2.1