5625.0 - Private New Capital Expenditure and Expected Expenditure, Australia, June 2013 Quality Declaration 
ARCHIVED ISSUE Released at 11:30 AM (CANBERRA TIME) 29/08/2013   
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WHAT IF...? REVISIONS TO TREND ESTIMATES


EFFECT OF NEW SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ESTIMATES ON TREND ESTIMATES


TREND REVISIONS

Recent seasonally adjusted and trend estimates are likely to be revised when original estimates for subsequent quarters become available. The approximate effects of possible scenarios on trend estimates for capital expenditure in chain volume terms are presented below by illustrating the impact if next quarter's seasonally adjusted estimate rises or falls by a specified percentage (based on the historical average of movements in seasonally adjusted estimates). For further information, see paragraphs 41 and 42 in the Explanatory Notes.

Buildings and Structures

Graph: What if Buildings and structures


WHAT IF NEXT QUARTER'S
SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ESTIMATE:
Trend as published
(1) rises by 2.1%
on this quarter
(2) falls by 2.1%
on this quarter
$m
%
$m
%
$m
%

2012
September
25 700
-0.5
25 700
-0.5
25 700
-0.5
December
25 074
-2.4
24 991
-2.8
25 055
-2.5
2013
March
24 908
-0.7
24 942
-0.2
24 917
-0.6
June
25 081
0.7
25 441
2.0
25 132
0.9



Equipment, Plant and Machinery

Graph: What if Equipment, Plant and Machinery


WHAT IF NEXT QUARTER'S
SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ESTIMATE:
Trend as published
(1) rises by 1.9%
on this quarter
(2) falls by 1.9%
on this quarter
$m
%
$m
%
$m
%

2012
September
15 172
0.9
15 172
0.9
15 172
0.9
December
14 942
-1.5
14 934
-1.6
14 965
-1.4
2013
March
14 536
-2.7
14 544
-2.6
14 533
-2.9
June
14 098
-3.0
14 304
-1.7
14 151
-2.6



Total Capital Expenditure

Graph: What if Total asset


WHAT IF NEXT QUARTER'S
SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ESTIMATE:
Trend as published
(1) rises by 2.0%
on this quarter
(2) falls by 2.0%
on this quarter
$m
%
$m
%
$m
%

2012
September
40 871
-
40 871
-
40 871
-
December
40 017
-2.1
39 925
-2.3
40 020
-2.1
2013
March
39 445
-1.4
39 485
-1.1
39 452
-1.4
June
39 176
-0.7
39 743
0.7
39 283
-0.4

- nil or rounded to zero (including null cells)