5625.0 - Private New Capital Expenditure and Expected Expenditure, Australia, Dec 2011 Quality Declaration 
ARCHIVED ISSUE Released at 11:30 AM (CANBERRA TIME) 01/03/2012   
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WHAT IF...? REVISIONS TO TREND ESTIMATES


EFFECT OF NEW SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ESTIMATES ON TREND ESTIMATES


TREND REVISIONS

Recent seasonally adjusted and trend estimates are likely to be revised when original estimates for subsequent quarters become available. The approximate effects of possible scenarios on trend estimates for capital expenditure in chain volume terms are presented below by illustrating the impact if next quarter's seasonally adjusted estimate rises or falls by a specified percentage (based on the historical average of movements in seasonally adjusted estimates). For further information, see paragraphs 41 and 42 in the Explanatory Notes.

Buildings and Structures

Graph: What if Buildings and structures

WHAT IF NEXT QUARTER'S
SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ESTIMATE:
Trend as published
(1) rises by 2.1%
on this quarter
(2) falls by 2.1%
on this quarter
$m
%
$m
%
$m
%
2011
March
16 773
8.9
16 773
8.9
16 773
8.9
June
18 831
12.3
18 887
12.6
18 941
12.9
September
20 996
11.5
20 979
11.1
20 958
10.6
December
22 692
8.1
22 338
6.5
22 073
5.3


Equipment, Plant and Machinery

Graph: What if Equipment, Plant and Machinery

WHAT IF NEXT QUARTER'S
SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ESTIMATE:
Trend as published
(1) rises by 2.0%
on this quarter
(2) falls by 2.0%
on this quarter
$m
%
$m
%
$m
%
2011
March
14 600
5.2
14 600
5.2
14 600
5.2
June
15 173
3.9
15 208
4.2
15 246
4.4
September
15 585
2.7
15 578
2.4
15 565
2.1
December
15 916
2.1
15 853
1.8
15 671
0.7


Total Capital Expenditure

Graph: What if Total asset

WHAT IF NEXT QUARTER'S
SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ESTIMATE:
Trend as published
(1) rises by 2.1%
on this quarter
(2) falls by 2.1%
on this quarter
$m
%
$m
%
$m
%
2011
March
31 373
7.2
31 373
7.2
31 373
7.2
June
33 993
8.4
34 095
8.7
34 187
9.0
September
36 575
7.6
36 531
7.1
36 499
6.8
December
38 737
5.9
38 180
4.5
37 734
3.4