5625.0 - Private New Capital Expenditure and Expected Expenditure, Australia, Mar 2018 Quality Declaration 
ARCHIVED ISSUE Released at 11:30 AM (CANBERRA TIME) 31/05/2018   
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WHAT IF...? REVISIONS TO TREND ESTIMATES


EFFECT OF NEW SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ESTIMATES ON TREND ESTIMATES


TREND REVISIONS

Recent seasonally adjusted and trend estimates are likely to be revised when original estimates for subsequent quarters become available. The approximate effects of possible scenarios on trend estimates for capital expenditure in chain volume terms are presented below by illustrating the impact if next quarter's seasonally adjusted estimate rises or falls by a specified percentage (based on the historical average of movements in seasonally adjusted estimates). For further information, see paragraphs 40 and 41 in the Explanatory Notes.

Buildings and Structures

Graph: What If - Buildings & Structures
WHAT IF NEXT QUARTER'S
SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ESTIMATE:
Trend as published
(1) rises by 2.1%
on this quarter
(2) falls by 2.1%
on this quarter
$m
%
$m
%
$m
%
2017
June
16 338
1.4
16 338
1.4
16 338
1.4
September
16 397
0.4
16 399
0.4
16 424
0.5
December
16 346
-0.3
16 348
-0.3
16 338
-0.5
2018
March
16 252
-0.6
16 291
-0.3
16 168
-1.0

Equipment, Plant and Machinery

Graph: What If - Equipment, Plant & Machinery
WHAT IF NEXT QUARTER'S
SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ESTIMATE:
Trend as published
(1) rises by 1.9%
on this quarter
(2) falls by 1.9%
on this quarter
$m
%
$m
%
$m
%
2017
June
12 782
1.7
12 782
1.7
12 782
1.7
September
13 075
2.3
13 071
2.3
13 095
2.4
December
13 364
2.2
13 364
2.2
13 355
2.0
2018
March
13 624
1.9
13 628
2.0
13 512
1.2

Total Capital Expenditure

Graph: What If - Total
WHAT IF NEXT QUARTER'S
SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ESTIMATE:
Trend as published
(1) rises by 2.0%
on this quarter
(2) falls by 2.0%
on this quarter
$m
%
$m
%
$m
%
2017
June
29 120
1.5
29 120
1.5
29 120
1.5
September
29 471
1.2
29 470
1.2
29 519
1.4
December
29 711
0.8
29 712
0.8
29 695
0.6
2018
March
29 873
0.5
29 918
0.7
29 682
0.0