5625.0 - Private New Capital Expenditure and Expected Expenditure, Australia, Dec 2006  
ARCHIVED ISSUE Released at 11:30 AM (CANBERRA TIME) 01/03/2007  Reissue
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WHAT IF...? REVISIONS TO TREND ESTIMATES


EFFECT OF NEW SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ESTIMATES ON TREND ESTIMATES


TREND REVISIONS

Recent seasonally adjusted and trend estimates are likely to be revised when original estimates for subsequent quarters become available. The approximate effects of possible scenarios on trend estimates for capital expenditure in chain volume terms are presented below by illustrating the impact if next quarter's seasonally adjusted estimate rises or falls by a specified percentage (based on the historical average of movements in seasonally adjusted estimates). For further information, see paragraphs 43 and 44 in the Explanatory Notes.


Buildings and Structures

Graph: What If Buildings

What if next quarter's seasonally adjusted estimate:
Trend as published
(1) rises by 6.7%
on this quarter
(2) falls by 6.7%
on this quarter
$m
%
$m
%
$m
%

2006
March
7 156
8.0
7 156
8.0
7 156
8.0
June
7 310
2.1
7 317
2.2
7 354
2.8
September
7 271
-0.5
7 275
-0.6
7 261
-1.3
December
7 163
-1.5
7 264
-0.2
7 083
-2.4


Equipment, Plant and Machinery

Graph: What If Equipment

What if next quarter's seasonally adjusted estimate:
Trend as published
(1) rises by 4.9%
on this quarter
(2) falls by 4.9%
on this quarter
$m
%
$m
%
$m
%

2006
March
11 414
2.0
11 414
2.0
11 414
2.0
June
11 279
-1.2
11 266
-1.3
11 327
-0.8
September
10 984
-2.6
10 995
-2.4
10 972
-3.1
December
10 672
-2.8
10 913
-0.7
10 616
-3.2


Total Capital Expenditure

Graph: What If Total

What if next quarter's seasonally adjusted estimate:
Trend as published
(1) rises by 4.4%
on this quarter
(2) falls by 4.4%
on this quarter
$m
%
$m
%
$m
%

2006
March
18 546
4.0
18 546
4.0
18 546
4.0
June
18 572
0.1
18 542
0.0
18 684
0.7
September
18 294
-1.5
18 317
-1.2
18 267
-2.2
December
17 963
-1.8
18 395
0.4
17 711
-3.0