3135.0 - Demography Working Paper 2003/3 - Consultation on Assumptions for Population Projections, Australia, 2002-2101, 2002 to 2101  
ARCHIVED ISSUE Released at 11:30 AM (CANBERRA TIME) 28/03/2003   
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This publication is part of the Demography Working Paper series.

The Demography Section of the Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) has commenced work on the 2002-2101 population projections for Australia, the states and territories, and for each capital city and balance of state/territory. It is proposed that the projections for Australia go out to the year 2101 while the state/territory and the capital city/balance of state/territory projections go out to 2051. The Population Projections, Australia (cat. no. 3222.0) publication is scheduled for release in July/August 2003.

The ABS uses the cohort-component method for these projections, which requires various assumptions to be made on future levels of fertility, mortality, overseas migration and interstate migration. This method begins with a base population for each sex by single years of age and advances it year by year by applying these assumptions.

The process of developing the population projection assumptions involves consultation with various individuals and government departments with an interest in population issues, at both the national and state/territory level, to ensure their general relevance to users of projections.