5625.0 - Private New Capital Expenditure and Expected Expenditure, Australia, Dec 2015 Quality Declaration 
ARCHIVED ISSUE Released at 11:30 AM (CANBERRA TIME) 25/02/2016   
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WHAT IF...? REVISIONS TO TREND ESTIMATES


EFFECT OF NEW SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ESTIMATES ON TREND ESTIMATES


TREND REVISIONS

Recent seasonally adjusted and trend estimates are likely to be revised when original estimates for subsequent quarters become available. The approximate effects of possible scenarios on trend estimates for capital expenditure in chain volume terms are presented below by illustrating the impact if next quarter's seasonally adjusted estimate rises or falls by a specified percentage (based on the historical average of movements in seasonally adjusted estimates). For further information, see paragraphs 41 and 42 in the Explanatory Notes.

Buildings and Structures

Graph: What if Buildings and structures


WHAT IF NEXT QUARTER'S
SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ESTIMATE:
Trend as published
(1) rises by 2.1%
on this quarter
(2) falls by 2.1%
on this quarter
$m
%
$m
%
$m
%

2015
March
23 351
-6.1
23 351
-6.1
23 351
-6.1
June
21 857
-6.4
21 737
-6.9
21 777
-6.7
September
20 728
-5.2
20 761
-4.5
20 745
-4.7
December
20 000
-3.5
20 392
-1.8
20 198
-2.6



Equipment, Plant and Machinery

Graph: What if Equipment, Plant and Machinery


WHAT IF NEXT QUARTER'S
SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ESTIMATE:
Trend as published
(1) rises by 1.9%
on this quarter
(2) falls by 1.9%
on this quarter
$m
%
$m
%
$m
%

2015
March
12 969
-1.7
12 969
-1.7
12 969
-1.7
June
12 415
-4.3
12 382
-4.5
12 403
-4.4
September
11 862
-4.5
11 876
-4.1
11 869
-4.3
December
11 366
-4.2
11 587
-2.4
11 486
-3.2



Total Capital Expenditure

Graph: What if Total asset


WHAT IF NEXT QUARTER'S
SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ESTIMATE:
Trend as published
(1) rises by 2.0%
on this quarter
(2) falls by 2.0%
on this quarter
$m
%
$m
%
$m
%

2015
March
36 320
-4.6
36 320
-4.6
36 320
-4.6
June
34 280
-5.6
34 119
-6.1
34 180
-5.9
September
32 594
-4.9
32 651
-4.3
32 629
-4.5
December
31 302
-4.0
31 984
-2.0
31 689
-2.9