5625.0 - Private New Capital Expenditure and Expected Expenditure, Australia, Dec 2008 Quality Declaration 
ARCHIVED ISSUE Released at 11:30 AM (CANBERRA TIME) 26/02/2009   
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WHAT IF...? REVISIONS TO TREND ESTIMATES


EFFECT OF NEW SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ESTIMATES ON TREND ESTIMATES


TREND REVISIONS

Recent seasonally adjusted and trend estimates are likely to be revised when original estimates for subsequent quarters become available. The approximate effects of possible scenarios on trend estimates for capital expenditure in chain volume terms are presented below by illustrating the impact if next quarter's seasonally adjusted estimate rises or falls by a specified percentage (based on the historical average of movements in seasonally adjusted estimates). For further information, see paragraphs 44 and 45 in the EN.

Buildings and Structures

Graph: What If Buildings


What if next quarter's seasonally adjusted estimate:
Trend as published
(1) rises by 6.7%
on this quarter
(2) falls by 6.7%
on this quarter
$m
%
$m
%
$m
%

2008
March
9 609
1.9
9 609
1.9
9 609
1.9
June
10 119
5.3
10 080
4.9
10 141
5.5
September
10 777
6.5
10 793
7.1
10 769
6.2
December
11 486
6.6
11 650
7.9
11 353
5.4



Equipment, Plant and Machinery

Graph: What If Equipment


What if next quarter's seasonally adjusted estimate:
Trend as published
(1) rises by 4.9%
on this quarter
(2) falls by 4.9%
on this quarter
$m
%
$m
%
$m
%

2008
March
12 101
4.3
12 101
4.3
12 101
4.3
June
12 632
4.4
12 629
4.4
12 704
5.0
September
13 003
2.9
13 004
3.0
12 978
2.2
December
13 238
1.8
13 279
2.1
12 917
-0.5



Total Capital Expenditure

Graph: What If Total


What if next quarter's seasonally adjusted estimate:
Trend as published
(1) rises by 4.4%
on this quarter
(2) falls by 4.4%
on this quarter
$m
%
$m
%
$m
%

2008
March
21 699
3.4
21 699
3.4
21 699
3.4
June
22 749
4.8
22 688
4.6
22 884
5.5
September
23 755
4.4
23 776
4.8
23 707
3.6
December
24 753
4.2
25 003
5.2
24 061
1.5